403 Water Tower Cir #92 · Brighton, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Schools +6.2/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$188,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this beautifully updated upper-level condominium, where natural light pours in and creates an airy, loft-like ambiance throughout. Two bedrooms and one full bath, with the vanity separated for convenience. Thoughtfully refreshed, recent improvements include fresh interior paint, a stylish granite kitchen, updated A/C, washer and dryer, dishwasher, and attractive vinyl plank flooring. Enjoy the ease of low-maintenance living while being just moments from everything Brighton has to offer - shopping, dining, and convenient expressway access. The community enhances your lifestyle with a sparkling outdoor pool and clubhouse, perfect for relaxing or gathering with friends. An exceptional location, thoughtful updates, and outstanding value - this is the one you've been waiting for.
Key facts
- Outdoor pool
- Expressway access
- Clubhouse
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $188k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $347 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $188k).
- Recommended offer: $165k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 2.9% in Brighton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#108 in MI, #2,621 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Brighton Area Schools (suburban): math 59% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #22 of 540 in MI (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Hilton Road Elementary School (math 57% / reading 62%, grade B-, #200 of 1,397 statewide, top 16%, 498 students, 17% FRL); Scranton Middle School (math 56% / reading 71%, grade B+, #42 of 493 statewide, top 8%, 828 students, 16% FRL); Brighton High School (math 54% / reading 75%, grade B-, #46 of 713 statewide, top 7%, 1,961 students, 13% FRL).
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 62d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 488 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Livingston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $118k; list at $188k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.91%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $315,281
- List price
- $188,000
- Delta
- -40.37%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317 Woodlake Dr | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,472 (-20%) | 2mo | $340,000 | $231 | 55 |
| 5334 Military Ave | 0.97mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,840 (-0%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $198 | 54 |
| 143 S 2nd St | 1.07mi | 2/2.5 | 1,768 (-4%) | 1mo | $380,000 | $215 | 51 |
| 222 Lantana Dr | 1.00mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,907 (+3%) | 0mo | $404,990 | $212 | 48 |
| 301 Lantana Dr | 1.39mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,907 (+3%) | 1mo | $399,990 | $210 | 48 |
| 1214 Mountain Ash Dr | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 | 1,427 (-23%) | 2mo | $360,000 | $252 | 47 |
| 815 Oak Ridge Ct | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,960 (+6%) | 0mo | $390,000 | $199 | 45 |
| 309 Pineknoll Ct | 0.33mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,418 (-23%) | 2mo | $340,000 | $240 | 45 |
| 515 Carberry Hl | 1.45mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 2,009 (+9%) | 0mo | $260,000 | $129 | 39 |
| 224 Sean St | 1.29mi | 2/2.5 | 1,592 (-14%) | 1mo | $313,500 | $197 | 35 |
| 5233 Van Winkle St | 1.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-22%) | 1mo | $339,000 | $235 | 30 |
| 485 Jenny Way | 1.30mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,592 (-14%) | 2mo | $323,800 | $203 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $44,997
- Equity at exit
- $84,533
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.46×
- Total profit
- $129,605
- Equity at exit
- $130,275
Cash invested: $52,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48116 2916
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,533 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$986
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$235 /mo · $2,820/yr
- Insurance
- −$78
- HOA
- −$355
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$532
- Net cashflow
- $347
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $477 | -5% $412 | +0% $347 | +5% $282 | +10% $217 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $147 | -5% $247 | +0% $347 | +5% $447 | +10% $547 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $442 | -0.5pp $395 | base $347 | +0.5pp $298 | +1.0pp $249 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,000
- Closing costs
- $5,640
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 553 Glenwyth Rd Brighton, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1586 | $2,500 | $1.58 | 33d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 6891 Somerset Dr Brighton, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1532 | $2,775 | $1.81 | 139d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1006 State St Brighton, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1437 | $2,300 | $1.60 | 61d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Pets allowedCommunity features include pool and clubhouse
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association with monthly fee of $355HOA provides grounds maintenanceSubdivision: WOODLAKE CONDO
Exterior
- Parking
- Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- CondominiumOne levelUpper-level entry with stepsBrick and vinyl siding
- Construction
- Asphalt roof
- Exterior features
- Covered porchPatio/porchCommunity outdoor poolClubhouseSidewalksPaved road access
Interior
- Kitchen
- Built-in electric rangeBuilt-in refrigeratorRefrigeratorGarbage disposal
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heating (natural gas)No central air
- Interior features
- Unfinished basementPrivate entranceLighting
- Laundry & utility
- WasherDryerGas water heater
HOA detail $355/mo · $4,260/yr condo
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $188,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $188,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $188,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $188,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $188,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $188,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $188,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $188,000 Active 135 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $188,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $188,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $188,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $188,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $188,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $188,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $188,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $188,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-08-31days on market $188,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $188,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $188,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $188,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $188,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $188,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $188,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $188,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $188,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $188,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $188,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $188,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $188,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $188,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $188,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $188,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $188,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $188,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $188,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $188,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $188,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $188,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $188,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $188,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $188,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $188,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $188,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $188,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $188,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $188,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $188,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $188,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $188,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $188,000 Active 81 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,397
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,531
- − Property taxes
- −$2,820
- − Insurance
- −$940
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,432
- − Management
- −$2,432
- − HOA
- −$4,260
- − Depreciation
- −$5,469
- Taxable income
- $1,513
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$363
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,800/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This beautifully updated upper-level condominium offers a good condition with recent improvements and low-maintenance living. It is ready for immediate occupancy and can be further enhanced with minor exterior updates and smart home devices.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can add value ↑
- Rental Replace ceiling fans and light fixtures — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and can add value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brighton Area Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2606870
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $84,114
- Composite
- 57.62/100
- National rank
- #1062
- State rank
- #22 of 540 in MI
Livability — Brighton
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #2621
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brighton, MI
Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,920 people
- By 2030
- 209,173 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 216,878 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 217,485 · +7.2%
- By 2075
- 217,590 · +7.2%
- By 2100
- 197,095 · -2.9%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+62.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Price Changed $198,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-18 Price Changed $198,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-05 Listed $200,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-05 Listed $200,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-03-10 Sold (MLS) $118,000 REALCOMP
- 2005-02-01 Listed $122,000 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…