224 156th St · Calumet City, IL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
THREE SINGLE FAMILY HOMES ON TWO LOTS! CONTACT LIST BROKER FOR PREFERRED LENDER. EACH 2 BEDS 1 BATH WITH UNFINISHED BASEMENT OR ATTIC SPACE FOR EXPANSION. RENTS UP TO $1800 PER UNIT - LIVE RENT FREE IN ONE! TWO CAR PARKING IN FRONT AND POSSIBILITY TO PARK TWO MORE CARS IN THE REAR. MODERN KITCHENS AND BATHS.
Key facts
- 3,049 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1927
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: 3 units in the building; No rehab or rebuild reported
- Financial info: No special service area; Tax exemptions: Homeowner
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking (2 total spaces)
- Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan; Public sewer
- Home design: Two- to four-unit building; Fee simple ownership; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Building age approximately 91–100 years; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 125; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre; Lake Michigan water source; Public sewer
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Forced air; Baseboard
- Interior features: 5 total rooms; Unfinished full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-236 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $177k (19.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (34.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $143k (34.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 8.3% in Calumet City — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 188 days — a 12% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $114k; list at $219k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 188 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.62%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 12.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $119,438
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600 Mackinaw Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+14%) | 22mo | $137,000 | $178 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-45,885
- Equity at exit
- $32,654
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-38,960
- Equity at exit
- $18,935
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60409
- Home prices YoY
- -27.6%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 196
- Price-to-rent
- 12.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,432 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,534/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$301
- Net cashflow
- $-236
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-112 | -5% $-174 | +0% $-236 | +5% $-298 | +10% $-360 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-349 | -5% $-293 | +0% $-236 | +5% $-180 | +10% $-123 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-126 | -0.5pp $-180 | base $-236 | +0.5pp $-293 | +1.0pp $-351 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5950 Hohman Ave Unit 416 Hammond, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,095 | $1.99 | 7d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5231 Hohman Ave Hammond, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 565 | $1,937 | $3.43 | 0d | 16 | 0.66mi |
| 122 Sibley St Hammond, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,150 | $2.09 | 0d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 5945 Hyslop Pl Unit 204 Hammond, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,195 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 237 Highland St Unit 401 Hammond, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,020 | $2.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 634 Sibley Blvd Calumet City, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,450 | $2.04 | 5d | 2 | 0.78mi |
| 230 Wildwood Rd Unit 103 Hammond, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,295 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $219,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $219,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $219,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $219,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $219,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $219,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $219,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $219,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-02-02price $219,000
-
2026-01-10price $225,000
-
2025-12-16$250,000 Active
-
2022-01-03soldstatus $114,000
-
2021-11-05status Active Under Contract
-
2021-10-09status Active
-
2021-10-05status Active Under Contract
-
2021-09-16Active
-
2021-08-10status Pending
-
2021-07-16historical
-
2021-06-03New
-
2006-05-24soldstatus $125,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,534 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,253 · $271/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,718/yr (+$143/mo · 112.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,186
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$1,534
- − Insurance
- −$1,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,375
- − Management
- −$1,375
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable loss
- −$6,832
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,640
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,195/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215
- NCES district ID
- 1738940
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,207
- Composite
- 10.27/100
- National rank
- #9793
- State rank
- #563 of 620 in IL
Livability — Calumet City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #330
- US rank
- #6552
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Calumet City, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 35,100
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,100
- Household income
- $55,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2415.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.01%
- Current HPI
- 197.2137
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.17%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+75.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $219,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-10 Price Changed $225,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-16 Listed $250,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $114,000 Public Records
- 2021-11-05 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-09 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-05 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-16 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-10 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-16 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-03 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2023): $1,534 · +9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…