801 Strong Ave · Collinsville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute Bungalow with tons of updates! This house features a large living room plus a space that could be used for a dining room or second family room. Large COMPLETELY remodeled Kitchen with new cabinet appliances, counter tops and a large pantry. Master Bedroom is on the main floor with a nice updated bathroom. Upstairs is a loft area with two bedrooms. Updates include: 2009 - Stove, Refrigerator, 2010 - Roof, Windows, Sliding Doors, 2012 - Dishwasher, Back & Front Porch, 2015 - New Carpet & Flooring
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1950
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered; No second mortgage reported; Seller open to concessions
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Private ownership
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof
- Exterior features: Back yard; Lot approximately 0.25 acres (50 x 175)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total (one on the main level, two on the upper level)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (located on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full basement; Nine total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $191 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.0% in Collinsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#491 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Collinsville CUSD 10 (suburban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #465 of 620 in IL (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Collinsville High School (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #427 of 693 statewide, top 62%, 1,978 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $61k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.4% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.90%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $168,332
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -55.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 717 N Morrison Ave | 0.27mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 986 (+1%) | 13mo | $35,000 | $35 | 70 |
| 415 N Center St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,050 (+7%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $119 | 60 |
| 332 W Juda Ave | 0.13mi | 2/1.5 | 850 (-13%) | 16mo | $39,900 | $47 | 57 |
| 261 N Seminary St | 0.44mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,020 (+4%) | 15mo | $97,400 | $95 | 55 |
| 102 W Madison Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (-7%) | 16mo | $135,000 | $148 | 52 |
| 329 N Aurora St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 1,086 (+11%) | 10mo | $144,900 | $133 | 48 |
| 998 N Keebler Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,080 (+10%) | 11mo | $170,000 | $157 | 48 |
| 315 Hartman Dr | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 1,015 (+4%) | 13mo | $145,000 | $143 | 48 |
| 616 Johnson Hill Rd Unit C | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 | 915 (-6%) | 16mo | $75,000 | $82 | 46 |
| 400 E Wickliffe Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 833 (-15%) | 10mo | $145,000 | $174 | 42 |
| 122 N Orient St | 0.70mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 888 (-9%) | 17mo | $85,000 | $96 | 33 |
| 672 Burroughs Ave | 0.65mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,109 (+13%) | 15mo | $140,000 | $126 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.1% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $240
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $16,848
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62234
- Home prices YoY
- -17.1%
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,129 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$276 /mo · $3,317/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $191
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 W Madison Ave Collinsville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 502 Wadsworth St Unit B Collinsville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $825 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 319 N Hesperia St Collinsville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 1d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 108 S Clinton St Unit 5 Collinsville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $700 | $1.00 | 12d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 212 S Chestnut St Unit 4 Collinsville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,100 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 212 S Chestnut St Unit 2 Collinsville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,100 | $1.53 | 10d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 114 Greenfield Dr Collinsville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1225 W Main St Collinsville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,350 | $1.34 | 7d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 678 Camelot Dr Unit 22 Collinsville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $875 | $1.09 | 19d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 88 Bethel Rd Collinsville, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 623 Saint Louis Rd Unit 124 Collinsville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $725 | $1.21 | 1d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1003 S Morrison Ave Unit IB-37 Collinsville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,000 | $1.43 | 1d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1003 S Morrison Ave Unit 37 Collinsville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1003 S Morrison Ave Unit IB-23 Collinsville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,000 | $1.43 | 10d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1003 S Morrison Ave Unit IB-169 Collinsville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 1d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1002 Apache Dr Collinsville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $875 | $1.01 | 1d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1104 Arrowhead Dr Collinsville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $975 | $1.08 | 7d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1104 Arrowhead Dr Collinsville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $975 | $1.08 | 1d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1106 Arrowhead Dr Unit A Collinsville, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $975 | $1.03 | 3d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 34 Marcia Ct Unit 7 Collinsville, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 12d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $75,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-24$75,000 Active 679-char remark
-
2016-10-07soldstatus $61,000
-
2016-10-03soldstatus Closed 516-char remark
Show marketing remark (516 chars)
Cute Bungalow with tons of updates! This house features a large living room plus a space that could be used for a dining room or second family room. Large COMPLETELY remodeled Kitchen with new cabinet appliances, counter tops and a large pantry. Master Bedroom is on the main floor with a nice updated bathroom. Upstairs is a loft area with two bedrooms. Updates include: 2009 - Stove, Refrigerator, 2010 - Roof, Windows, Sliding Doors, 2012 - Dishwasher, Back & Front Porch, 2015 - New Carpet & Flooring
-
2016-08-25status Pending 516-char remark
Show marketing remark (516 chars)
Cute Bungalow with tons of updates! This house features a large living room plus a space that could be used for a dining room or second family room. Large COMPLETELY remodeled Kitchen with new cabinet appliances, counter tops and a large pantry. Master Bedroom is on the main floor with a nice updated bathroom. Upstairs is a loft area with two bedrooms. Updates include: 2009 - Stove, Refrigerator, 2010 - Roof, Windows, Sliding Doors, 2012 - Dishwasher, Back & Front Porch, 2015 - New Carpet & Flooring
-
2016-08-12price $69,900 516-char remark
Show marketing remark (516 chars)
Cute Bungalow with tons of updates! This house features a large living room plus a space that could be used for a dining room or second family room. Large COMPLETELY remodeled Kitchen with new cabinet appliances, counter tops and a large pantry. Master Bedroom is on the main floor with a nice updated bathroom. Upstairs is a loft area with two bedrooms. Updates include: 2009 - Stove, Refrigerator, 2010 - Roof, Windows, Sliding Doors, 2012 - Dishwasher, Back & Front Porch, 2015 - New Carpet & Flooring
-
2016-06-07price $74,900 516-char remark
Show marketing remark (516 chars)
Cute Bungalow with tons of updates! This house features a large living room plus a space that could be used for a dining room or second family room. Large COMPLETELY remodeled Kitchen with new cabinet appliances, counter tops and a large pantry. Master Bedroom is on the main floor with a nice updated bathroom. Upstairs is a loft area with two bedrooms. Updates include: 2009 - Stove, Refrigerator, 2010 - Roof, Windows, Sliding Doors, 2012 - Dishwasher, Back & Front Porch, 2015 - New Carpet & Flooring
-
2016-05-04$77,000 Active 516-char remark
Show marketing remark (516 chars)
Cute Bungalow with tons of updates! This house features a large living room plus a space that could be used for a dining room or second family room. Large COMPLETELY remodeled Kitchen with new cabinet appliances, counter tops and a large pantry. Master Bedroom is on the main floor with a nice updated bathroom. Upstairs is a loft area with two bedrooms. Updates include: 2009 - Stove, Refrigerator, 2010 - Roof, Windows, Sliding Doors, 2012 - Dishwasher, Back & Front Porch, 2015 - New Carpet & Flooring
-
2005-06-07soldstatus $77,000
-
1991-01-18soldstatus $49,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,317 · $276/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,317 · $276/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,546
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$3,317
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,084
- − Management
- −$1,084
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $1,303
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$313
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,976/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collinsville CUSD 10
- NCES district ID
- 1710650
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,504
- Composite
- 15.65/100
- National rank
- #9288
- State rank
- #465 of 620 in IL
Livability — Collinsville
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #491
- US rank
- #10221
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Collinsville, IL
- County
- Madison County · 189,064 people
- City population
- 31,648
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,648
- Household income
- $69,607
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 801.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 258,371 people
- By 2030
- 251,523 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 233,640 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 213,042 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 165,255 · -36.0%
- By 2100
- 123,953 · -52.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.21%
- Current HPI
- 223.6438
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.10%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+53.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $75,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
- 2016-10-03 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-25 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-12 Price Changed $69,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-07 Price Changed $74,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-04 Listed $77,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
- 1991-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2024): $3,317 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…