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6 Elm Tree Terrace Ter
C- Composite 52.35
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.1/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,500

6 Elm Tree Terrace Ter · Mexico, MO 65265
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,704 sqft · Other public records · 53 Days on market
Built 1952 0.29 ac lot $82/sqft · 15% below area Est $163k · 15% under ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits with this 3 bedroom home situated on a quiet, low traffic street - offering a setting with minimal through traffic and added privacy. This property is ready for updates and improvements, making it a great option for buyers looking to customize a home to their style or invest in a property with potential. Home offers a functional layout with three bedrooms and living spaces ready for your vision. While it reflects an earlier era design. It provides a solid foundation for renovation and value added opportunities. Located in an established neighborhood, this home is conveniently close to schools & parks. Whether you're looking for a project, and investment, or a place to make your own this property offers location, potential and a unique setting. Schedule your showing

Key facts

  • Added privacy
  • Solid foundation
  • Functional layout

Tags

QUIET LOW TRAFFIC STREETADDED PRIVACYFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTSOLID FOUNDATIONESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOODCONVENIENTLY CLOSE TO SCHOOLS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade finished living area reported as 1,704 (per public records)

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; On-street parking; Attached garage (1 garage space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity connected, natural gas available, sewer connected, water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; House structure; Private ownership
  • Construction: Aluminum siding and clapboard exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Private backyard; Front yard; Some trees on the lot; Rain gutters; Chain link and partial fencing; Equipment shed / additional shed(s); Asphalt road frontage on a city street

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing gas range
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bath on the main level; One half bath on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Built-in bookcases; Built-in features; Aluminum and wood window frames with shutters and window treatments; One fireplace located in the recreation room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry area in garage and multiple laundry locations

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $111 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (10.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $124k (10.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.5% in Mexico — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#256 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mexico 59 (town): math 31% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #229 of 324 in MO (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Eugene Field Elem. (math 31% / reading 41%, grade F, #662 of 1,115 statewide, top 60%, 424 students, 100% FRL); Mexico High (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #321 of 521 statewide, top 67%, 746 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 52% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 27 units permitted in Audrain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $964 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Audrain County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $124,417 (10.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.25%
Cash-on-cash
3.42%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$163,421
List price
$139,500
Delta
-14.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.0%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-15,549
Equity at exit
$20,800
10-year hold
IRR
-1.7%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-4,561
Equity at exit
$12,061

Cash invested: $39,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65265

Home prices YoY
-30.2%
Active inventory
136
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,244 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$732
Tax from tax record
$82 /mo · $982/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$261
Net cashflow
$111

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,103
Max offer price $139,500
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $190 -5% $151 +0% $111 +5% $72 +10% $32
Rent -10% $13 -5% $62 +0% $111 +5% $161 +10% $210
Rate -1.0pp $182 -0.5pp $147 base $111 +0.5pp $75 +1.0pp $38

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,875
Closing costs
$4,185
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1822 Springdale Ct Mexico, MO 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,050 $0.95 14d 1 0.93mi
1904 Springdale Ct Mexico, MO 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,050 $0.95 14d 1 0.93mi
609 Carson St Mexico, MO 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 22d 1 1.02mi
1730 Sierra St Mexico, MO 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,950 $1.70 45d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $139,500 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $139,500 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,500 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,500 Active 49 DOM
    Show marketing remark (800 chars)

    Opportunity awaits with this 3 bedroom home situated on a quiet, low traffic street - offering a setting with minimal through traffic and added privacy. This property is ready for updates and improvements, making it a great option for buyers looking to customize a home to their style or invest in a property with potential. Home offers a functional layout with three bedrooms and living spaces ready for your vision. While it reflects an earlier era design. It provides a solid foundation for renovation and value added opportunities. Located in an established neighborhood, this home is conveniently close to schools & parks. Whether you're looking for a project, and investment, or a place to make your own this property offers location, potential and a unique setting. Schedule your showing

  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,500 Active 48 DOM
    Show marketing remark (800 chars)

    Opportunity awaits with this 3 bedroom home situated on a quiet, low traffic street - offering a setting with minimal through traffic and added privacy. This property is ready for updates and improvements, making it a great option for buyers looking to customize a home to their style or invest in a property with potential. Home offers a functional layout with three bedrooms and living spaces ready for your vision. While it reflects an earlier era design. It provides a solid foundation for renovation and value added opportunities. Located in an established neighborhood, this home is conveniently close to schools & parks. Whether you're looking for a project, and investment, or a place to make your own this property offers location, potential and a unique setting. Schedule your showing

  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,500 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,500 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $139,500 Active 44 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,500 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,500 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,500 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,500 Active 38 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,500 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,500 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,500 Active 33 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,500 Active 32 DOM
  17. 2026-04-29
    listed $162,500 Active 800-char remark
    Show marketing remark (800 chars)

    Opportunity awaits with this 3 bedroom home situated on a quiet, low traffic street - offering a setting with minimal through traffic and added privacy. This property is ready for updates and improvements, making it a great option for buyers looking to customize a home to their style or invest in a property with potential. Home offers a functional layout with three bedrooms and living spaces ready for your vision. While it reflects an earlier era design. It provides a solid foundation for renovation and value added opportunities. Located in an established neighborhood, this home is conveniently close to schools & parks. Whether you're looking for a project, and investment, or a place to make your own this property offers location, potential and a unique setting. Schedule your showing

  18. 2026-04-29
    listed $162,500 Active 800-char remark
    Show marketing remark (800 chars)

    Opportunity awaits with this 3 bedroom home situated on a quiet, low traffic street - offering a setting with minimal through traffic and added privacy. This property is ready for updates and improvements, making it a great option for buyers looking to customize a home to their style or invest in a property with potential. Home offers a functional layout with three bedrooms and living spaces ready for your vision. While it reflects an earlier era design. It provides a solid foundation for renovation and value added opportunities. Located in an established neighborhood, this home is conveniently close to schools & parks. Whether you're looking for a project, and investment, or a place to make your own this property offers location, potential and a unique setting. Schedule your showing

  19. 2026-04-29
    listed $162,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (800 chars)

    Opportunity awaits with this 3 bedroom home situated on a quiet, low traffic street - offering a setting with minimal through traffic and added privacy. This property is ready for updates and improvements, making it a great option for buyers looking to customize a home to their style or invest in a property with potential. Home offers a functional layout with three bedrooms and living spaces ready for your vision. While it reflects an earlier era design. It provides a solid foundation for renovation and value added opportunities. Located in an established neighborhood, this home is conveniently close to schools & parks. Whether you're looking for a project, and investment, or a place to make your own this property offers location, potential and a unique setting. Schedule your showing

  20. 2026-04-29
    listed $162,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (800 chars)

    Opportunity awaits with this 3 bedroom home situated on a quiet, low traffic street - offering a setting with minimal through traffic and added privacy. This property is ready for updates and improvements, making it a great option for buyers looking to customize a home to their style or invest in a property with potential. Home offers a functional layout with three bedrooms and living spaces ready for your vision. While it reflects an earlier era design. It provides a solid foundation for renovation and value added opportunities. Located in an established neighborhood, this home is conveniently close to schools & parks. Whether you're looking for a project, and investment, or a place to make your own this property offers location, potential and a unique setting. Schedule your showing

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$982 · $82/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,353 · $113/mo
Expected delta
+$371/yr (+$31/mo · 37.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,930
− Mortgage interest
−$7,814
− Property taxes
−$982
− Insurance
−$698
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,194
− Management
−$1,194
− Depreciation
−$4,058
Taxable loss
−$1,011
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$243
After-tax cash flow
$1,579/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mexico 59
NCES district ID
2920810
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,152
Composite
29.07/100
National rank
#6601
State rank
#229 of 324 in MO

Livability — Mexico

Score
65/100
State rank
#256
US rank
#12405

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mexico, MO
Population (ZIP)
15,131

Population outlook (Audrain County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
27,791 people
By 2030
28,684 · +3.2%
By 2040
30,598 · +10.1%
By 2050
32,319 · +16.3%
By 2075
36,395 · +31.0%
By 2100
37,277 · +34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Audrain

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.6) · D 25.6% · R 73.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-31.6pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -47.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.6 2020: R+47.2 2016: R+44.0 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.24%
Current HPI
213.6163
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.2% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Relisted CBORMLS
  • 2026-06-16 Relisted JCMLS
  • 2026-06-16 Relisted HMMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Delisted HMMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Pending CBORMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Pending JCMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Price Changed $139,500 HMMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Price Changed $139,500 CBORMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Price Changed $139,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-29 Price Changed $139,500 JCMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $162,500 CBORMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $162,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $162,500 HMMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $162,500 JCMLS

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $982 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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