1009 Allison St St · Charles City, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Freshly remodeled home featuring new LVP flooring, Updated paint, Bathroom, Roof, and garage siding. The large fenced-in backyardoffers plenty of space to relax or let the dog run. Tucked away in a quiet part of town. 24 hour notice before showing. Tenant in place and renting for 800 a month.
Key facts
- New lvp flooring
- Quiet part of town
- Remodeled home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($954 rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 6.7% in Charles City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#161 in IA, #2,944 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Charles City Community School District (town): math 52% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #262 of 289 in IA (top 91%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 38 units permitted in Floyd County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Floyd County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.92%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $71,773
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- 18.29%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 913 Beck St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (0%) | 3mo | $70,500 | $98 | 91 |
| 912 Allison St | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (-3%) | 19mo | $80,000 | $115 | 74 |
| 603 Hildreth St | 0.32mi | 1/— (-1) | 624 (-13%) | 19mo | $77,000 | $123 | 42 |
| 204 Brantingham St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+11%) | 15mo | $49,000 | $61 | 40 |
| 414 S Iowa St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (+9%) | 20mo | $45,000 | $57 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-2,499
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $12,344
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50616
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $954 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,160/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$200
- Net cashflow
- $177
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $225 | -5% $201 | +0% $177 | +5% $153 | +10% $129 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $101 | -5% $139 | +0% $177 | +5% $214 | +10% $252 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $219 | -0.5pp $198 | base $177 | +0.5pp $155 | +1.0pp $132 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 906 Gilbert St Unit 2 Charles City, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $775 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1416 Gilbert St Unit 50 Charles City, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,000 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1030 13th Ave Charles City, IA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 926 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 44d | 28 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-03-07$84,900 Active 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
Freshly remodeled home featuring new LVP flooring, Updated paint, Bathroom, Roof, and garage siding. The large fenced-in backyardoffers plenty of space to relax or let the dog run. Tucked away in a quiet part of town. 24 hour notice before showing. Tenant in place and renting for 800 a month.
-
2025-10-28price $89,900
-
2025-10-15$94,900 Active
-
2024-02-16soldstatus $65,000
-
2024-02-15soldstatus $65,000 Closed
-
2024-01-05status Pending
-
2023-12-29$67,500 Active
-
2007-03-28soldstatus $43,000
-
2004-10-27soldstatus $44,000
-
1989-07-21soldstatus $12,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,160 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,246 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$86/yr (+$7/mo · 7.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,452
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,160
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$916
- − Management
- −$916
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $809
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$194
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,925/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charles City Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1907080
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,414
- Composite
- 47.32/100
- National rank
- #2299
- State rank
- #262 of 289 in IA
Livability — Charles City
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #161
- US rank
- #2944
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Charles City, IA
- City population
- 9,419
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,419
Population outlook (Floyd County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,524 people
- By 2030
- 15,254 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 14,830 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 14,660 · -5.6%
- By 2075
- 15,548 · +0.2%
- By 2100
- 17,406 · +12.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Scandinavian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Floyd
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.7) · D 36.5% · R 62.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.6pp toward R · 2008: 21.9pp · 2024: -25.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.7 2020: R+19.4 2016: R+14.9 2012: D+14.7 2008: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.03%
- Current HPI
- 187.4742
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+579.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-07 Listed $84,900 Greater Mason BOR
- 2025-10-28 Price Changed $89,900 Greater Mason BOR
- 2025-10-15 Listed $94,900 Greater Mason BOR
- 2024-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2024-02-15 Sold (MLS) $65,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-01-05 Pending — NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2023-12-29 Listed $67,500 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2007-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
- 2004-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
- 1989-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,160 · +19.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…