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246 E Shirley Rd
B- Composite 66.94
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$99,000

246 E Shirley Rd · Pamplico, SC 29583
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,014 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 126 Days on market
Built 1976 0.69 ac lot ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home offers endless potential for the right buyer. Whether you are an investor looking for your next project, a first-time buyer ready to build equity, or someone who loves the idea of customizing a home to fit your style, this property is full of possibilities. Inside, you will find a traditional layout with generously sized bedrooms, a living room and dining room connected to your kitchen with tons of cabinet space and a large bar. The home retains its original character, making it the perfect canvas for a renovation or refresh. Outside, the large . 69-acre lot provides plenty of space for any activities and improvements and a large carport for c

Key facts

  • Large lot
  • Large carport
  • 0.69 acre lot

Tags

LARGE LOTLARGE CARPORTTONS OF CABINET SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.69 acres
  • Financial info: No financial details provided
  • HOA & community: No HOA information provided

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking details provided
  • Security: No security features provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick veneer construction; Built area above grade: 1,014
  • Exterior features: Storage; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range
  • Bedrooms: No bedroom level information provided
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Window unit(s); Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Range; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Crawl space

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#186 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Florence 02 (rural): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #61 of 80 in SC (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Hannah-Pamplico Elementary/Middle (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #452 of 597 statewide, top 78%, 761 students, 100% FRL); Hannah Pamplico High (math 75% / reading 95%, grade A, #11 of 196 statewide, top 5%, 307 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 59% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 55% at this address vs 26% district-wide (+28 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Florence 02 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 657 units permitted in Florence County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
9.06%
Cash-on-cash
9.90%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.5%
Equity multiple
3.47×
Total profit
$68,429
Equity at exit
$89,187
10-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
7.85×
Total profit
$189,963
Equity at exit
$192,335

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29583

Home prices YoY
8.5%
Active inventory
16
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,021 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$17 /mo · $210/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$214
Net cashflow
$229

Break-even live

Break-even rent $732
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,000 Active 126 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 125 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 124 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 123 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 122 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,000 Active 120 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 119 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,000 Active 117 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 116 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 115 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 114 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,000 Active 111 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 109 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 108 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 107 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,000 Active 106 DOM
  17. 2026-04-21
    price $99,000
  18. 2026-03-13
    price $103,000
  19. 2026-02-13
    listed $110,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$210 · $17/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$564 · $47/mo
Expected delta
+$354/yr (+$30/mo · 168.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,251
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$210
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$980
− Management
−$980
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$1,160
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$279
After-tax cash flow
$2,465/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Florence 02
NCES district ID
4502160
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$37,185
Composite
22.04/100
National rank
#8199
State rank
#61 of 80 in SC

Livability — Pamplico

Score
62/100
State rank
#186
US rank
#16126

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,318

Population outlook (Florence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
141,714 people
By 2030
142,121 · +0.3%
By 2040
141,344 · -0.3%
By 2050
139,478 · -1.6%
By 2075
132,275 · -6.7%
By 2100
118,374 · -16.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 33% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Florence

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.0) · D 45.3% · R 53.3% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-4.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.2pp · 2024: -8.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.0 2020: R+2.3 2016: R+5.0 2012: R+0.5 2008: R+3.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 19.96%
Current HPI
255.8019
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $99,000 RAGPD
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $103,000 RAGPD
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $110,000 RAGPD

Property tax history

+19.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $210 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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