328 W Gracia · Marceline, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment property for sale! Marceline continues to experience a rental shortage, making this location a strong opportunity for investors. The property includes two lots totaling just over . 6 acres (. 201 + . 402), situated on a corner lot with excellent potential. This space could be developed for rental units or used as a prime building spot, offering plenty of flexibility for future plans.
Key facts
- Two lots
- Rental units
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $535 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($875 rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#96 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Marceline R-V (rural): math 64% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #13 of 324 in MO (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Linn County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($173 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (9.8% local appreciation)).
- Linn County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (9.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 257 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 257 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 31.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 91.64%
- DSCR
- 5.08
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $139,848
- List price
- $25,000
- Delta
- -82.12%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400 E Lake St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (-4%) | 10mo | $145,000 | $159 | 59 |
| 116 W Chicago St | 0.40mi | 2/1.5 | 1,040 (+9%) | 15mo | $129,000 | $124 | 51 |
| 410 E Truman | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+1%) | 24mo | $160,000 | $167 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.81% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.76×
- Total profit
- $47,340
- Equity at exit
- $22,175
- IRR
- 95.9%
- Equity multiple
- 17.08×
- Total profit
- $112,554
- Equity at exit
- $47,457
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64658
- Home prices YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $875 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$15 /mo · $181/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$184
- Net cashflow
- $535
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $549 | -5% $542 | +0% $535 | +5% $527 | +10% $520 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $465 | -5% $500 | +0% $535 | +5% $569 | +10% $604 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $547 | -0.5pp $541 | base $535 | +0.5pp $528 | +1.0pp $521 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $25,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $25,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $25,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $25,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $25,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $25,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $25,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $25,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $25,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $25,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $25,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $25,000 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $25,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $25,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $25,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2025-10-06$25,000 Active 397-char remark
Show marketing remark (397 chars)
Investment property for sale! Marceline continues to experience a rental shortage, making this location a strong opportunity for investors. The property includes two lots totaling just over . 6 acres (. 201 + . 402), situated on a corner lot with excellent potential. This space could be developed for rental units or used as a prime building spot, offering plenty of flexibility for future plans.
-
2024-02-01$25,000 Active
-
2024-02-01status Active
-
2023-08-01status Active
-
2023-07-14status Active
-
2023-02-13$25,000 Active
-
2022-07-13$27,000 Active
-
1976-07-05soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $181 · $15/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $242 · $20/mo
- Expected delta
- +$61/yr (+$5/mo · 33.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,499
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$181
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$840
- − Management
- −$840
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $6,385
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,532
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,882/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marceline R-V
- NCES district ID
- 2920050
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,608
- Composite
- 51.64/100
- National rank
- #1699
- State rank
- #13 of 324 in MO
Livability — Marceline
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #96
- US rank
- #6432
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marceline, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,112
Population outlook (Linn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,437 people
- By 2030
- 10,946 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 9,969 · -12.8%
- By 2050
- 9,056 · -20.8%
- By 2075
- 7,342 · -35.8%
- By 2100
- 5,656 · -50.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Jamaica
Political lean MEDSL · Linn
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.2) · D 20.8% · R 78.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -48.8pp toward R · 2008: -8.5pp · 2024: -57.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.2 2020: R+53.9 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+23.5 2008: R+8.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.81%
- Current HPI
- 258.5949
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-7.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-06 Listed $25,000 RCBR
- 2024-02-01 Listed $25,000 RCBR
- 2024-02-01 Relisted — NECAR
- 2023-08-01 Relisted — NECAR
- 2023-07-14 Relisted — NECAR
- 2023-02-13 Listed $25,000 NECAR
- 2022-07-13 Listed $27,000 NECAR
- 1976-07-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $181 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…