4190 Muriel St · Privateer, SC 29154

$165,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,266 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market

Built 1983 3.00 ac lot Est $233k · 29% under ↓ 13% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +24.8/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +8.0/10.0
• 1% rule +6.4/10.0
• Rent growth +3.5/5.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Discover the potential of this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on a beautiful 3-acre lot, offering privacy and room to grow. The interior features an open kitchen ideal for entertaining, a dedicated laundry room, office, den, and a generous family room complete with a cozy gas fireplace. All bedrooms include walk-in closets, providing ample storage throughout the home. A 2-car garage and workshop adds convenience and functionality. Sold AS-IS, making it a great opportunity for buyers looking to customize, invest, or create their dream home on acreage. Disclaimer: CMLS has not reviewed and, therefore, does not endorse vendors who may appear in listings.

Key facts

• Walk-in closets
• 2-car garage
• Workshop

Tags

• OPEN KITCHEN
• DEDICATED LAUNDRY ROOM
• WALK-IN CLOSETS
• 2-CAR GARAGE
• WORKSHOP
• 3-ACRE LOT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $348 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
• Recommended offer: $163k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#258 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Sumter 01 (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #64 of 80 in SC (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Manchester Elementary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #553 of 597 statewide, top 95%, 383 students, 100% FRL); Lakewood High (math 12% / reading 67%, grade F, #180 of 196 statewide, top 93%, 1,036 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 229 active listings in the ZIP; 386 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Sumter County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $162,525 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.14% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.82%
• Cash-on-cash: 9.04%
• DSCR: 1.40
• GRM: 7.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $233,398
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3755 Lorene Dr	0.08mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,113 (-7%)	5mo	$230,000	$109	76
3965 Blackberry Ln	0.33mi	5/2.0 (+1)	2,304 (+2%)	12mo	$175,000	$76	67
4550 Pond Loop Rd	0.59mi	4/2.5	2,329 (+3%)	12mo	$239,000	$103	56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.19% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -1.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.95×
• Total profit: $-2,263
• Equity at exit: $24,602

10-year hold

• IRR: 9.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.79×
• Total profit: $36,279
• Equity at exit: $14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Carolina: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 29154

• Home prices YoY: -32.7%
• Rents YoY: 4.2%
• Active inventory: 229
• Price-to-rent: 7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,884 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$865
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
• Insurance: −$69
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$396
• Net cashflow: $348

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,443

Max offer price $165,000

Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $41,250
• Closing costs: $4,950
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $165,000 Active 20 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $165,000 Active 19 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $165,000 Active 18 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $165,000 Active 17 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   statusdays on market $165,000 Active 16 DOM
6. 2026-04-16
   status Pending
7. 2026-04-01
   listed $165,000 Active
8. 2026-04-01
   historical
9. 2026-03-04
   price $175,000
10. 2026-03-04
    status Active
11. 2026-02-14
    status Pending
12. 2026-01-09
    price $180,000
13. 2025-12-26
    listed $190,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,607
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,243
• − Property taxes: −$2,475
• − Insurance: −$825
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,809
• − Management: −$1,809
• − Depreciation: −$4,800
• Taxable income: $1,647
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$395
• After-tax cash flow: $3,781/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Sumter 01
• NCES district ID: 4503902
• Math proficiency: 18% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 28% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $40,423
• Composite: 19.45/100
• National rank: #8775
• State rank: #64 of 80 in SC

Livability — Privateer

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #258
• US rank: #20541

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Sumter County · 76,912 people
• Metro: Sumter, SC
• Population (ZIP): 29,454
• Household income: $62,772
• Rent vs Own: 27.2% rent · 72.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 338.0

Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 104,585 people
• By 2030: 102,282 · -2.2%
• By 2040: 96,258 · -8.0%
• By 2050: 89,592 · -14.3%
• By 2075: 74,715 · -28.6%
• By 2100: 60,235 · -42.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: White 53% Black 36% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumter

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 51.9% · R 47.0% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.6pp toward R · 2008: 15.4pp · 2024: 4.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+4.9 2020: D+13.0 2016: D+12.0 2012: D+17.5 2008: D+15.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -76.65%
• Current HPI: 157.8545
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.19%
• Metro: Sumter, SC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Packaging	1	$7B

Price history

-13.2% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-16 Pending — Consolidated MLS
• 2026-04-01 Listed $165,000 Consolidated MLS
• 2026-04-01 Delisted — Consolidated MLS
• 2026-03-04 Price Changed $175,000 Consolidated MLS
• 2026-03-04 Relisted — Consolidated MLS
• 2026-02-14 Pending — Consolidated MLS
• 2026-01-09 Price Changed $180,000 Consolidated MLS
• 2025-12-26 Listed $190,000 Consolidated MLS

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $323 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.