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1119 Hickory Ave
C- Composite 50.62
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.3/15.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,900

1119 Hickory Ave · Sanford, FL 32771
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,315 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 146 Days on market
Built 1937 5,850 sqft lot Est $318k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for Fixer Upper? Then this 4 bedroom 1 full bath home is the property for you! Located near Down Town Sanford; plenty of restaurants, shopping, parks and so much more! Currently in probate, an extended closing date may be required.

Key facts

  • 5,850 sq ft lot
  • Built 1937
  • Listed 146 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property zoned MR2; Unfurnished; Total living area about 1,315 square feet
  • HOA & community: No HOA association

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
  • Home design: Single Family Residence; One story; Faces west; Residential property
  • Construction: Wood siding; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on lot of approximately 0.13 acres (50 x 117)
  • Exterior features: Other exterior features; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($811/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (17.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $224k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.6% in Sanford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#316 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Seminole (suburban): math 57% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #13 of 73 in FL (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Midway Elementary School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #1,271 of 2,144 statewide, top 60%, 786 students, 86% FRL); Markham Woods Middle School (math 61% / reading 60%, grade B+, #131 of 571 statewide, top 23%, 961 students, 51% FRL); Seminole High School (math 35% / reading 51%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 4,036 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 38% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 565 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,979 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (1,191 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Seminole County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $100k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $104k; list at $270k implies a 158% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $223,734 (17.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.59%
Cash-on-cash
1.07%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$318,230
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1429 Mara Ct 0.29mi 4/2.0 1,400 (+6%) 1mo $306,000 $219 75
827 Rosalia Dr 0.42mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,300 (-1%) 3mo $305,000 $235 69
1701 S Palmetto Ave 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (-5%) 1mo $362,500 $290 65
718 Willow Ave 0.30mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,411 (+7%) 6mo $345,000 $245 64
311 W 10th St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,311 (-0%) 2mo $355,000 $271 63
1210 S Palmetto Ave 0.29mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,426 (+8%) 4mo $345,000 $242 60
1804 S Mellonville Ave 0.49mi 4/1.5 1,217 (-8%) 4mo $289,900 $238 59
1320 Sanford Ave 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,511 (+15%) 2mo $415,000 $275 57
845 E 20th St 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,390 (+6%) 4mo $293,000 $211 56
314 W 6th St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,212 (-8%) 2mo $345,000 $285 48
211 S Summerlin Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,472 (+12%) 2mo $300,000 $204 39
1920 S Summerlin Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,122 (-15%) 4mo $257,000 $229 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.3%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-45,244
Equity at exit
$40,243
10-year hold
IRR
-14.7%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-56,508
Equity at exit
$23,336

Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32771

Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
565
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,237 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,415
Tax from tax record
$172 /mo · $2,064/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$470
Net cashflow
$68

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,152
Max offer price $269,900
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $220 -5% $144 +0% $68 +5% $-9 +10% $-85
Rent -10% $-109 -5% $-21 +0% $68 +5% $156 +10% $244
Rate -1.0pp $204 -0.5pp $136 base $68 +0.5pp $-2 +1.0pp $-73

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,475
Closing costs
$8,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
700 E 7th St Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1440 $2,200 $1.53 0d 1 0.31mi
619 San Lanta Cir Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1092 $1,796 $1.64 16d 1 0.33mi
1515 S Elliott St Sanford, FL 4.0 2.0 1632 $2,149 $1.32 16d 1 0.60mi
1218 Crescent St Sanford, FL 5.0 2.0 1657 $3,100 $1.87 25d 1 0.65mi
101 E 21st St Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 896 $2,500 $2.79 25d 1 0.72mi
2015 Jefferson Ave Sanford, FL 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,995 $1.25 25d 1 0.79mi
129 Oakman Way Sanford, FL 3.0 3.0 1649 $2,249 $1.36 0d 1 0.88mi
129 Oakman Way Unit 1 Sanford, FL 3.0 3.0 1652 $2,349 $1.42 6d 1 0.88mi
129 Oakman Way Unit 1 Sanford, FL 3.0 3.0 1652 $2,349 $1.42 0d 1 0.88mi
1574 Effra Way Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1429 $2,270 $1.59 25d 1 0.89mi
131 Langston Dr Sanford, FL 3.0 1.5 1082 $1,697 $1.57 22d 1 0.99mi
1001 W 8th St Unit 1 Sanford, FL 3.0 1.0 1075 $2,250 $2.09 23d 1 1.00mi
253 McKay Blvd Sanford, FL 4.0 2.0 1874 $2,201 $1.17 0d 1 1.00mi
1711 Roseberry Ln Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 984 $2,150 $2.18 6d 1 1.03mi
2008 William Clark Ave Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1328 $2,199 $1.66 4d 1 1.12mi
2406 S Lake Ave Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1111 $2,000 $1.80 16d 1 1.27mi
2405 Chase Ave Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,095 $1.75 16d 1 1.28mi
2420 S Lake Ave Sanford, FL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,545 $1.40 16d 1 1.33mi
2420 S Lake Ave Unit B Sanford, FL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,545 $1.40 19d 1 1.33mi
1320 S Oleander Ave Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 25d 1 1.35mi
2441 Marshall Ave Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1462 $2,235 $1.53 6d 1 1.44mi
107 Garrison Dr Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1439 $1,800 $1.25 19d 1 1.45mi
106 Garrison Dr Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,895 $1.75 6d 1 1.47mi
2420 Daffadil Ter Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1097 $1,850 $1.69 19d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $269,900 Pending 146 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $269,900 Active 144 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $269,900 Active 143 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $269,900 Active 142 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    status $269,900 Active 141 DOM
  6. 2026-05-05
    status Pending
  7. 2026-05-02
    status Active
  8. 2026-04-07
    status Pending
  9. 2026-03-17
    price $269,900
  10. 2026-03-05
    price $279,900
  11. 2026-02-19
    price $289,900
  12. 2026-02-13
    price $299,900
  13. 2026-02-09
    price $309,500
  14. 2026-01-28
    price $329,500
  15. 2026-01-12
    price $339,500
  16. 2025-12-29
    price $349,500
  17. 2025-12-10
    price $359,500
  18. 2025-11-20
    listed $369,500 Active
  19. 2024-02-29
    soldstatus $104,500
  20. 2024-02-12
    soldstatus $104,500 Closed 241-char remark
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Looking for Fixer Upper? Then this 4 bedroom 1 full bath home is the property for you! Located near Down Town Sanford; plenty of restaurants, shopping, parks and so much more! Currently in probate, an extended closing date may be required.

  21. 2023-05-08
    status Pending 241-char remark
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Looking for Fixer Upper? Then this 4 bedroom 1 full bath home is the property for you! Located near Down Town Sanford; plenty of restaurants, shopping, parks and so much more! Currently in probate, an extended closing date may be required.

  22. 2023-04-24
    price $149,999 241-char remark
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Looking for Fixer Upper? Then this 4 bedroom 1 full bath home is the property for you! Located near Down Town Sanford; plenty of restaurants, shopping, parks and so much more! Currently in probate, an extended closing date may be required.

  23. 2023-04-15
    status Active 241-char remark
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Looking for Fixer Upper? Then this 4 bedroom 1 full bath home is the property for you! Located near Down Town Sanford; plenty of restaurants, shopping, parks and so much more! Currently in probate, an extended closing date may be required.

  24. 2022-10-28
    price $199,900 241-char remark
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Looking for Fixer Upper? Then this 4 bedroom 1 full bath home is the property for you! Located near Down Town Sanford; plenty of restaurants, shopping, parks and so much more! Currently in probate, an extended closing date may be required.

  25. 2022-09-20
    listed $199,999 Active 241-char remark
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Looking for Fixer Upper? Then this 4 bedroom 1 full bath home is the property for you! Located near Down Town Sanford; plenty of restaurants, shopping, parks and so much more! Currently in probate, an extended closing date may be required.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,064 · $172/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,240 · $187/mo
Expected delta
+$176/yr (+$15/mo · 8.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,848
− Mortgage interest
−$15,119
− Property taxes
−$2,064
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,148
− Management
−$2,148
− Depreciation
−$7,852
Taxable loss
−$3,832
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$920
After-tax cash flow
$1,731/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Seminole
NCES district ID
1201710
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$58,478
Composite
51.05/100
National rank
#1769
State rank
#13 of 73 in FL

Livability — Sanford

Score
73/100
State rank
#316
US rank
#5359

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sanford, FL
County
Seminole County · 436,154 people
City population
96,638
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
62,606
Household income
$77,868
Rent vs Own
37.7% rent · 62.3% own
Severe rent burden
2645.0

Population outlook (Seminole County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
515,494 people
By 2030
545,713 · +5.9%
By 2040
598,068 · +16.0%
By 2050
640,663 · +24.3%
By 2075
724,461 · +40.5%
By 2100
755,530 · +46.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 13% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Seminole

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.1% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-0.8pp no change · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.8 2016: R+1.6 2012: R+6.5 2008: R+2.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -281.27%
Current HPI
299.2738
Rent YoY
▲ 0.38%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+35.0% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-02 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $269,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $279,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $289,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-13 Price Changed $299,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $309,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-28 Price Changed $329,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-12 Price Changed $339,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-29 Price Changed $349,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-10 Price Changed $359,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-20 Listed $369,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-29 Sold (Public Records) $104,500 Public Records
  • 2024-02-12 Sold (MLS) $104,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-08 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-24 Price Changed $149,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-15 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-28 Price Changed $199,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-20 Listed $199,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+10.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,064 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…