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1565 Highway 66 #20 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 44.33
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$2,600

1565 Highway 66 #20 · Estes Park, CO 80517
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · Townhouse · 27 Days on market
Built 1990 $86/mo HOA · 4% of rent ↓ 47% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Entered for statistical purposes.

Key facts

  • Fitness center
  • Windows w views
  • End unit

Tags

END UNITVAULTED CEILINGSWINDOWS W VIEWSHEATED OUTDOOR POOLFITNESS CENTERLAUNDRY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Community amenities: clubhouse, hot tub, pool, playground, fitness center, park, trails, recreation room; Pets allowed with breed restrictions
  • HOA & community: Has HOA (Rams Horn Village Owner's Association); Annual association fee; Association transfer fee required; Association maintains reserves; Annual fee covers common amenities, trash, snow removal, grounds maintenance, management, utilities, exterior maintenance, cable TV, water, heat, electricity, insurance, and sewer

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; No designated parking features listed
  • Utilities: City water (meter installed); Public sewer; Natural gas available (Xcel); Electricity available; Cable available; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Attached property; Residential timeshare; One and one-half story; North/unspecified facing direction
  • Construction: Frame construction with wood siding (cedar, painted/stained); Composition roof; Built/finished above grade area approximately 1,100 (700 main, 400 upper)
  • Exterior features: Patio; Balcony; Evergreen trees; Level lot; Paved surfaces; Fire hydrant within 500 feet; Road surface: asphalt; County-maintained road frontage; Minimal flood risk (C rating)

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (all conforming)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (one on main level, one on upper level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Open floor plan; Living room gas fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $2,600 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$427,900) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $3k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $3k).
  • Recommended offer: $3k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 678.4% vs local median 1.7% in Estes Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#58 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, crime A-, health & safety B+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
  • Estes Park School District R-3 (town): math 26% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #34 of 86 in CO (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Estes Park K-5 School (math 15% / reading 37%, grade F, #581 of 966 statewide, top 61%, 471 students, 36% FRL); Estes Park High School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #70 of 381 statewide, top 18%, 323 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools at 31% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 201 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $18 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $78 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $728 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($3k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $1k; list at $3k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $2,561 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
75.96%
Cap rate
678.42%
Cash-on-cash
2400.46%
DSCR
107.81
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$427,900
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1565 Highway 66 #39 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,100 (0%) 16mo $5,750 $5 87
37 Odin Way 0.71mi 2/2.0 1,025 (-7%) 5mo $399,000 $389 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
127.94×
Total profit
$92,413
Equity at exit
$388
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
276.05×
Total profit
$200,239
Equity at exit
$225

Cash invested: $728 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 80517

Active inventory
201
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,975 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$14
Tax est. 1.5%
$3 /mo · $39/yr
Insurance
$1
HOA
$86
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$415
Net cashflow
$1,456

Break-even live

Break-even rent $132
Max offer price $2,600
Occupancy floor 21%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$650
Closing costs
$78
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
507 Fall River Ln Unit 507C Estes Park, CO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,950 $2.46 14d 1 1.39mi
507 Fall River Ln Unit C Estes Park, CO 2.0 1.0 792 $2,000 $2.53 14d 1 1.39mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$86 · $1,032/yr

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $2,600 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $2,600 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $2,600 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $2,600 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $2,600 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $2,600 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $2,600 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $2,600 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $2,600 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $2,600 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $2,600 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $2,600 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $2,600 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $2,600 Active 9 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $2,600 Active 8 DOM
  16. 2026-05-22
    listed $2,600 Active
  17. 2025-05-30
    soldstatus $1,000 33-char remark
    Show marketing remark (33 chars)

    Entered for statistical purposes.

  18. 2025-05-07
    listed $1,500 33-char remark
    Show marketing remark (33 chars)

    Entered for statistical purposes.

  19. 2018-10-26
    soldstatus $3,450 Sold 508-char remark
    Show marketing remark (508 chars)

    Great Pricing! 2 white weeks in a detached timeshare/Rams Horn fee simple Peak Unit. Come when it's not busy in Estes. Why buy a 2nd home, with its headaches? Instead, relax in 2-bdrm/2-bath home w/lodge pole furniture & authentic Native American antiquities. Plus have access to heated outdoor pool, 3 hot tubs, fitness center, clubhouse, playground & be 2-minutes from RMNP. Floating weeks can be traded throughout RCI's 7200 resorts w/ pd membership. Great trading power. $662 per week annual fee.

  20. 2018-10-08
    historical Active - Backup 508-char remark
    Show marketing remark (508 chars)

    Great Pricing! 2 white weeks in a detached timeshare/Rams Horn fee simple Peak Unit. Come when it's not busy in Estes. Why buy a 2nd home, with its headaches? Instead, relax in 2-bdrm/2-bath home w/lodge pole furniture & authentic Native American antiquities. Plus have access to heated outdoor pool, 3 hot tubs, fitness center, clubhouse, playground & be 2-minutes from RMNP. Floating weeks can be traded throughout RCI's 7200 resorts w/ pd membership. Great trading power. $662 per week annual fee.

  21. 2018-08-07
    price $3,950 508-char remark
    Show marketing remark (508 chars)

    Great Pricing! 2 white weeks in a detached timeshare/Rams Horn fee simple Peak Unit. Come when it's not busy in Estes. Why buy a 2nd home, with its headaches? Instead, relax in 2-bdrm/2-bath home w/lodge pole furniture & authentic Native American antiquities. Plus have access to heated outdoor pool, 3 hot tubs, fitness center, clubhouse, playground & be 2-minutes from RMNP. Floating weeks can be traded throughout RCI's 7200 resorts w/ pd membership. Great trading power. $662 per week annual fee.

  22. 2018-04-24
    listed $4,950 Active 508-char remark
    Show marketing remark (508 chars)

    Great Pricing! 2 white weeks in a detached timeshare/Rams Horn fee simple Peak Unit. Come when it's not busy in Estes. Why buy a 2nd home, with its headaches? Instead, relax in 2-bdrm/2-bath home w/lodge pole furniture & authentic Native American antiquities. Plus have access to heated outdoor pool, 3 hot tubs, fitness center, clubhouse, playground & be 2-minutes from RMNP. Floating weeks can be traded throughout RCI's 7200 resorts w/ pd membership. Great trading power. $662 per week annual fee.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥83°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 19 unhealthy d/yr today · 21 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,700
− Mortgage interest
−$146
− Property taxes
−$39
− Insurance
−$13
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,896
− Management
−$1,896
− HOA
−$1,032
− Depreciation
−$76
Taxable income
$18,603
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,465
After-tax cash flow
$13,011/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Estes Park School District R-3
NCES district ID
0803810
Math proficiency
26% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$57,717
Composite
32.25/100
National rank
#5764
State rank
#34 of 86 in CO

Livability — Estes Park

Score
72/100
State rank
#58
US rank
#5829

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living F Crime A- Employment C+ Housing C+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Estes Park, CO
Population (ZIP)
10,093

Population outlook (Larimer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,361 people
By 2030
457,762 · +10.2%
By 2040
542,310 · +30.6%
By 2050
627,048 · +51.0%
By 2075
833,722 · +100.7%
By 2100
952,590 · +129.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 6% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Larimer

2024 margin
D (+17.6) · D 57.4% · R 39.8% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: 17.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.6 2020: D+15.4 2016: D+4.9 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+9.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -162.45%
Current HPI
280.8755
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-47.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $2,600 IRES
  • 2025-05-30 Sold (MLS) $1,000 IRES
  • 2025-05-07 Listed $1,500 IRES
  • 2018-10-26 Sold (MLS) $3,450 IRES
  • 2018-10-08 Contingent IRES
  • 2018-08-07 Price Changed $3,950 IRES
  • 2018-04-24 Listed $4,950 IRES

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…