7559 Prairie St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity awaits with this bungalow featuring a welcoming front porch, full basement, detached garage, and a spacious backyard with plenty of potential. Whether you're an investor looking for your next project or a buyer ready to bring their vision to life, this property offers a great opportunity to build equity and unlock its possibilities. Conveniently located near local shopping, dining, and major roadways. Cash only. Land contract available at $75,000.
Key facts
- Spacious backyard
- Front porch
- Full basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick exterior
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 34 x 110 (0.09 acres)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two-story layout (bedroom count not specified)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Five total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $287 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($934 rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $70k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.63%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $48,608
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6608 Majestic St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (-9%) | 5mo | $50,000 | $63 | 67 |
| 6404 Belfast St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 890 (+2%) | 16mo | $85,000 | $96 | 62 |
| 8053 Roselawn St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 872 (+0%) | 21mo | $45,000 | $52 | 58 |
| 8136 Roselawn St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 919 (+6%) | 10mo | $65,000 | $71 | 54 |
| 8131 Greenlawn St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+11%) | 6mo | $26,000 | $27 | 52 |
| 6137 Proctor St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 780 (-10%) | 2mo | $39,000 | $50 | 51 |
| 8245 Carbondale St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (+11%) | 4mo | $25,000 | $26 | 47 |
| 8539 Cloverlawn St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 848 (-2%) | 20mo | $47,500 | $56 | 43 |
| 8294 Northlawn St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 998 (+15%) | 4mo | $52,000 | $52 | 38 |
| 8566 Cloverlawn St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 929 (+7%) | 20mo | $78,000 | $84 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $6,977
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.51×
- Total profit
- $29,627
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48210
- Home prices YoY
- -22.3%
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $934 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $659/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$196
- Net cashflow
- $287
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $327 | -5% $307 | +0% $287 | +5% $268 | +10% $248 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $214 | -5% $251 | +0% $287 | +5% $324 | +10% $361 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $323 | -0.5pp $305 | base $287 | +0.5pp $269 | +1.0pp $251 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7405 Garden St Unit 8 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $795 | $1.22 | 0d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 7405 Garden St Unit 6 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $795 | $1.22 | 19d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 8353 Alpine St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 8544 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 18d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 8762 Epworth St Unit 8768 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 0d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 5398 Allendale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 7100 Freda St Dearborn, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 45d | 3 | 0.91mi |
| 9022 Northlawn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 5440 Milford St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5101 Oregon St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,049 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 8283 Pinehurst St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 6307 Woodrow St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $750 | $0.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 9353 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $999 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 9917 Woodside St Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $69,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $69,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $659 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $868 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$209/yr (+$17/mo · 31.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,211
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$659
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$897
- − Management
- −$897
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $2,460
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$590
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,859/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- City population
- 572,865
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,925
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% White 20% Black 17% Two or more races 16% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 44% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Danish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 39% English-only · Spanish 50% Arabic 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.82%
- Current HPI
- 299.5909
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+55.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-29 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
- 2002-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 1999-08-19 Sold (MLS) $42,500 REALCOMP
- 1999-04-07 Listed $44,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $659 · -53.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…