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281 Ball Park
C+ Composite 61.16
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.1/10.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.0/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$245,000

281 Ball Park · Anacoco, LA 71403
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,320 sqft · SingleFamily · 8 Days on market
Built 1988 1.00 ac lot Est $227k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

TOTALLY REMODELED this brick home is truly a Home for all Seasons, , from the cozy fireplace to the large rear deck this home sets the stage for everyone to enjoy the comforts of home. AND talk about a custom kitchen with a huge island this has it! So get ready to move in and enjoy this 4 bedroom from the HUGE master suite to the Cute craft shop and more! Call your realtor today!( Seller is an owner/agent licensed by the LREC)

Key facts

  • Custom kitchen
  • Huge island
  • Cozy fireplace

Tags

CUSTOM KITCHENHUGE ISLANDLARGE REAR DECKCOZY FIREPLACECRAFT SHOP

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Lot is approximately 1 acre; Zoned residential; Lot size listed as 'See survey'

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Electric range
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Electric range; Carpet flooring; Ceramic tile flooring; 10 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $461 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (2.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $240k (2.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 5.6% in Anacoco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#81 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Vernon Parish (rural): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #18 of 98 in LA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 26 units permitted in Vernon Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $22k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
  • Vernon County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (8.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $69k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $110k; list at $245k implies a 123% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $240,000 (2.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.55%
Cash-on-cash
8.07%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$227,360
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4110 Main 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,448 (+6%) 3mo $239,000 $98 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.5%
Equity multiple
2.94×
Total profit
$132,807
Equity at exit
$188,931
10-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
6.30×
Total profit
$363,377
Equity at exit
$377,727

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71403

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $575/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$504
Net cashflow
$461

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,816
Max offer price $245,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $600 -5% $531 +0% $461 +5% $392 +10% $322
Rent -10% $272 -5% $366 +0% $461 +5% $556 +10% $651
Rate -1.0pp $585 -0.5pp $524 base $461 +0.5pp $398 +1.0pp $333

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
107 John Ross Rd Anacoco, LA 3.0 2.0 2000 $2,400 $1.20 44d 1 0.66mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    days on market $245,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $245,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $245,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $245,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on marketlisting id $245,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $245,000 Active Under Contract 360 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $245,000 Active Under Contract 359 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $245,000 Active Under Contract 358 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $245,000 Active Under Contract 357 DOM
  10. 2026-02-23
    historical Active Under Contract
  11. 2025-11-20
    status Active
  12. 2025-09-22
    historical
  13. 2025-04-09
    listed $245,000 Active
  14. 2025-01-03
    price $245,000
  15. 2024-07-15
    price $250,000
  16. 2023-02-22
    soldstatus $110,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$575 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,348 · $112/mo
Expected delta
+$772/yr (+$64/mo · 134.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,800
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$575
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,304
− Management
−$2,304
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable income
$1,541
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$370
After-tax cash flow
$5,164/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vernon Parish
NCES district ID
2201830
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -42.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -32.00%
Median HH income
$44,822
Composite
36.42/100
National rank
#4674
State rank
#18 of 98 in LA

Livability — Anacoco

Score
69/100
State rank
#81
US rank
#9004

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Anacoco, LA
Population (ZIP)
3,792

Population outlook (Vernon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,401 people
By 2030
43,015 · -5.3%
By 2040
38,171 · -15.9%
By 2050
34,087 · -24.9%
By 2075
28,267 · -37.7%
By 2100
25,486 · -43.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Native American 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vernon

2024 margin
Solid R (+67.9) · D 15.6% · R 83.4% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.5pp toward R · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -67.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+67.9 2020: R+64.9 2016: R+65.0 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.17%
Current HPI
186.1416
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+122.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-23 Contingent GFPAR
  • 2025-11-20 Relisted GFPAR
  • 2025-09-22 Delisted GFPAR
  • 2025-04-09 Listed $245,000 GFPAR
  • 2025-01-03 Price Changed $245,000 GFPAR
  • 2024-07-15 Price Changed $250,000 GFPAR
  • 2023-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $575 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…