6940 Buffalo Ave · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very well maintained corner home sits next to Panama park with an additional detached 2 Utility rooms. One with a kitchenette and other a carpeted room. Main house has complete new carpeting. Please do not get surprised by the price. IT IS NOT A SHORT SALE. Seller has priced it right so they can sell it fast.
Key facts
- Newer roof
- Outdoor space
- Peaceful setting
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story
- Construction: Block and frame construction
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Lot approximately 0.11 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfurnished; Residential use
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $124k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $124k).
- Recommended offer: $122k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $857 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.82%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $121,440
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7115 Nelms St | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,130 (+2%) | 4mo | $95,000 | $84 | 88 |
| 732 57th Street Ct | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,089 (-1%) | 3mo | $153,900 | $141 | 86 |
| 628 E 59th St | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,213 (+10%) | 1mo | $97,000 | $80 | 78 |
| 110 Tallulah Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,102 (-0%) | 2mo | $181,000 | $164 | 66 |
| 6711 Drayton St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,088 (-1%) | 3mo | $138,000 | $127 | 62 |
| 8020 Oakwood St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,156 (+5%) | 6mo | $65,000 | $56 | 59 |
| 8024 Hawthorne St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,042 (-6%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $110 | 58 |
| 250 E 48th St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,027 (-7%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $107 | 57 |
| 50 W 58th St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,004 (-9%) | 1mo | $71,000 | $71 | 52 |
| 6724 Drayton St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+9%) | 6mo | $139,000 | $116 | 48 |
| 231 E 48th St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 950 (-14%) | 1mo | $143,900 | $151 | 47 |
| 222 Trout River Dr | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+13%) | 5mo | $127,500 | $102 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-2,488
- Equity at exit
- $18,489
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $9,739
- Equity at exit
- $10,721
Cash invested: $34,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32208
- Home prices YoY
- -33.6%
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 291
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,415 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$650
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $888/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$297
- Net cashflow
- $342
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,000
- Closing costs
- $3,720
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6945 Nelms St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $1,550 | $1.37 | 3d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 7140 Buffalo Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,321 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 814 E 60th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 981 | $1,199 | $1.22 | 1d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 841 E 60th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $1,225 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 525 E 60th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,471 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 524 E 60th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $1,195 | $0.99 | 7d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 8027 Floyd St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 935 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 2d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 516 E 58th St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,725 | $1.40 | 7d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 567 E 55th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,488 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 555 E 55th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,488 | $1.21 | 10d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 549 E 55th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,488 | $1.21 | 10d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 7545 Wilder Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 3d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 7525 Oakwood St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,375 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 41 Tallulah Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,390 | $1.27 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 217 E 48th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $1,096 | $1.12 | 10d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 33 W 55th St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1387 | $1,321 | $0.95 | 3d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 349 E 45th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $1,175 | $1.23 | 7d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 7115 Lucky Dr W Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1158 | $1,500 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 345 E 44th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1145 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 209 Woodrow St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1282 | $1,325 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 205 E 44th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 955 | $1,075 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 6418 Sapphire Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 222 E 43rd St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $946 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 343 W 60th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1238 | $1,299 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 18 W 43rd St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 4d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 319 W 49th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 977 | $1,200 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 356 Duray Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,425 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5035 N Main St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 816 | $1,459 | $1.79 | 23d | 69 | 1.08mi |
| 346 W 68th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,385 | $1.24 | 4d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 141 W 43rd St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $1,231 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 385 Duray Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,250 | $1.34 | 20d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 425 W 47th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1083 | $1,193 | $1.10 | 7d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 472 W 65th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1312 | $1,295 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 7124 Lorain St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,043 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 6460 Lanark Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,095 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 535 W 59th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 816 | $1,395 | $1.71 | 7d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 562 W 49th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,195 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 7511 N Shore Dr Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 22 W 38th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4918 N Pearl St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $895 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $124,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $124,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-27$124,000 Active
-
2011-10-29historical 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Very well maintained corner home sits next to Panama park with an additional detached 2 Utility rooms. One with a kitchenette and other a carpeted room. Main house has complete new carpeting. Please do not get surprised by the price. IT IS NOT A SHORT SALE. Seller has priced it right so they can sell it fast.
-
2010-10-29$49,900 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Very well maintained corner home sits next to Panama park with an additional detached 2 Utility rooms. One with a kitchenette and other a carpeted room. Main house has complete new carpeting. Please do not get surprised by the price. IT IS NOT A SHORT SALE. Seller has priced it right so they can sell it fast.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $888 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,029 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$141/yr (+$12/mo · 15.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,981
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,946
- − Property taxes
- −$888
- − Insurance
- −$620
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,358
- − Management
- −$1,358
- − Depreciation
- −$3,607
- Taxable income
- $2,203
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$529
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,575/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,699
- Household income
- $41,324
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1765.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% White 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.56%
- Current HPI
- 217.9706
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.36%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+148.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $124,000 realMLS
- 2011-10-29 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2010-10-29 Listed $49,900 realMLS
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $888 · +25.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…