2757 Winterbrook Dr Unit E · Florence, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.9/30.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This move-in-ready end-unit townhome in Florence, South Carolina, offers the perfect blend of privacy, modern updates, and low-maintenance living. Thoughtfully positioned toward the back of the Winterbrook neighborhood, this home offers a quiet, tucked-away feel away from the main entrance traffic. Freshly updated with a professional interior paint job and featuring major mechanical upgrades (including a new HVAC system and water heater installed last year) this residence is an ideal find for first-time buyers, savvy investors, or those looking to downsize without compromising on quality. The end-unit positioning provides a distinct sense of seclusion and the quiet advantage of only having
Key facts
- $150 HOA
- 2 parking spots
- Built 2005
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned MF (multi-family); Offered for sale
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $150 monthly fee
Exterior
- Parking: Two parking spaces
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Sewer available
- Home design: Entry level: 1
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation; Resale condition
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Patio; Exterior storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom information not provided
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans in multiple rooms; Vaulted ceiling in living room; Vanity; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $164k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-73 ($-877/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $153k (6.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (6.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $153k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.5% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#196 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Florence 01 (urban): math 29% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #34 of 80 in SC (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 657 units permitted in Florence County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.91%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $129,888
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2757 Winterbrook Dr Unit E | 0.00mi | 2/2.5 | 1,312 (0%) | 0mo | $164,000 | $125 | 100 |
| 529 Third Loop Rd - D | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,304 (-1%) | 14mo | $120,000 | $92 | 63 |
| 521 3rd Loop Rd., Apt. A | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,304 (-1%) | 20mo | $129,000 | $99 | 61 |
| 533 3rd Loop Road Apt. A | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,304 (-1%) | 21mo | $130,000 | $100 | 58 |
| 525 Third Loop Road, Apt B | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,304 (-1%) | 23mo | $82,500 | $63 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-24,752
- Equity at exit
- $24,453
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,262
- Equity at exit
- $14,180
Cash invested: $45,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29505
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,532 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$860
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$205 /mo · $2,460/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA
- −$150
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$322
- Net cashflow
- $-73
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $40 | -5% $-16 | +0% $-73 | +5% $-130 | +10% $-186 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-194 | -5% $-134 | +0% $-73 | +5% $-13 | +10% $48 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $9 | -0.5pp $-31 | base $-73 | +0.5pp $-116 | +1.0pp $-159 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,000
- Closing costs
- $4,920
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $150 · $1,800/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $164,000 Pending 29 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $164,000 Active Under Contract 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $164,000 Active Under Contract 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $164,000 Active Under Contract 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $164,000 Active Under Contract 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $164,000 Active Under Contract 23 DOM
-
2026-05-19historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-05-07$164,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,384
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,187
- − Property taxes
- −$2,460
- − Insurance
- −$820
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,471
- − Management
- −$1,471
- − HOA
- −$1,800
- − Depreciation
- −$4,771
- Taxable loss
- −$3,595
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$863
- After-tax cash flow
- $-14/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in-ready end-unit townhome in Florence, South Carolina, offers a blend of modern updates and low-maintenance living. Freshly painted and featuring a new HVAC system, this home is an ideal find for first-time buyers, savvy investors, or those looking to downsize without compromising on quality.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint freshening — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping enhancement — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value.
- Resale Kitchen backsplash — A backsplash can add visual interest and functionality to the kitchen.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint freshening — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping enhancement — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Resale Kitchen backsplash — A backsplash can add visual interest and functionality to the kitchen. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Florence 01
- NCES district ID
- 4502130
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,782
- Composite
- 32.36/100
- National rank
- #5737
- State rank
- #34 of 80 in SC
Livability — Florence
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #17076
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florence, SC
- County
- Florence County · 93,345 people
- City population
- 93,345
- Metro
- Florence, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,895
- Household income
- $67,343
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 559.0
Population outlook (Florence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 141,714 people
- By 2030
- 142,121 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 141,344 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 139,478 · -1.6%
- By 2075
- 132,275 · -6.7%
- By 2100
- 118,374 · -16.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Florence
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.0) · D 45.3% · R 53.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.2pp · 2024: -8.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.0 2020: R+2.3 2016: R+5.0 2012: R+0.5 2008: R+3.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.13%
- Current HPI
- 177.9352
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.97%
- Metro
- Florence, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Contingent — CCAR
- 2026-05-07 Listed $164,000 CCAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…