9108 Highway 87 N Unit OLD · Forest Heights, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
home has 1.8 acres mostly cleared good for weekend get away house has been cleaned and some updates redone wood floorsrecect A/C all outside paneling has been redone outside and some repairs inside, title in kitchen and bathrooms. PROPERTY SOLD AS IS
Key facts
- Recent a/c
- Some repairs inside
- 1.8 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $122 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (2.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Little Cypress-Mauriceville CISD (rural): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #435 of 826 in TX (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 294 active listings in the ZIP; 235 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 668 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 668 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.50%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $291,566
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- -48.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-16,469
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-4,208
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77632
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Active inventory
- 294
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,466 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $122
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $226 | -5% $174 | +0% $122 | +5% $71 | +10% $19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $7 | -5% $65 | +0% $122 | +5% $180 | +10% $238 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $198 | -0.5pp $161 | base $122 | +0.5pp $84 | +1.0pp $44 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18status $149,900 Pending 668 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 668 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 667 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 666 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,900 Active 664 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 663 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Active 661 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 660 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 659 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 658 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 654 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 653 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 652 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 651 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $149,900 Active 650 DOM
-
2025-07-01status Active 250-char remark
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
home has 1.8 acres mostly cleared good for weekend get away house has been cleaned and some updates redone wood floorsrecect A/C all outside paneling has been redone outside and some repairs inside, title in kitchen and bathrooms. PROPERTY SOLD AS IS
-
2025-06-30historical 250-char remark
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
home has 1.8 acres mostly cleared good for weekend get away house has been cleaned and some updates redone wood floorsrecect A/C all outside paneling has been redone outside and some repairs inside, title in kitchen and bathrooms. PROPERTY SOLD AS IS
-
2025-01-27price $149,900 250-char remark
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
home has 1.8 acres mostly cleared good for weekend get away house has been cleaned and some updates redone wood floorsrecect A/C all outside paneling has been redone outside and some repairs inside, title in kitchen and bathrooms. PROPERTY SOLD AS IS
-
2024-12-11price $159,900 250-char remark
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
home has 1.8 acres mostly cleared good for weekend get away house has been cleaned and some updates redone wood floorsrecect A/C all outside paneling has been redone outside and some repairs inside, title in kitchen and bathrooms. PROPERTY SOLD AS IS
-
2024-08-17$149,900 Active 250-char remark
Show marketing remark (250 chars)
home has 1.8 acres mostly cleared good for weekend get away house has been cleaned and some updates redone wood floorsrecect A/C all outside paneling has been redone outside and some repairs inside, title in kitchen and bathrooms. PROPERTY SOLD AS IS
-
2024-08-10historical
-
2024-02-01$149,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,596
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,248
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,408
- − Management
- −$1,408
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$975
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$234
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,704/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
The home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Key updates include new kitchen cabinets and bathroom fixtures, as well as landscaping improvements.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — basic and in need of replacement
- Minor HVAC system — basic appliances
Value-add opportunities
- Resale new kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and adds value
- Resale new bathroom fixtures — modernizes the space and adds value
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · basic and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| HVAC system · basic appliances | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale new kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and adds value ↑
- Resale new bathroom fixtures — modernizes the space and adds value ↑
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Cypress-Mauriceville CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4827690
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,483
- Composite
- 33.41/100
- National rank
- #5473
- State rank
- #435 of 826 in TX
Livability — Forest Heights
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Forest Heights, TX
- County
- Orange County · 87,112 people
- City population
- 22,976
- Metro
- Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,976
- Household income
- $74,418
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 431.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 88,065 people
- By 2030
- 89,591 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 91,982 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 93,023 · +5.6%
- By 2075
- 94,871 · +7.7%
- By 2100
- 88,155 · +0.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.4% · R 83.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.6pp toward R · 2008: -47.1pp · 2024: -66.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.8 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+54.3 2008: R+47.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.96%
- Current HPI
- 149.354
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2025-07-01 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2025-06-30 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-01-27 Price Changed $149,900 HARMLS
- 2024-12-11 Price Changed $159,900 HARMLS
- 2024-08-17 Listed $149,900 HARMLS
- 2024-08-10 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2024-02-01 Listed $149,900 HARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…