4240 Oakhill Dr · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$107,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTOR ALERT CASH BONANZA EXCELLENT CASH FLOW WITH TENANT IN PLACE * NO DELAYS *NO REHAB *BUY AND HOLD
Key facts
- 9,147 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1957
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $107k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $107k).
- Recommended offer: $104k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $740 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($104k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 69% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.10%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $70,282
- List price
- $107,000
- Delta
- 52.24%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 827 Berwood Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,266 (+2%) | 14mo | $70,000 | $55 | 75 |
| 947 Witsell Rd | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+5%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $127 | 70 |
| 958 Watkins Pl | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,316 (+6%) | 4mo | $31,200 | $24 | 68 |
| 4025 Carol Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,316 (+6%) | 7mo | $67,500 | $51 | 66 |
| 4510 Kirkley Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,212 (-2%) | 10mo | $94,900 | $78 | 64 |
| 571 Hickory Ridge Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,224 (-1%) | 22mo | $85,000 | $69 | 57 |
| 4574 Hanging Moss Rd | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,306 (+5%) | 8mo | $64,900 | $50 | 53 |
| 390 Northside Cir | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,307 (+5%) | 16mo | $125,000 | $96 | 50 |
| 405 Meadow Moss Rd | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,308 (+5%) | 15mo | $71,500 | $55 | 40 |
| 4236 Hanging Moss Rd | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,312 (+6%) | 19mo | $34,900 | $27 | 40 |
| 684 Heather Ln | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,400 (+13%) | 6mo | $50,000 | $36 | 36 |
| 755 Forest Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,403 (+13%) | 21mo | $45,000 | $32 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,486
- Equity at exit
- $15,954
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $18,554
- Equity at exit
- $9,251
Cash invested: $29,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39206
- Home prices YoY
- -10.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,236 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$561
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,423/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $252
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $313 | -5% $282 | +0% $252 | +5% $222 | +10% $192 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $154 | -5% $203 | +0% $252 | +5% $301 | +10% $350 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $306 | -0.5pp $279 | base $252 | +0.5pp $224 | +1.0pp $196 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,750
- Closing costs
- $3,210
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 815 Berwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 963 Pine Lake Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1196 | $1,050 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3811 Mosley Ave Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,095 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 533 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $820 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3718 Northbrook Dr Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4833 N State St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 994 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 214 Melbourne Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1207 | $1,500 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1175 Eminence Row Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $650 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 227 Lawrence Rd #227 Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $995 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 227 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $900 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 227 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $900 | $1.07 | 15d | 2 | 1.15mi |
| 229 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $900 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 229 Lawrence Rd #229 Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $995 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4858 Sheridan Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 521 Launcelot Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $1,423 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $107,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $107,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $107,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $107,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $107,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $107,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $107,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $107,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $107,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $107,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $107,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $107,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $107,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $107,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $107,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $107,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-02status Active 118-char remark
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT CASH BONANZA EXCELLENT CASH FLOW WITH TENANT IN PLACE * NO DELAYS *NO REHAB *BUY AND HOLD
-
2026-02-14price $107,000 118-char remark
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT CASH BONANZA EXCELLENT CASH FLOW WITH TENANT IN PLACE * NO DELAYS *NO REHAB *BUY AND HOLD
-
2026-02-14status Active 118-char remark
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT CASH BONANZA EXCELLENT CASH FLOW WITH TENANT IN PLACE * NO DELAYS *NO REHAB *BUY AND HOLD
-
2026-02-05status Pending 118-char remark
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT CASH BONANZA EXCELLENT CASH FLOW WITH TENANT IN PLACE * NO DELAYS *NO REHAB *BUY AND HOLD
-
2026-02-05historical 118-char remark
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT CASH BONANZA EXCELLENT CASH FLOW WITH TENANT IN PLACE * NO DELAYS *NO REHAB *BUY AND HOLD
-
2026-01-24$63,500 Active 118-char remark
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT CASH BONANZA EXCELLENT CASH FLOW WITH TENANT IN PLACE * NO DELAYS *NO REHAB *BUY AND HOLD
-
2024-03-01soldstatus Closed 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Nice 3/2.5 many updates - just need a few more- great investment or home-very close to schools and shopping
-
2024-02-26soldstatus
-
2024-02-12status Pending 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Nice 3/2.5 many updates - just need a few more- great investment or home-very close to schools and shopping
-
2024-02-06price $62,900 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Nice 3/2.5 many updates - just need a few more- great investment or home-very close to schools and shopping
-
2024-01-26status Active 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Nice 3/2.5 many updates - just need a few more- great investment or home-very close to schools and shopping
-
2023-12-14status Pending 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Nice 3/2.5 many updates - just need a few more- great investment or home-very close to schools and shopping
-
2023-12-04price $65,900 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Nice 3/2.5 many updates - just need a few more- great investment or home-very close to schools and shopping
-
2023-11-22status Active 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Nice 3/2.5 many updates - just need a few more- great investment or home-very close to schools and shopping
-
2023-11-15status Pending 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Nice 3/2.5 many updates - just need a few more- great investment or home-very close to schools and shopping
-
2023-11-15status Active 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Nice 3/2.5 many updates - just need a few more- great investment or home-very close to schools and shopping
-
2023-10-27status Pending 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Nice 3/2.5 many updates - just need a few more- great investment or home-very close to schools and shopping
-
2023-10-25status Active 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Nice 3/2.5 many updates - just need a few more- great investment or home-very close to schools and shopping
-
2023-10-11status Pending 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Nice 3/2.5 many updates - just need a few more- great investment or home-very close to schools and shopping
-
2023-10-05price $70,000 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Nice 3/2.5 many updates - just need a few more- great investment or home-very close to schools and shopping
-
2023-09-27price $75,000 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Nice 3/2.5 many updates - just need a few more- great investment or home-very close to schools and shopping
-
2023-09-22$80,000 Active 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Nice 3/2.5 many updates - just need a few more- great investment or home-very close to schools and shopping
-
2014-01-22soldstatus
-
2013-10-11$21,500
-
2013-08-19soldstatus
-
1972-08-11soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,423 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,423 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,830
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,994
- − Property taxes
- −$1,423
- − Insurance
- −$535
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,186
- − Management
- −$1,186
- − Depreciation
- −$3,113
- Taxable income
- $1,393
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$334
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,690/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,257
- Household income
- $42,686
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1554.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.38%
- Current HPI
- 194.5873
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.83%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+397.7% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-02-14 Price Changed $107,000 MLSU
- 2026-02-14 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-02-05 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-02-05 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2026-01-24 Listed $63,500 MLSU
- 2024-03-01 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2024-02-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-02-12 Pending — MLSU
- 2024-02-06 Price Changed $62,900 MLSU
- 2024-01-26 Relisted — MLSU
- 2023-12-14 Pending — MLSU
- 2023-12-04 Price Changed $65,900 MLSU
- 2023-11-22 Relisted — MLSU
- 2023-11-15 Pending — MLSU
- 2023-11-15 Relisted — MLSU
- 2023-10-27 Pending — MLSU
- 2023-10-25 Relisted — MLSU
- 2023-10-11 Pending — MLSU
- 2023-10-05 Price Changed $70,000 MLSU
- 2023-09-27 Price Changed $75,000 MLSU
- 2023-09-22 Listed $80,000 MLSU
- 2014-01-22 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2013-10-11 Listed $21,500 MLSU
- 2013-08-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1972-08-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,423 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…