8962 Monroe Ave · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.66%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic turnkey rental investment property opportunity in Trout River area! Property is currently rented at $745, making this property an instant income producer. Home had recent updates and will be cleaned and green at closing. Property Managment is place if interested.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1951
- Listed 224 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unfurnished
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Secured parking
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Used for residential and investment purposes
- Exterior features: Lot about 0.17 acres; No private pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Electric range; Microwave
- Laundry & utility: Unfurnished unit (no washer/dryer included listed)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $289 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Jean Ribault Middle School (math 28% / reading 24%, grade F, #506 of 571 statewide, top 89%, 679 students, 78% FRL); Jean Ribault High School (math 22% / reading 25%, grade F, #533 of 667 statewide, top 80%, 1,385 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 49% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Duval average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 224 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $56k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $120k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 224 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.33%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $101,430
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8974 Jackson Ave | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 808 (+0%) | 2mo | $69,000 | $85 | 90 |
| 9170 Madison Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 708 (-12%) | 0mo | $75,000 | $106 | 62 |
| 9152 6th Ave | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (-2%) | 4mo | $119,000 | $150 | 62 |
| 9115 Tyler Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 866 (+8%) | 13mo | $140,020 | $162 | 59 |
| 9135 5th Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 896 (+11%) | 1mo | $80,500 | $90 | 57 |
| 9230 4th Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 752 (-7%) | 12mo | $36,000 | $48 | 50 |
| 8210 Monmouth Way | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 884 (+10%) | 15mo | $150,000 | $170 | 37 |
| 8719 5th Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 700 (-13%) | 14mo | $85,000 | $121 | 37 |
| 2116 4th Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-11%) | 11mo | $149,000 | $207 | 36 |
| 9036 10th Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 924 (+15%) | 13mo | $116,000 | $126 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-5,189
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $3,070
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32208
- Home prices YoY
- -33.6%
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 291
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,435 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,987/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$301
- Net cashflow
- $289
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9131 Jefferson Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,350 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 9017 6th Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1038 | $1,098 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 8642 2nd Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $1,245 | $1.16 | 1d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 9050 7th Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,485 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 8617 3rd Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 10d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 8663 5th Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,045 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 8253 Lexington Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,330 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 9248 9th Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 646 | $995 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 912 Saratoga Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,250 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 9346 10th Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,825 | $1.85 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1000 Island Point Dr Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 949 | $1,684 | $1.77 | 2d | 9 | 0.91mi |
| 2389 Hilly Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $1,650 | $1.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7927 Reid Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1055 | $1,500 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1975 Rugby Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,100 | $1.11 | 7d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 780 Island Point Dr Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1164 | $2,143 | $1.84 | 3d | 16 | 1.14mi |
| 800 Broward Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1028 | $1,711 | $1.66 | 1d | 42 | 1.15mi |
| 2312 Palmdale St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,231 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2534 Aubrey Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 759 | $1,250 | $1.65 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 10535 Lem Turner Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1012 | $1,562 | $1.54 | 3d | 40 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 44 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-05-06status Active
-
2026-05-05historical
-
2026-05-04price $119,900
-
2026-04-14price $129,900
-
2026-02-23price $144,900
-
2026-02-03price $165,000
-
2025-12-08price $170,000
-
2025-11-05$175,900 Active
-
2025-10-11historical $1,250
-
2025-09-12$1,250
-
2025-01-26historical $1,074
-
2025-01-11$1,074
-
2025-01-11historical $1,074
-
2024-12-04price $1,074
-
2024-10-25price $1,075
-
2024-10-17$1,159
-
2024-10-17historical $1,159
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2024-10-07price $1,159
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2024-09-28$1,199
-
2024-09-28historical $1,199
-
2024-09-16price $1,199
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2024-09-05$1,215
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2024-09-05historical $1,215
-
2024-08-16price $1,215
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2024-07-25$1,224
-
2018-09-21soldstatus $69,900
-
2018-06-06historical 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Fantastic turnkey rental investment property opportunity in Trout River area! Property is currently rented at $745, making this property an instant income producer. Home had recent updates and will be cleaned and green at closing. Property Managment is place if interested.
-
2018-04-06$70,000 Active 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Fantastic turnkey rental investment property opportunity in Trout River area! Property is currently rented at $745, making this property an instant income producer. Home had recent updates and will be cleaned and green at closing. Property Managment is place if interested.
-
2018-03-01historical 436-char remark
Show marketing remark (436 chars)
Fantastic turnkey rental investment property opportunity in Trout River area! Property is currently rented at $745, making this property an instant income producer. Home recently had over 8k in renovations done, making this a hassle free property ready for steady income flow! Property will be ''green and cleaned'' before transfer of property! Contact today for additional details, and to schedule your private showing!
-
2017-10-24$70,000 Active 436-char remark
Show marketing remark (436 chars)
Fantastic turnkey rental investment property opportunity in Trout River area! Property is currently rented at $745, making this property an instant income producer. Home recently had over 8k in renovations done, making this a hassle free property ready for steady income flow! Property will be ''green and cleaned'' before transfer of property! Contact today for additional details, and to schedule your private showing!
-
2006-06-28soldstatus $74,000
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2006-04-21historical
-
2006-04-19$78,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,987 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,987 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,217
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,987
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,377
- − Management
- −$1,377
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $1,671
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$401
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,068/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,699
- Household income
- $41,324
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1765.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% White 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.56%
- Current HPI
- 217.9706
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.36%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+53.7% since first listed33 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — realMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $119,900 realMLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $129,900 realMLS
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $144,900 realMLS
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $165,000 realMLS
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $170,000 realMLS
- 2025-11-05 Listed $175,900 realMLS
- 2025-10-11 Rental Removed $1,250 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-09-12 Listed for Rent $1,250 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-01-26 Rental Removed $1,074 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-01-11 Listed for Rent $1,074 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-01-11 Rental Removed $1,074 PROPERTYWARE
- 2024-12-04 Price Changed $1,074 PROPERTYWARE
- 2024-10-25 Price Changed $1,075 PROPERTYWARE
- 2024-10-17 Listed for Rent $1,159 PROPERTYWARE
- 2024-10-17 Rental Removed $1,159 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-10-07 Price Changed $1,159 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-09-28 Listed for Rent $1,199 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-09-28 Rental Removed $1,199 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-09-16 Price Changed $1,199 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-09-05 Listed for Rent $1,215 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-09-05 Rental Removed $1,215 PROPERTYWARE
- 2024-08-16 Price Changed $1,215 PROPERTYWARE
- 2024-07-25 Listed for Rent $1,224 PROPERTYWARE
- 2018-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
- 2018-06-06 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2018-04-06 Listed $70,000 realMLS
- 2018-03-01 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2017-10-24 Listed $70,000 realMLS
- 2006-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
- 2006-04-21 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2006-04-19 Listed $78,000 realMLS
Property tax history
+8.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,987 · +17.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…