2800 Lake St · Marshall, TX 75670

$61,109

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,147 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 223 Days on market

Built 1930 0.42 ac lot $53/sqft · 58% above area

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

JUST LISTED! This unique one-story home in Marshall, Texas. It features 2 bedrooms and 1 bath and is located on almost a half-acre lot. This property is near the Texas/Louisiana border and offers convenient access to both Longview and Shreveport, Louisiana, each is less than an hour's drive away. With East Texas Baptist University just a 5-minute drive away and Lions Park down the road, this home is perfectly positioned for both convenience and recreation. Additionally, you'll find grocery stores, fast food options, restaurants, pharmacies, and banks all within close proximity. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home.

Key facts

• One story home
• Convenient access
• Half acre lot

Tags

• ONE STORY HOME
• HALF ACRE LOT
• LIONS PARK DOWN THE ROAD
• CONVENIENT ACCESS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $61k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $461 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $61k).
• Recommended offer: $54k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 4.5% in Marshall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#451 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Marshall ISD (town): math 29% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #658 of 826 in TX (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 85 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $423 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 223 days — a 12% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $53,775 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 223 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.76% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.35%
• Cash-on-cash: 32.35%
• DSCR: 2.44
• GRM: 4.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $38,570
• List price: $61,109
• Delta: 58.44%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 27.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.14×
• Total profit: $19,466
• Equity at exit: $9,112

10-year hold

• IRR: 34.9%
• Equity multiple: 4.20×
• Total profit: $54,752
• Equity at exit: $5,284

Cash invested: $17,111 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75670

• Home prices YoY: -33.8%
• Active inventory: 144
• Price-to-rent: 4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,073 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$320
• Tax from tax record: −$41 /mo · $487/yr
• Insurance: −$25
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$225
• Net cashflow: $461

Break-even live

Break-even rent $489

Max offer price $61,109

Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $496	-5% $479	+0% $461	+5% $444	+10% $427
Rent	-10% $376	-5% $419	+0% $461	+5% $504	+10% $546
Rate	-1.0pp $492	-0.5pp $477	base $461	+0.5pp $445	+1.0pp $429

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $15,277
• Closing costs: $1,833
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2707 Norwood St Marshall, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	971	$1,075	$1.11	14d	16	1.22mi

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $61,109 Active 223 DOM
2. 2026-06-19
   days on market $61,109 Active 221 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $61,109 Active 220 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $61,109 Active 219 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $61,109 Active 218 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $61,109 Active 217 DOM
7. 2026-06-14
   days on market $61,109 Active 215 DOM
8. 2026-06-13
   days on market $61,109 Active 214 DOM
9. 2026-06-10
   days on market $61,109 Active 212 DOM
10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $61,109 Active 211 DOM
11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $61,109 Active 210 DOM
12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $61,109 Active 209 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $61,109 Active 204 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $61,109 Active 203 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $61,109 Active 202 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $61,109 Active 201 DOM
17. 2025-11-10
    listed $61,109 Active 809-char remark

    Show marketing remark (809 chars)

    JUST LISTED! This unique one-story home in Marshall, Texas. It features 2 bedrooms and 1 bath and is located on almost a half-acre lot. This property is near the Texas/Louisiana border and offers convenient access to both Longview and Shreveport, Louisiana, each is less than an hour's drive away. With East Texas Baptist University just a 5-minute drive away and Lions Park down the road, this home is perfectly positioned for both convenience and recreation. Additionally, you'll find grocery stores, fast food options, restaurants, pharmacies, and banks all within close proximity. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home.

18. 2000-07-27
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $487 · $41/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,118 · $93/mo
• Expected delta: +$631/yr (+$53/mo · 129.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,877
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,423
• − Property taxes: −$487
• − Insurance: −$306
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,030
• − Management: −$1,030
• − Depreciation: −$1,778
• Taxable income: $4,823
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,158
• After-tax cash flow: $4,377/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Marshall ISD
• NCES district ID: 4829160
• Math proficiency: 29% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 29% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $40,095
• Composite: 24.43/100
• National rank: #7680
• State rank: #658 of 826 in TX

Livability — Marshall

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #451
• US rank: #9156

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Marshall, TX
• County: Harrison County · 18,670 people
• City population: 18,670
• Metro: Longview, TX
• Population (ZIP): 18,670
• Household income: $42,386
• Rent vs Own: 40.9% rent · 59.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 598.0

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 68,691 people
• By 2030: 69,317 · +0.9%
• By 2040: 69,973 · +1.9%
• By 2050: 70,090 · +2.0%
• By 2075: 70,607 · +2.8%
• By 2100: 67,546 · -1.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 39% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 11%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 22%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada
• Languages at home: 85% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.4% · R 75.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -31.4pp · 2024: -50.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+50.6 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+31.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -51.33%
• Current HPI: 100.3741
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Longview, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2025-11-10 Listed $61,109 HARMLS
• 2000-07-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

-4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $487 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.