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2757 Winterbrook Dr Unit E
F Composite 32.93
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$164,000

2757 Winterbrook Dr Unit E · Florence, SC 29505
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,312 sqft · Townhouse · 29 Days on market
Built 2005 Good condition Est $130k · 26% over $150/mo HOA · 10% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This move-in-ready end-unit townhome in Florence, South Carolina, offers the perfect blend of privacy, modern updates, and low-maintenance living. Thoughtfully positioned toward the back of the Winterbrook neighborhood, this home offers a quiet, tucked-away feel away from the main entrance traffic. Freshly updated with a professional interior paint job and featuring major mechanical upgrades (including a new HVAC system and water heater installed last year) this residence is an ideal find for first-time buyers, savvy investors, or those looking to downsize without compromising on quality. The end-unit positioning provides a distinct sense of seclusion and the quiet advantage of only having

Key facts

  • $150 HOA
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 2005

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned MF (multi-family); Offered for sale
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $150 monthly fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Two parking spaces
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Sewer available
  • Home design: Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation; Resale condition
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Patio; Exterior storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom information not provided
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans in multiple rooms; Vaulted ceiling in living room; Vanity; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $164k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-73 ($-877/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $153k (6.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (6.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $153k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.5% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#196 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Florence 01 (urban): math 29% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #34 of 80 in SC (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 657 units permitted in Florence County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $153,199 (6.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.91%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$129,888
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2757 Winterbrook Dr Unit E 0.00mi 2/2.5 1,312 (0%) 0mo $164,000 $125 100
529 Third Loop Rd - D 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,304 (-1%) 14mo $120,000 $92 63
521 3rd Loop Rd., Apt. A 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,304 (-1%) 20mo $129,000 $99 61
533 3rd Loop Road Apt. A 0.36mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,304 (-1%) 21mo $130,000 $100 58
525 Third Loop Road, Apt B 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,304 (-1%) 23mo $82,500 $63 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-24,752
Equity at exit
$24,453
10-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$1,262
Equity at exit
$14,180

Cash invested: $45,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29505

Rents YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
183
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,532 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$860
Tax est. 1.5%
$205 /mo · $2,460/yr
Insurance
$68
HOA
$150
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$322
Net cashflow
$-73

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,625
Max offer price $153,423
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $40 -5% $-16 +0% $-73 +5% $-130 +10% $-186
Rent -10% $-194 -5% $-134 +0% $-73 +5% $-13 +10% $48
Rate -1.0pp $9 -0.5pp $-31 base $-73 +0.5pp $-116 +1.0pp $-159

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,000
Closing costs
$4,920
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$150 · $1,800/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $164,000 Pending 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $164,000 Active Under Contract 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $164,000 Active Under Contract 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $164,000 Active Under Contract 25 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $164,000 Active Under Contract 24 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $164,000 Active Under Contract 23 DOM
  7. 2026-05-19
    historical Active Under Contract
  8. 2026-05-07
    listed $164,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,384
− Mortgage interest
−$9,187
− Property taxes
−$2,460
− Insurance
−$820
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,471
− Management
−$1,471
− HOA
−$1,800
− Depreciation
−$4,771
Taxable loss
−$3,595
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$863
After-tax cash flow
$-14/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in-ready end-unit townhome in Florence, South Carolina, offers a blend of modern updates and low-maintenance living. Freshly painted and featuring a new HVAC system, this home is an ideal find for first-time buyers, savvy investors, or those looking to downsize without compromising on quality.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint freshening — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping enhancement — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value.
  • Resale Kitchen backsplash — A backsplash can add visual interest and functionality to the kitchen.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint freshening — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping enhancement — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value.
  • Resale Kitchen backsplash — A backsplash can add visual interest and functionality to the kitchen.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Florence 01
NCES district ID
4502130
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$45,782
Composite
32.36/100
National rank
#5737
State rank
#34 of 80 in SC

Livability — Florence

Score
62/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#17076

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Florence, SC
County
Florence County · 93,345 people
City population
93,345
Metro
Florence, SC
Population (ZIP)
23,895
Household income
$67,343
Rent vs Own
29.4% rent · 70.6% own
Severe rent burden
559.0

Population outlook (Florence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
141,714 people
By 2030
142,121 · +0.3%
By 2040
141,344 · -0.3%
By 2050
139,478 · -1.6%
By 2075
132,275 · -6.7%
By 2100
118,374 · -16.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Florence

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.0) · D 45.3% · R 53.3% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-4.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.2pp · 2024: -8.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.0 2020: R+2.3 2016: R+5.0 2012: R+0.5 2008: R+3.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.13%
Current HPI
177.9352
Rent YoY
▲ 6.97%
Metro
Florence, SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Contingent CCAR
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $164,000 CCAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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