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206 N Short St
B+ Composite 77.75
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$35,000

206 N Short St · Clarksville, TX 75426
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,582 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 92 Days on market
Built 1934 10,019 sqft lot $22/sqft · 59% below area ↓ 30% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3-1 in Clarksville, TX. CALLING FIX AND FLIP INVESTORS FOR THIS ONE HERE, EVEN BUY AND HOLD. DON'T MISS THIS SINGLE FAMILY INVESTMENT.

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1934

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $706 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $32k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 30.5% vs local median 6.1% in Clarksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#523 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Clarksville ISD (town): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #752 of 826 in TX (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Red River County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($242 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Red River County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1934 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $31,850 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1934 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.43%
Cap rate
30.49%
Cash-on-cash
86.41%
DSCR
4.84
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$84,931
List price
$35,000
Delta
-58.79%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1101 S Locust St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,346 (-15%) 3mo $74,900 $56 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
95.8%
Equity multiple
7.53×
Total profit
$64,028
Equity at exit
$31,531
10-year hold
IRR
90.9%
Equity multiple
16.64×
Total profit
$153,240
Equity at exit
$67,997

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75426

Home prices YoY
11.5%
Active inventory
87
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,199 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax est. 1.5%
$44 /mo · $525/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$706

Break-even live

Break-even rent $306
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 36%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $35,000 Active 92 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $35,000 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $35,000 Active 90 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $35,000 Active 89 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $35,000 Active 88 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $35,000 Active 86 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $35,000 Active 85 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $35,000 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $35,000 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $35,000 Active 80 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $35,000 Active 79 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $35,000 Active 76 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $35,000 Active 75 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $35,000 Active 74 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $35,000 Active 73 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $35,000 Active 72 DOM
  17. 2026-04-30
    soldstatus
  18. 2026-04-30
    soldstatus
  19. 2026-04-02
    price $35,000 134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (134 chars)

    3-1 in Clarksville, TX. CALLING FIX AND FLIP INVESTORS FOR THIS ONE HERE, EVEN BUY AND HOLD. DON'T MISS THIS SINGLE FAMILY INVESTMENT.

  20. 2026-03-19
    listed $50,000 Active 134-char remark
    Show marketing remark (134 chars)

    3-1 in Clarksville, TX. CALLING FIX AND FLIP INVESTORS FOR THIS ONE HERE, EVEN BUY AND HOLD. DON'T MISS THIS SINGLE FAMILY INVESTMENT.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,394
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$525
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,152
− Management
−$1,152
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$8,412
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,019
After-tax cash flow
$6,450/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clarksville ISD
NCES district ID
4814190
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$31,795
Composite
19.05/100
National rank
#8842
State rank
#752 of 826 in TX

Livability — Clarksville

Score
67/100
State rank
#523
US rank
#10265

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clarksville, TX
Population (ZIP)
4,199

Population outlook (Red River County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,454 people
By 2030
10,874 · -5.1%
By 2040
9,715 · -15.2%
By 2050
8,552 · -25.3%
By 2075
6,042 · -47.2%
By 2100
4,037 · -64.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Black 40% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Red River

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.8) · D 19.0% · R 80.8%
2008→2024 swing
-23.7pp toward R · 2008: -38.0pp · 2024: -61.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.8 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+53.9 2012: R+40.7 2008: R+38.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 17.13%
Current HPI
166.5937
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-30.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2026-04-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $35,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $50,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+11.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,318 · -15.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…