6 Elm Tree Terrace Ter · Mexico, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.7/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity awaits with this 3 bedroom home situated on a quiet, low traffic street - offering a setting with minimal through traffic and added privacy. This property is ready for updates and improvements, making it a great option for buyers looking to customize a home to their style or invest in a property with potential. Home offers a functional layout with three bedrooms and living spaces ready for your vision. While it reflects an earlier era design. It provides a solid foundation for renovation and value added opportunities. Located in an established neighborhood, this home is conveniently close to schools & parks. Whether you're looking for a project, and investment, or a place to make your own this property offers location, potential and a unique setting. Schedule your showing
Key facts
- Added privacy
- Solid foundation
- Functional layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-grade finished living area reported as 1,704 (per public records)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; On-street parking; Attached garage (1 garage space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity connected, natural gas available, sewer connected, water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; House structure; Private ownership
- Construction: Aluminum siding and clapboard exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Private backyard; Front yard; Some trees on the lot; Rain gutters; Chain link and partial fencing; Equipment shed / additional shed(s); Asphalt road frontage on a city street
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing gas range
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bath on the main level; One half bath on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in bookcases; Built-in features; Aluminum and wood window frames with shutters and window treatments; One fireplace located in the recreation room
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry area in garage and multiple laundry locations
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $111 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (10.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $124k (10.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.5% in Mexico — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#256 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Mexico 59 (town): math 31% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #229 of 324 in MO (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Eugene Field Elem. (math 31% / reading 41%, grade F, #662 of 1,115 statewide, top 60%, 424 students, 100% FRL); Mexico High (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #321 of 521 statewide, top 67%, 746 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 52% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 27 units permitted in Audrain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $964 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Audrain County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.42%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,421
- List price
- $139,500
- Delta
- -14.64%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-15,549
- Equity at exit
- $20,800
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-4,561
- Equity at exit
- $12,061
Cash invested: $39,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65265
- Home prices YoY
- -30.2%
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,244 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$732
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $982/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$261
- Net cashflow
- $111
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $190 | -5% $151 | +0% $111 | +5% $72 | +10% $32 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $13 | -5% $62 | +0% $111 | +5% $161 | +10% $210 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $182 | -0.5pp $147 | base $111 | +0.5pp $75 | +1.0pp $38 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,875
- Closing costs
- $4,185
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1822 Springdale Ct Mexico, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1904 Springdale Ct Mexico, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 609 Carson St Mexico, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 22d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1730 Sierra St Mexico, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,950 | $1.70 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $139,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $139,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,500 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,500 Active 49 DOM
Show marketing remark (800 chars)
Opportunity awaits with this 3 bedroom home situated on a quiet, low traffic street - offering a setting with minimal through traffic and added privacy. This property is ready for updates and improvements, making it a great option for buyers looking to customize a home to their style or invest in a property with potential. Home offers a functional layout with three bedrooms and living spaces ready for your vision. While it reflects an earlier era design. It provides a solid foundation for renovation and value added opportunities. Located in an established neighborhood, this home is conveniently close to schools & parks. Whether you're looking for a project, and investment, or a place to make your own this property offers location, potential and a unique setting. Schedule your showing
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,500 Active 48 DOM
Show marketing remark (800 chars)
Opportunity awaits with this 3 bedroom home situated on a quiet, low traffic street - offering a setting with minimal through traffic and added privacy. This property is ready for updates and improvements, making it a great option for buyers looking to customize a home to their style or invest in a property with potential. Home offers a functional layout with three bedrooms and living spaces ready for your vision. While it reflects an earlier era design. It provides a solid foundation for renovation and value added opportunities. Located in an established neighborhood, this home is conveniently close to schools & parks. Whether you're looking for a project, and investment, or a place to make your own this property offers location, potential and a unique setting. Schedule your showing
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $139,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,500 Active 33 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $139,500 Active 32 DOM
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2026-04-29$162,500 Active 800-char remark
Show marketing remark (800 chars)
Opportunity awaits with this 3 bedroom home situated on a quiet, low traffic street - offering a setting with minimal through traffic and added privacy. This property is ready for updates and improvements, making it a great option for buyers looking to customize a home to their style or invest in a property with potential. Home offers a functional layout with three bedrooms and living spaces ready for your vision. While it reflects an earlier era design. It provides a solid foundation for renovation and value added opportunities. Located in an established neighborhood, this home is conveniently close to schools & parks. Whether you're looking for a project, and investment, or a place to make your own this property offers location, potential and a unique setting. Schedule your showing
-
2026-04-29$162,500 Active 800-char remark
Show marketing remark (800 chars)
Opportunity awaits with this 3 bedroom home situated on a quiet, low traffic street - offering a setting with minimal through traffic and added privacy. This property is ready for updates and improvements, making it a great option for buyers looking to customize a home to their style or invest in a property with potential. Home offers a functional layout with three bedrooms and living spaces ready for your vision. While it reflects an earlier era design. It provides a solid foundation for renovation and value added opportunities. Located in an established neighborhood, this home is conveniently close to schools & parks. Whether you're looking for a project, and investment, or a place to make your own this property offers location, potential and a unique setting. Schedule your showing
-
2026-04-29$162,500 Active
Show marketing remark (800 chars)
Opportunity awaits with this 3 bedroom home situated on a quiet, low traffic street - offering a setting with minimal through traffic and added privacy. This property is ready for updates and improvements, making it a great option for buyers looking to customize a home to their style or invest in a property with potential. Home offers a functional layout with three bedrooms and living spaces ready for your vision. While it reflects an earlier era design. It provides a solid foundation for renovation and value added opportunities. Located in an established neighborhood, this home is conveniently close to schools & parks. Whether you're looking for a project, and investment, or a place to make your own this property offers location, potential and a unique setting. Schedule your showing
-
2026-04-29$162,500 Active
Show marketing remark (800 chars)
Opportunity awaits with this 3 bedroom home situated on a quiet, low traffic street - offering a setting with minimal through traffic and added privacy. This property is ready for updates and improvements, making it a great option for buyers looking to customize a home to their style or invest in a property with potential. Home offers a functional layout with three bedrooms and living spaces ready for your vision. While it reflects an earlier era design. It provides a solid foundation for renovation and value added opportunities. Located in an established neighborhood, this home is conveniently close to schools & parks. Whether you're looking for a project, and investment, or a place to make your own this property offers location, potential and a unique setting. Schedule your showing
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $982 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,353 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- +$371/yr (+$31/mo · 37.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,930
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,814
- − Property taxes
- −$982
- − Insurance
- −$698
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,194
- − Management
- −$1,194
- − Depreciation
- −$4,058
- Taxable loss
- −$1,011
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$243
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,579/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mexico 59
- NCES district ID
- 2920810
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,152
- Composite
- 29.07/100
- National rank
- #6601
- State rank
- #229 of 324 in MO
Livability — Mexico
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #256
- US rank
- #12405
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mexico, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,131
Population outlook (Audrain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,791 people
- By 2030
- 28,684 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 30,598 · +10.1%
- By 2050
- 32,319 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 36,395 · +31.0%
- By 2100
- 37,277 · +34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Audrain
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.6) · D 25.6% · R 73.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.6pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -47.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.6 2020: R+47.2 2016: R+44.0 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.24%
- Current HPI
- 213.6163
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
-14.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Relisted — CBORMLS
- 2026-06-16 Relisted — JCMLS
- 2026-06-16 Relisted — HMMLS
- 2026-06-05 Delisted — HMMLS
- 2026-06-05 Pending — CBORMLS
- 2026-06-05 Pending — JCMLS
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $139,500 HMMLS
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $139,500 CBORMLS
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $139,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $139,500 JCMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $162,500 CBORMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $162,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Listed $162,500 HMMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $162,500 JCMLS
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $982 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…