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1441 Paso Real Ave #40
A- Composite 80.73
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$104,450

1441 Paso Real Ave #40 · Rowland Heights, CA 91748
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 780 sqft · Manufactured · 334 Days on market
Built 1971 Good condition $134/sqft · 29% below area Est $148k · 29% under ↓ 44% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LARGE PRICE REDTUCTION !! Nice Location. Great Opportunity. 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Central Air and Heating. 3 Car covered carport. Clean and Easy Maintenance Side and Back Yard. Park features a Clubhouse with Kitchen, Library, Pool tables and Pool. Walking distance to Markets, Schools, Bus Lines, Post office, Shops and more.

Key facts

  • 3 parking spots
  • Community pool
  • Built 1971

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $104k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $104k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.4% vs local median 2.6% in Rowland Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 50/100 on livability (#1,123 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rowland Unified (suburban): math 40% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #134 of 517 in CA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Jellick Elementary (382 students, 82% FRL); Alvarado Intermediate (648 students, 73% FRL); John A. Rowland High (math 49% / reading 68%, grade C, #223 of 1,170 statewide, top 19%, 2,025 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 56% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.3%/yr); 104 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $722 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 334 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $91,916 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 334 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.47%
Cap rate
21.38%
Cash-on-cash
53.89%
DSCR
3.40
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$147,988
List price
$104,450
Delta
-29.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1441 S Paso Real Ave #237 0.00mi 2/2.0 768 (-2%) 18mo $119,990 $156 82
1441 S Paso Real Ave #263 0.10mi 2/1.0 720 (-8%) 17mo $100,000 $139 64
1441 S Paso Real Ave #32 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 880 (+13%) 22mo $166,000 $189 56
1560 Otterbein Ave #8 0.56mi 2/1.0 672 (-14%) 6mo $150,000 $223 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
57.6%
Equity multiple
3.75×
Total profit
$80,378
Equity at exit
$15,574
10-year hold
IRR
64.3%
Equity multiple
9.20×
Total profit
$239,828
Equity at exit
$9,031

Cash invested: $29,246 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 91748

Rents YoY
10.3%
Active inventory
104
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,576 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$548
Tax est. 1.5%
$131 /mo · $1,567/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$541
Net cashflow
$1,313

Break-even live

Break-even rent $914
Max offer price $104,450
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,386 -5% $1,349 +0% $1,313 +5% $1,277 +10% $1,241
Rent -10% $1,110 -5% $1,212 +0% $1,313 +5% $1,415 +10% $1,517
Rate -1.0pp $1,366 -0.5pp $1,340 base $1,313 +0.5pp $1,286 +1.0pp $1,259

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,112
Closing costs
$3,134
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18600 Colima Rd Rowland Heights, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 657 $2,335 $3.55 3d 17 0.29mi
18567 Colima Rd Rowland Heights, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 845 $2,400 $2.84 5d 26 0.29mi
1439 S Jellick Ave Unit B Rowland Heights, CA 2.0 1.5 1049 $2,300 $2.19 6d 1 0.42mi
1345 Jellick Ave Rowland Heights, CA 1.0 1.0 673 $3,000 $4.46 26d 1 0.45mi
19050 Colima Rd Rowland Heights, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 833 $2,595 $3.12 24d 2 0.45mi
18247 Via Calma #3 Rowland Heights, CA 2.0 1.0 836 $1,995 $2.39 9d 1 0.80mi
1940 Fullerton Rd Rowland Heights, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 775 $2,265 $2.92 45d 1 0.82mi
2415 Los Padres Dr Rowland Heights, CA 3.0 2.0 1120 $3,300 $2.95 19d 1 1.00mi
2601 E Valley Blvd West Covina, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 925 $2,650 $2.86 9d 3 1.00mi
2817 E Valley Blvd West Covina, CA 3.0 2.0 1050 $3,100 $2.95 45d 1 1.08mi
2847 Valley Blvd West Covina, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 879 $3,040 $3.46 0d 7 1.09mi
Searls Dr Unit A Rowland Heights, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $2,600 $3.47 45d 1 1.09mi
17800 Colima Rd Rowland Heights, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 764 $2,980 $3.90 1d 7 1.34mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $104,450 Active 334 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $104,450 Active 331 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $104,450 Active 330 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $104,450 Active 329 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $104,450 Active 328 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $104,450 Active 326 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $104,450 Active 325 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $104,450 Active 322 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $104,450 Active 321 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $104,450 Active 320 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $104,450 Active 317 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $104,450 Active 316 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $104,450 Active 315 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $104,450 Active 314 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $104,450 Active 313 DOM
  16. 2026-04-16
    price $104,450 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    LARGE PRICE REDTUCTION !! Nice Location. Great Opportunity. 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Central Air and Heating. 3 Car covered carport. Clean and Easy Maintenance Side and Back Yard. Park features a Clubhouse with Kitchen, Library, Pool tables and Pool. Walking distance to Markets, Schools, Bus Lines, Post office, Shops and more.

  17. 2026-01-23
    price $119,990 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    LARGE PRICE REDTUCTION !! Nice Location. Great Opportunity. 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Central Air and Heating. 3 Car covered carport. Clean and Easy Maintenance Side and Back Yard. Park features a Clubhouse with Kitchen, Library, Pool tables and Pool. Walking distance to Markets, Schools, Bus Lines, Post office, Shops and more.

  18. 2025-11-24
    price $129,500 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    LARGE PRICE REDTUCTION !! Nice Location. Great Opportunity. 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Central Air and Heating. 3 Car covered carport. Clean and Easy Maintenance Side and Back Yard. Park features a Clubhouse with Kitchen, Library, Pool tables and Pool. Walking distance to Markets, Schools, Bus Lines, Post office, Shops and more.

  19. 2025-09-18
    price $139,000 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    LARGE PRICE REDTUCTION !! Nice Location. Great Opportunity. 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Central Air and Heating. 3 Car covered carport. Clean and Easy Maintenance Side and Back Yard. Park features a Clubhouse with Kitchen, Library, Pool tables and Pool. Walking distance to Markets, Schools, Bus Lines, Post office, Shops and more.

  20. 2025-08-20
    price $154,300 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    LARGE PRICE REDTUCTION !! Nice Location. Great Opportunity. 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Central Air and Heating. 3 Car covered carport. Clean and Easy Maintenance Side and Back Yard. Park features a Clubhouse with Kitchen, Library, Pool tables and Pool. Walking distance to Markets, Schools, Bus Lines, Post office, Shops and more.

  21. 2025-07-22
    listed $185,000 Active 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    LARGE PRICE REDTUCTION !! Nice Location. Great Opportunity. 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Central Air and Heating. 3 Car covered carport. Clean and Easy Maintenance Side and Back Yard. Park features a Clubhouse with Kitchen, Library, Pool tables and Pool. Walking distance to Markets, Schools, Bus Lines, Post office, Shops and more.

  22. 2025-07-21
    historical $185,000 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    LARGE PRICE REDTUCTION !! Nice Location. Great Opportunity. 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Central Air and Heating. 3 Car covered carport. Clean and Easy Maintenance Side and Back Yard. Park features a Clubhouse with Kitchen, Library, Pool tables and Pool. Walking distance to Markets, Schools, Bus Lines, Post office, Shops and more.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,915
− Mortgage interest
−$5,851
− Property taxes
−$1,567
− Insurance
−$522
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,473
− Management
−$2,473
− Depreciation
−$3,039
Taxable income
$14,990
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,598
After-tax cash flow
$12,163/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. Fresh paint and cleaning gutters can significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and prevent water damage, enhancing both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and prevent water damage, enhancing both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rowland Unified
NCES district ID
0633750
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▲ 11.00%
Median HH income
$63,667
Composite
44.83/100
National rank
#2733
State rank
#134 of 517 in CA

Livability — Rowland Heights

Score
50/100
State rank
#1123
US rank
#25637

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime C- Employment A Housing C Health & safety D- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rowland Heights, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
42,463
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
42,463
Household income
$83,428
Rent vs Own
33.4% rent · 66.6% own
Severe rent burden
1440.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Asian (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 59% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 6% White 6% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Foreign-born
55% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
25% English-only · Chinese 37% Spanish 22% Tagalog/Filipino 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -754.24%
Current HPI
364.5923
Rent YoY
▲ 10.27%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-43.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $104,450 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-23 Price Changed $119,990 CRMLS
  • 2025-11-24 Price Changed $129,500 CRMLS
  • 2025-09-18 Price Changed $139,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-08-20 Price Changed $154,300 CRMLS
  • 2025-07-22 Listed $185,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-07-21 Coming Soon $185,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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