105 S Newport Ln · Waynesville, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Quaint 3-bedroom 1 bathroom starter home in Waynesville school district, built in 1960. New metal roof. Outbuilding for parking or using as a workshop, with electric. Flat yard with firepit. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 6,272 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1960
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lease not considered; No home warranty; Living area and above-grade finished area per public records
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; On-street parking; Paved parking; 1-car garage (total parking for 1)
- Security: Security system
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Propane available; Electricity connected; Cable connected; Phone available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Private ownership; Fixer condition; House structure
- Construction: Concrete and frame construction with steel siding; Metal roof; Slab foundation; Built area above grade (per public records)
- Exterior features: Patio; Exterior lighting; No-step entry; Back yard; Fenced yard; City lot; City street frontage; Paved road
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (propane); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans for added cooling
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fans; Window screens; Window treatments; Security system
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry on main level; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $471 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.0% in Waynesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#322 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Waynesville R-VI (town): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #41 of 324 in MO (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Waynesville East Elem. (math 51% / reading 53%, grade C-, #231 of 1,115 statewide, top 24%, 929 students, 44% FRL); Waynesville Sr. High (math 37% / reading 53%, grade D-, #176 of 521 statewide, top 34%, 1,704 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.3%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 62 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $96k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.83%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $18,434
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.69×
- Total profit
- $90,505
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65583
- Home prices YoY
- -27.3%
- Rents YoY
- 10.3%
- Active inventory
- 156
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,497 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $382/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$314
- Net cashflow
- $471
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $539 | -5% $505 | +0% $471 | +5% $437 | +10% $403 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $353 | -5% $412 | +0% $471 | +5% $530 | +10% $590 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $532 | -0.5pp $502 | base $471 | +0.5pp $440 | +1.0pp $409 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20380 Spice Dr Ste D Waynesville, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1140 | $1,495 | $1.31 | 45d | 9 | 0.90mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-21status Pending
-
2026-05-19$120,000 Active
-
2022-12-14soldstatus $96,000
-
2022-12-13soldstatus Closed 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
Quaint 3-bedroom 1 bathroom starter home in Waynesville school district, built in 1960. New metal roof. Outbuilding for parking or using as a workshop, with electric. Flat yard with firepit. Schedule your showing today!
-
2022-10-26status Pending 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
Quaint 3-bedroom 1 bathroom starter home in Waynesville school district, built in 1960. New metal roof. Outbuilding for parking or using as a workshop, with electric. Flat yard with firepit. Schedule your showing today!
-
2022-10-25$96,000 Active 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
Quaint 3-bedroom 1 bathroom starter home in Waynesville school district, built in 1960. New metal roof. Outbuilding for parking or using as a workshop, with electric. Flat yard with firepit. Schedule your showing today!
-
2010-05-03soldstatus
-
2010-03-24soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $382 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,164 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- +$782/yr (+$65/mo · 204.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,961
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$382
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,437
- − Management
- −$1,437
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $3,893
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$934
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,722/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waynesville R-VI
- NCES district ID
- 2931440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,147
- Composite
- 42.36/100
- National rank
- #3246
- State rank
- #41 of 324 in MO
Livability — Waynesville
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #322
- US rank
- #14679
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waynesville, MO
- County
- Pulaski County · 25,264 people
- City population
- 14,711
- Metro
- Fort Leonard Wood, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,711
- Household income
- $76,626
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 185.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 54,214 people
- By 2030
- 54,723 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 54,885 · +1.2%
- By 2050
- 55,467 · +2.3%
- By 2075
- 58,576 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 61,179 · +12.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.3) · D 24.2% · R 74.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -28.7pp · 2024: -50.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.3 2020: R+45.7 2016: R+51.7 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+28.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.32%
- Current HPI
- 155.2931
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.27%
- Metro
- Fort Leonard Wood, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+25.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-19 Listed $120,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
- 2022-12-13 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-26 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-25 Listed $96,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-05-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2010-03-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $382 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…