1415 Highbridge Blvd · Heartland, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming light blue 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch-style home offers comfort, privacy, and access to great community amenities. You'll love the spacious backyard that creating a relaxing outdoor escape. Plus, you're within walking distance of the neighborhood park, pool, and splash pad. Wide sidewalks throughout the community invite you to enjoy walks, jogs, or bike rides close to home. To help visualize this homes floor plan and to highlight its potential virtual furnishings may have been added to photos found in this listing.
Key facts
- 5,097 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2021
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3 ($34/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $175k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.6% in Heartland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Crandall ISD (rural): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #351 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 800 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.07%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $212,510
- List price
- $179,900
- Delta
- -15.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2919 Hearts Trl | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,266 (+0%) | 1mo | $193,999 | $153 | 94 |
| 2926 Hearts Trl | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,266 (+0%) | 1mo | $204,999 | $162 | 93 |
| 2920 Hearts Trl | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,266 (+0%) | 2mo | $191,999 | $152 | 92 |
| 1707 Twin Foals Ln | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,276 (+1%) | 1mo | $209,000 | $164 | 82 |
| 2923 Hearts Trl | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+11%) | 1mo | $210,999 | $150 | 76 |
| 2933 Hearts Trl | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,411 (+12%) | 0mo | $204,999 | $145 | 76 |
| 2909 Hearts Trl | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,411 (+12%) | 0mo | $237,859 | $169 | 75 |
| 2931 Hearts Trl | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,411 (+12%) | 2mo | $200,999 | $142 | 75 |
| 6311 Streamside Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,336 (+6%) | 1mo | $263,740 | $197 | 62 |
| 6022 Midsummer Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,335 (+6%) | 1mo | $259,740 | $195 | 61 |
| 6323 Streamside Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,396 (+11%) | 1mo | $277,740 | $199 | 54 |
| 2039 Braveheart Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,076 (-15%) | 1mo | $249,900 | $232 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-28,764
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-23,977
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75114
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Active inventory
- 800
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,941 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$479 /mo · $5,752/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$33
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$408
- Net cashflow
- $3
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $105 | -5% $54 | +0% $3 | +5% $-48 | +10% $-99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-151 | -5% $-74 | +0% $3 | +5% $80 | +10% $156 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $93 | -0.5pp $49 | base $3 | +0.5pp $-44 | +1.0pp $-91 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2311 Alcantara Ave Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,740 | $1.43 | 0d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 2908 Hearts Trl Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1266 | $1,750 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2504 Cornado Way Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,799 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 2511 Cornado Way Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $1,799 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2603 Khaju Grv Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,699 | $1.34 | 4d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1930 Wild Orchard Ln Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,865 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1507 Trick Riding Way Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,900 | $1.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1507 Trick Riding Way Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,900 | $1.03 | 0d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3072 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $1,500 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2294 Great Belt Blvd Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,815 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1209 Kings Pl Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1356 | $1,975 | $1.46 | 2d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2302 Great Belt Blvd Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,650 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2306 Great Belt Blvd Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,695 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1789 Courage Crk Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $1,739 | $1.04 | 4d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1793 Courage Crk Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $1,769 | $1.06 | 0d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1799 Courage Crk Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,800 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1609 Duke Dr Crandall, TX | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1614 | $2,242 | $1.39 | 0d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3315 Beckwith Way Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,685 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3007 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,950 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2991 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,895 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2510 Flight Trl Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $1,845 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2513 Flight Trl Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1707 | $1,825 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2973 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,665 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3121 Helix Bay Dr Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,675 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3352 Beckwith Way Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,750 | $1.38 | 0d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2521 Flight Trl Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1707 | $1,825 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2409 Fleming Dr Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $1,845 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2624 Bartlett St Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1707 | $1,825 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2739 Bronte Blvd Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1707 | $1,825 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2961 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,855 | $1.47 | 3d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3103 Helix Bay Dr Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,729 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2960 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,000 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2746 Bronte Blvd Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1707 | $1,825 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3101 Helix Bay Dr Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,745 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2745 Bronte Blvd Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $1,845 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3104 Helix Bay Dr Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,675 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2127 Ocelot St Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $2,200 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2117 Ocelot St Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $1,875 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4152 Silverstein St Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,925 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3324 Price Trl Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,995 | $1.54 | 18d | 1 | 0.90mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $33 · $396/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $179,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $179,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-04-28$179,900 Active 531-char remark
Show marketing remark (531 chars)
This charming light blue 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch-style home offers comfort, privacy, and access to great community amenities. You'll love the spacious backyard that creating a relaxing outdoor escape. Plus, you're within walking distance of the neighborhood park, pool, and splash pad. Wide sidewalks throughout the community invite you to enjoy walks, jogs, or bike rides close to home. To help visualize this homes floor plan and to highlight its potential virtual furnishings may have been added to photos found in this listing.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,752 · $479/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,752 · $479/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,295
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$5,752
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,864
- − Management
- −$1,864
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$2,791
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$670
- After-tax cash flow
- $704/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch-style home is in good condition with a good exterior and interior. It is move-in ready and has a good curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value.
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps the property in good condition and reduces maintenance costs for tenants.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value. ↑
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps the property in good condition and reduces maintenance costs for tenants. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crandall ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815510
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,076
- Composite
- 35.57/100
- National rank
- #4901
- State rank
- #351 of 826 in TX
Livability — Heartland
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Kaufman County · 122,338 people
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,333
- Household income
- $88,013
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 33.0
Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,716 people
- By 2030
- 150,815 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 174,877 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 198,020 · +42.8%
- By 2075
- 251,908 · +81.6%
- By 2100
- 285,325 · +105.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 14% Black 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 34%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 27% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.61%
- Current HPI
- 196.4773
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-05-26 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $179,900 NTREIS
Property tax history
+59.4%/yrLatest (2025): $5,752 · -14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…