2427 Ravenwood Ave NW · Roanoke, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +9.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.0/10.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Feel the cozy charm of this 2-bedroom, 1 bath ranch home as soon as you arrive! Featuring hardwood floors throughout, neutral paint, great layout, bright natural light through the tilt-in windows, this home exudes warmth! Outside, enjoy the covered front porch, quaint side deck, level yard, large 10x20 storage building, and off-street parking. Centrally located, this home has quick access to many local amenities. Come and see for yourself! Move-in ready! Owner is a licensed Real Estate Agent in the State of Virginia.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Level yard
- Quaint side deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-181 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (18.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (31.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $120k (31.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#163 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, crime F.
- Roanoke City Public School District (urban): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #102 of 131 in VA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Round Hill Elementary (math 28% / reading 42%, grade F, #960 of 1,108 statewide, top 87%, 719 students, 100% FRL); Breckinridge Middle (math 23% / reading 52%, grade F, #315 of 342 statewide, top 93%, 624 students, 99% FRL); William Fleming High (math 66% / reading 68%, grade B, #185 of 319 statewide, top 61%, 1,911 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 67% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 113 units permitted in Roanoke city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Roanoke County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $105k; list at $175k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.42%
- DSCR
- 0.80
- GRM
- 12.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $181,129
- List price
- $174,950
- Delta
- -3.41%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2613 Cornell Dr NW | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 752 (-2%) | 8mo | $166,000 | $221 | 75 |
| 2930 Ravenwood Ave NW | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 690 (-10%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $203 | 57 |
| 2619 Cornell Dr NW | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 872 (+14%) | 19mo | $179,000 | $205 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-33,520
- Equity at exit
- $26,086
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-15,178
- Equity at exit
- $15,126
Cash invested: $48,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24012
- Rents YoY
- 10.5%
- Active inventory
- 196
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,203 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$141 /mo · $1,688/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $-181
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-82 | -5% $-131 | +0% $-181 | +5% $-230 | +10% $-280 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-276 | -5% $-228 | +0% $-181 | +5% $-133 | +10% $-86 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-92 | -0.5pp $-136 | base $-181 | +0.5pp $-226 | +1.0pp $-272 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,738
- Closing costs
- $5,248
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4823 Rutgers St NW Roanoke, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 771 | $1,199 | $1.56 | 15d | 5 | 0.60mi |
| 1716 Empress Dr NW Roanoke, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 671 | $1,040 | $1.55 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2807 Oakland Blvd NW Apt 4 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $750 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 106 Lee Ave NE Apt 10 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 820 | $1,160 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 106 Lee Ave NE Apt 10 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 902 | $1,125 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5125 Airport Rd NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,695 | $1.70 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 812 Whitney Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,100 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 807 Whitney Ave NW Unit 302B Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $795 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2916 Courtland Rd NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 722 | $1,123 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2801 Hershberger Rd NW Roanoke, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 956 | $1,965 | $2.06 | 15d | 14 | 1.18mi |
| 1117 Rugby Blvd NW Unit B Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $778 | $0.74 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3111 Ellsworth St NE Roanoke, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 662 | $1,199 | $1.81 | 15d | 2 | 1.20mi |
| 3228 Oliver Rd NE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $1,150 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2716 Edison St NE Unit & 2718 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 864 | $1,225 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1331 Dudley St NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,500 | $2.14 | 15d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 44 Forest Hill Ave NE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,150 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 120 Avendale Ave NE Unit 3 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 709 Drew Ave NE Apt 2 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,050 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $174,950 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,950 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,950 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $174,950 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,950 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $174,950 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $174,950 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $179,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $179,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-04-17price $179,000 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
Feel the cozy charm of this 2-bedroom, 1 bath ranch home as soon as you arrive! Featuring hardwood floors throughout, neutral paint, great layout, bright natural light through the tilt-in windows, this home exudes warmth! Outside, enjoy the covered front porch, quaint side deck, level yard, large 10x20 storage building, and off-street parking. Centrally located, this home has quick access to many local amenities. Come and see for yourself! Move-in ready! Owner is a licensed Real Estate Agent in the State of Virginia.
-
2026-03-20$189,000 Active 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
Feel the cozy charm of this 2-bedroom, 1 bath ranch home as soon as you arrive! Featuring hardwood floors throughout, neutral paint, great layout, bright natural light through the tilt-in windows, this home exudes warmth! Outside, enjoy the covered front porch, quaint side deck, level yard, large 10x20 storage building, and off-street parking. Centrally located, this home has quick access to many local amenities. Come and see for yourself! Move-in ready! Owner is a licensed Real Estate Agent in the State of Virginia.
-
2022-05-05soldstatus $105,000
-
1995-05-18soldstatus $50,000
-
1992-08-20soldstatus $44,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,688 · $141/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,688 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,437
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,800
- − Property taxes
- −$1,688
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,155
- − Management
- −$1,155
- − Depreciation
- −$5,089
- Taxable loss
- −$5,325
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,278
- After-tax cash flow
- $-889/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roanoke City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103300
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,592
- Composite
- 40.8/100
- National rank
- #3639
- State rank
- #102 of 131 in VA
Livability — Roanoke
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #5055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roanoke, VA
- County
- Roanoke City · 101,625 people
- City population
- 168,930
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,235
- Household income
- $52,973
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1360.0
Population outlook (Roanoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,094 people
- By 2030
- 108,927 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 114,104 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 118,032 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 123,363 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 116,827 · +10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Roanoke
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.6) · D 61.1% · R 37.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 23.4pp · 2024: 23.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.6 2020: D+25.8 2016: D+17.6 2012: D+21.5 2008: D+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -137.94%
- Current HPI
- 186.9007
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.46%
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+298.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $179,000 MLSRV
- 2026-03-20 Listed $189,000 MLSRV
- 2022-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 1995-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 1992-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $44,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,688 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…