14940 Appoline St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.65%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity to own a large two-family flat featuring upper and lower units. Each unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. Property is ideal for owner-occupants or investors. The upper unit is currently tenant-occupied, providing immediate rental income, while the lower unit is available, perfect for an owner to move in or rent out. Property being sold AS-IS. BATVAI. Showings must be requested through Showing Time and accompanied with an agent. SentriLock access. Please do not disturb tenant.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1929
- Listed 139 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $549 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,491/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 2371% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $62k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.68%
- DSCR
- 2.23
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $94,527
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -10.08%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $25,225
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 34.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.55×
- Total profit
- $84,428
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48227
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 385
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,491 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$147 /mo · $1,770/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$313
- Net cashflow
- $549
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $597 | -5% $573 | +0% $549 | +5% $525 | +10% $501 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $431 | -5% $490 | +0% $549 | +5% $608 | +10% $667 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $592 | -0.5pp $571 | base $549 | +0.5pp $527 | +1.0pp $505 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16230 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1653 | $1,450 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| Ohio St Unit 4 Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $750 | $0.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 15756 Ohio St Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1934 | $1,700 | $0.88 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 14242 Ohio St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,000 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 16211 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2168 | $1,995 | $0.92 | 18d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 15457 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,275 | $0.85 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 15762 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 17d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,345 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 16546 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1577 | $1,500 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 16934 Ilene St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1516 | $1,400 | $0.92 | 20d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 12650 Griggs St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $1,375 | $0.84 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 12778 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1597 | $1,150 | $0.72 | 5d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-01-29$85,000 Active 505-char remark
Show marketing remark (505 chars)
Great opportunity to own a large two-family flat featuring upper and lower units. Each unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. Property is ideal for owner-occupants or investors. The upper unit is currently tenant-occupied, providing immediate rental income, while the lower unit is available, perfect for an owner to move in or rent out. Property being sold AS-IS. BATVAI. Showings must be requested through Showing Time and accompanied with an agent. SentriLock access. Please do not disturb tenant.
-
2026-01-29$85,000 Active 505-char remark
Show marketing remark (505 chars)
Great opportunity to own a large two-family flat featuring upper and lower units. Each unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. Property is ideal for owner-occupants or investors. The upper unit is currently tenant-occupied, providing immediate rental income, while the lower unit is available, perfect for an owner to move in or rent out. Property being sold AS-IS. BATVAI. Showings must be requested through Showing Time and accompanied with an agent. SentriLock access. Please do not disturb tenant.
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2018-11-01soldstatus $62,405
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2016-05-09soldstatus $7,500
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2016-04-01soldstatus $7,500 Sold
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2016-04-01soldstatus $7,500
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2016-04-01soldstatus $7,500 Closed
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2016-02-23status Pending
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2016-02-23status Pending
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2016-02-23historical
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2016-02-07status Active
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2016-02-01historical
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2016-01-29price $7,500
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2016-01-29price $7,500
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2015-11-05price $9,500
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2015-11-05price $9,500
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2015-11-05status Active
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2015-11-04historical
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2015-05-10$18,000 Active
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2015-04-01$18,000 Active
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2015-04-01$7,500
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2013-10-07soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,770 · $147/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,770 · $147/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,888
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,770
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,431
- − Management
- −$1,431
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $5,597
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,343
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,245/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,302
- Household income
- $36,527
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2371.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.00%
- Current HPI
- 186.4158
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.59%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+750.0% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-29 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-29 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $62,405 Public Records
- 2016-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
- 2016-04-01 Sold (MLS) $7,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-04-01 Sold (MLS) $7,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-04-01 Sold (MLS) $7,500 REALCOMP
- 2016-02-23 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-02-23 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2016-02-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-02-07 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2016-02-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-01-29 Price Changed $7,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-01-29 Price Changed $7,500 REALCOMP
- 2015-11-05 Price Changed $9,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-11-05 Price Changed $9,500 REALCOMP
- 2015-11-05 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2015-11-04 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2015-05-10 Listed $18,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-04-01 Listed $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-04-01 Listed $7,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,770 · -50.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…