469 N 2nd Ave · Canton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +8.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful woodwork, open staircase and hardwood floors in this Sears Foursquare. The main level features a a formal dining room with a built-in buffet, adorned with beveled leaded glass. The kitchen has an adjacent mudroom, perfect for a pantry. Upstairs are three bedrooms, one with an enclosed porch, and a full bath with amazing storage. The exterior offers a large covered front porch, rear deck, fenced yard, and a two car detached garage. Updates include Duro-Last roof above upper porch (2022), H2O heater (2022), roof and siding (2017), and A/C unit (2012). There is a shower/toilet/sink area in the basement. Some photos are virtually staged.
Key facts
- Open staircase
- Formal dining room
- Built-in buffet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $94k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $235 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $94k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#318 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Canton Union SD 66 (town): math 19% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #417 of 620 in IL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 14 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $650 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fulton County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.72%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $96,120
- List price
- $94,000
- Delta
- -2.21%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 246 Haffner Blvd | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 676 (+1%) | 8mo | $35,000 | $52 | 57 |
| 270 N 11th Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 672 (0%) | 19mo | $56,000 | $83 | 45 |
| 1025 E Locust St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 672 (0%) | 20mo | $40,000 | $60 | 45 |
| 559 E Pine St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 740 (+10%) | 15mo | $46,500 | $63 | 42 |
| 543 N 6th Ave | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 753 (+12%) | 20mo | $45,900 | $61 | 41 |
| 1140 E Myrtle St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 744 (+11%) | 3mo | $87,500 | $118 | 39 |
| 325 Iris Ct | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 720 (+7%) | 23mo | $69,900 | $97 | 32 |
| 215 Haffner Blvd | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 768 (+14%) | 16mo | $108,000 | $141 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-198
- Equity at exit
- $14,016
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $19,344
- Equity at exit
- $8,127
Cash invested: $26,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61520
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$493
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,169/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $235
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,500
- Closing costs
- $2,820
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 437 N 8th Ave Canton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,200 | $1.74 | 13d | 1 | 0.46mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $94,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $94,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $94,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-04-01price $99,000 651-char remark
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
Beautiful woodwork, open staircase and hardwood floors in this Sears Foursquare. The main level features a a formal dining room with a built-in buffet, adorned with beveled leaded glass. The kitchen has an adjacent mudroom, perfect for a pantry. Upstairs are three bedrooms, one with an enclosed porch, and a full bath with amazing storage. The exterior offers a large covered front porch, rear deck, fenced yard, and a two car detached garage. Updates include Duro-Last roof above upper porch (2022), H2O heater (2022), roof and siding (2017), and A/C unit (2012). There is a shower/toilet/sink area in the basement. Some photos are virtually staged.
-
2026-02-22$105,000 Active 651-char remark
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
Beautiful woodwork, open staircase and hardwood floors in this Sears Foursquare. The main level features a a formal dining room with a built-in buffet, adorned with beveled leaded glass. The kitchen has an adjacent mudroom, perfect for a pantry. Upstairs are three bedrooms, one with an enclosed porch, and a full bath with amazing storage. The exterior offers a large covered front porch, rear deck, fenced yard, and a two car detached garage. Updates include Duro-Last roof above upper porch (2022), H2O heater (2022), roof and siding (2017), and A/C unit (2012). There is a shower/toilet/sink area in the basement. Some photos are virtually staged.
-
2023-07-28soldstatus $104,000
-
2023-07-27soldstatus $92,000 Closed 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
Right out of a Hallmark movie, this traditional 3 bedroom, 1 bath vinyl sided Sears Foursquare with loads of charm features gorgeous natural woodwork and hardwood floors. The exterior offers a large covered front porch, rear deck, fenced yard, and a two car detached garage. An open staircase compliments the large living room. Main level also features a formal dining room with built-in buffet adorned with beveled glass windows, and an eat-in kitchen with adjacent mudroom or office area. Upstairs you will find three bedrooms -- one with a charming enclosed porch, and a full bathroom complimented with built-in storage. Updates include Duro-Last roof above upper porch (2022), HW heater (2022), roof and siding (2017), and A/C unit (2012). There is a shower/toilet/sink area in the basement. Seller is offering a home warranty upon acceptance of offer.
-
2023-07-08status Pending 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
Right out of a Hallmark movie, this traditional 3 bedroom, 1 bath vinyl sided Sears Foursquare with loads of charm features gorgeous natural woodwork and hardwood floors. The exterior offers a large covered front porch, rear deck, fenced yard, and a two car detached garage. An open staircase compliments the large living room. Main level also features a formal dining room with built-in buffet adorned with beveled glass windows, and an eat-in kitchen with adjacent mudroom or office area. Upstairs you will find three bedrooms -- one with a charming enclosed porch, and a full bathroom complimented with built-in storage. Updates include Duro-Last roof above upper porch (2022), HW heater (2022), roof and siding (2017), and A/C unit (2012). There is a shower/toilet/sink area in the basement. Seller is offering a home warranty upon acceptance of offer.
-
2023-06-17historical Under Contract 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
Right out of a Hallmark movie, this traditional 3 bedroom, 1 bath vinyl sided Sears Foursquare with loads of charm features gorgeous natural woodwork and hardwood floors. The exterior offers a large covered front porch, rear deck, fenced yard, and a two car detached garage. An open staircase compliments the large living room. Main level also features a formal dining room with built-in buffet adorned with beveled glass windows, and an eat-in kitchen with adjacent mudroom or office area. Upstairs you will find three bedrooms -- one with a charming enclosed porch, and a full bathroom complimented with built-in storage. Updates include Duro-Last roof above upper porch (2022), HW heater (2022), roof and siding (2017), and A/C unit (2012). There is a shower/toilet/sink area in the basement. Seller is offering a home warranty upon acceptance of offer.
-
2023-05-31price $104,000 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
Right out of a Hallmark movie, this traditional 3 bedroom, 1 bath vinyl sided Sears Foursquare with loads of charm features gorgeous natural woodwork and hardwood floors. The exterior offers a large covered front porch, rear deck, fenced yard, and a two car detached garage. An open staircase compliments the large living room. Main level also features a formal dining room with built-in buffet adorned with beveled glass windows, and an eat-in kitchen with adjacent mudroom or office area. Upstairs you will find three bedrooms -- one with a charming enclosed porch, and a full bathroom complimented with built-in storage. Updates include Duro-Last roof above upper porch (2022), HW heater (2022), roof and siding (2017), and A/C unit (2012). There is a shower/toilet/sink area in the basement. Seller is offering a home warranty upon acceptance of offer.
-
2023-03-08price $109,000 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
Right out of a Hallmark movie, this traditional 3 bedroom, 1 bath vinyl sided Sears Foursquare with loads of charm features gorgeous natural woodwork and hardwood floors. The exterior offers a large covered front porch, rear deck, fenced yard, and a two car detached garage. An open staircase compliments the large living room. Main level also features a formal dining room with built-in buffet adorned with beveled glass windows, and an eat-in kitchen with adjacent mudroom or office area. Upstairs you will find three bedrooms -- one with a charming enclosed porch, and a full bathroom complimented with built-in storage. Updates include Duro-Last roof above upper porch (2022), HW heater (2022), roof and siding (2017), and A/C unit (2012). There is a shower/toilet/sink area in the basement. Seller is offering a home warranty upon acceptance of offer.
-
2023-01-30price $114,000 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
Right out of a Hallmark movie, this traditional 3 bedroom, 1 bath vinyl sided Sears Foursquare with loads of charm features gorgeous natural woodwork and hardwood floors. The exterior offers a large covered front porch, rear deck, fenced yard, and a two car detached garage. An open staircase compliments the large living room. Main level also features a formal dining room with built-in buffet adorned with beveled glass windows, and an eat-in kitchen with adjacent mudroom or office area. Upstairs you will find three bedrooms -- one with a charming enclosed porch, and a full bathroom complimented with built-in storage. Updates include Duro-Last roof above upper porch (2022), HW heater (2022), roof and siding (2017), and A/C unit (2012). There is a shower/toilet/sink area in the basement. Seller is offering a home warranty upon acceptance of offer.
-
2022-12-01$119,000 Active 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
Right out of a Hallmark movie, this traditional 3 bedroom, 1 bath vinyl sided Sears Foursquare with loads of charm features gorgeous natural woodwork and hardwood floors. The exterior offers a large covered front porch, rear deck, fenced yard, and a two car detached garage. An open staircase compliments the large living room. Main level also features a formal dining room with built-in buffet adorned with beveled glass windows, and an eat-in kitchen with adjacent mudroom or office area. Upstairs you will find three bedrooms -- one with a charming enclosed porch, and a full bathroom complimented with built-in storage. Updates include Duro-Last roof above upper porch (2022), HW heater (2022), roof and siding (2017), and A/C unit (2012). There is a shower/toilet/sink area in the basement. Seller is offering a home warranty upon acceptance of offer.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,169 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,169 · $181/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,265
- − Property taxes
- −$2,169
- − Insurance
- −$470
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,152
- − Management
- −$1,152
- − Depreciation
- −$2,735
- Taxable income
- $1,457
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$350
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,472/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Canton Union SD 66
- NCES district ID
- 1708280
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,657
- Composite
- 18.03/100
- National rank
- #8980
- State rank
- #417 of 620 in IL
Livability — Canton
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #318
- US rank
- #6313
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Canton, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,098
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,356 people
- By 2030
- 32,144 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 29,518 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 26,775 · -19.7%
- By 2075
- 19,972 · -40.1%
- By 2100
- 13,580 · -59.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.8) · D 37.1% · R 60.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -45.2pp toward R · 2008: 21.3pp · 2024: -23.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+15.1 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+21.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.00%
- Current HPI
- 123.8086
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-16.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $99,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-22 Listed $105,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $104,000 Public Records
- 2023-07-27 Sold (MLS) $92,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-08 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-17 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-31 Price Changed $104,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-08 Price Changed $109,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-30 Price Changed $114,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-01 Listed $119,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+30.4%/yrLatest (2024): $2,169 · -19.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…