1441 Paso Real Ave #40 · Rowland Heights, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,450
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LARGE PRICE REDTUCTION !! Nice Location. Great Opportunity. 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Central Air and Heating. 3 Car covered carport. Clean and Easy Maintenance Side and Back Yard. Park features a Clubhouse with Kitchen, Library, Pool tables and Pool. Walking distance to Markets, Schools, Bus Lines, Post office, Shops and more.
Key facts
- 3 parking spots
- Community pool
- Built 1971
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $104k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $104k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.4% vs local median 2.6% in Rowland Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#1,123 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Rowland Unified (suburban): math 40% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #134 of 517 in CA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Jellick Elementary (382 students, 82% FRL); Alvarado Intermediate (648 students, 73% FRL); John A. Rowland High (math 49% / reading 68%, grade C, #223 of 1,170 statewide, top 19%, 2,025 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 56% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.3%/yr); 104 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $722 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 334 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 334 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 53.89%
- DSCR
- 3.40
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $147,988
- List price
- $104,450
- Delta
- -29.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1441 S Paso Real Ave #237 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 768 (-2%) | 18mo | $119,990 | $156 | 82 |
| 1441 S Paso Real Ave #263 | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-8%) | 17mo | $100,000 | $139 | 64 |
| 1441 S Paso Real Ave #32 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 880 (+13%) | 22mo | $166,000 | $189 | 56 |
| 1560 Otterbein Ave #8 | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-14%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $223 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 57.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.75×
- Total profit
- $80,378
- Equity at exit
- $15,574
- IRR
- 64.3%
- Equity multiple
- 9.20×
- Total profit
- $239,828
- Equity at exit
- $9,031
Cash invested: $29,246 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 91748
- Rents YoY
- 10.3%
- Active inventory
- 104
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,576 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$548
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$131 /mo · $1,567/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$541
- Net cashflow
- $1,313
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,386 | -5% $1,349 | +0% $1,313 | +5% $1,277 | +10% $1,241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,110 | -5% $1,212 | +0% $1,313 | +5% $1,415 | +10% $1,517 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,366 | -0.5pp $1,340 | base $1,313 | +0.5pp $1,286 | +1.0pp $1,259 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,112
- Closing costs
- $3,134
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18600 Colima Rd Rowland Heights, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 657 | $2,335 | $3.55 | 3d | 17 | 0.29mi |
| 18567 Colima Rd Rowland Heights, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $2,400 | $2.84 | 5d | 26 | 0.29mi |
| 1439 S Jellick Ave Unit B Rowland Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1049 | $2,300 | $2.19 | 6d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1345 Jellick Ave Rowland Heights, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 673 | $3,000 | $4.46 | 26d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 19050 Colima Rd Rowland Heights, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 833 | $2,595 | $3.12 | 24d | 2 | 0.45mi |
| 18247 Via Calma #3 Rowland Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,995 | $2.39 | 9d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1940 Fullerton Rd Rowland Heights, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $2,265 | $2.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2415 Los Padres Dr Rowland Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $3,300 | $2.95 | 19d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2601 E Valley Blvd West Covina, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $2,650 | $2.86 | 9d | 3 | 1.00mi |
| 2817 E Valley Blvd West Covina, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $3,100 | $2.95 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2847 Valley Blvd West Covina, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 879 | $3,040 | $3.46 | 0d | 7 | 1.09mi |
| Searls Dr Unit A Rowland Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,600 | $3.47 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 17800 Colima Rd Rowland Heights, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 764 | $2,980 | $3.90 | 1d | 7 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $104,450 Active 334 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $104,450 Active 331 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $104,450 Active 330 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $104,450 Active 329 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $104,450 Active 328 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $104,450 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $104,450 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $104,450 Active 322 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $104,450 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $104,450 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $104,450 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $104,450 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $104,450 Active 315 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $104,450 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $104,450 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $104,450 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
LARGE PRICE REDTUCTION !! Nice Location. Great Opportunity. 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Central Air and Heating. 3 Car covered carport. Clean and Easy Maintenance Side and Back Yard. Park features a Clubhouse with Kitchen, Library, Pool tables and Pool. Walking distance to Markets, Schools, Bus Lines, Post office, Shops and more.
-
2026-01-23price $119,990 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
LARGE PRICE REDTUCTION !! Nice Location. Great Opportunity. 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Central Air and Heating. 3 Car covered carport. Clean and Easy Maintenance Side and Back Yard. Park features a Clubhouse with Kitchen, Library, Pool tables and Pool. Walking distance to Markets, Schools, Bus Lines, Post office, Shops and more.
-
2025-11-24price $129,500 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
LARGE PRICE REDTUCTION !! Nice Location. Great Opportunity. 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Central Air and Heating. 3 Car covered carport. Clean and Easy Maintenance Side and Back Yard. Park features a Clubhouse with Kitchen, Library, Pool tables and Pool. Walking distance to Markets, Schools, Bus Lines, Post office, Shops and more.
-
2025-09-18price $139,000 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
LARGE PRICE REDTUCTION !! Nice Location. Great Opportunity. 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Central Air and Heating. 3 Car covered carport. Clean and Easy Maintenance Side and Back Yard. Park features a Clubhouse with Kitchen, Library, Pool tables and Pool. Walking distance to Markets, Schools, Bus Lines, Post office, Shops and more.
-
2025-08-20price $154,300 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
LARGE PRICE REDTUCTION !! Nice Location. Great Opportunity. 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Central Air and Heating. 3 Car covered carport. Clean and Easy Maintenance Side and Back Yard. Park features a Clubhouse with Kitchen, Library, Pool tables and Pool. Walking distance to Markets, Schools, Bus Lines, Post office, Shops and more.
-
2025-07-22$185,000 Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
LARGE PRICE REDTUCTION !! Nice Location. Great Opportunity. 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Central Air and Heating. 3 Car covered carport. Clean and Easy Maintenance Side and Back Yard. Park features a Clubhouse with Kitchen, Library, Pool tables and Pool. Walking distance to Markets, Schools, Bus Lines, Post office, Shops and more.
-
2025-07-21historical $185,000 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
LARGE PRICE REDTUCTION !! Nice Location. Great Opportunity. 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Central Air and Heating. 3 Car covered carport. Clean and Easy Maintenance Side and Back Yard. Park features a Clubhouse with Kitchen, Library, Pool tables and Pool. Walking distance to Markets, Schools, Bus Lines, Post office, Shops and more.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,915
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,851
- − Property taxes
- −$1,567
- − Insurance
- −$522
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,473
- − Management
- −$2,473
- − Depreciation
- −$3,039
- Taxable income
- $14,990
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,598
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,163/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. Fresh paint and cleaning gutters can significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and prevent water damage, enhancing both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and prevent water damage, enhancing both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rowland Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0633750
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▲ 11.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,667
- Composite
- 44.83/100
- National rank
- #2733
- State rank
- #134 of 517 in CA
Livability — Rowland Heights
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #1123
- US rank
- #25637
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rowland Heights, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 42,463
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,463
- Household income
- $83,428
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1440.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Asian (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 59% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 6% White 6% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Foreign-born
- 55% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 25% English-only · Chinese 37% Spanish 22% Tagalog/Filipino 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -754.24%
- Current HPI
- 364.5923
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.27%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-43.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $104,450 CRMLS
- 2026-01-23 Price Changed $119,990 CRMLS
- 2025-11-24 Price Changed $129,500 CRMLS
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $139,000 CRMLS
- 2025-08-20 Price Changed $154,300 CRMLS
- 2025-07-22 Listed $185,000 CRMLS
- 2025-07-21 Coming Soon $185,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…