206 N Short St · Clarksville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3-1 in Clarksville, TX. CALLING FIX AND FLIP INVESTORS FOR THIS ONE HERE, EVEN BUY AND HOLD. DON'T MISS THIS SINGLE FAMILY INVESTMENT.
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1934
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $706 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $32k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 30.5% vs local median 6.1% in Clarksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#523 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Clarksville ISD (town): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #752 of 826 in TX (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Red River County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($242 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Red River County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1934 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1934 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 30.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 86.41%
- DSCR
- 4.84
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $84,931
- List price
- $35,000
- Delta
- -58.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1101 S Locust St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,346 (-15%) | 3mo | $74,900 | $56 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 95.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.53×
- Total profit
- $64,028
- Equity at exit
- $31,531
- IRR
- 90.9%
- Equity multiple
- 16.64×
- Total profit
- $153,240
- Equity at exit
- $67,997
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75426
- Home prices YoY
- 11.5%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,199 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$44 /mo · $525/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $706
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $35,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $35,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $35,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $35,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $35,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $35,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $35,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $35,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $35,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $35,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $35,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $35,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $35,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $35,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $35,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $35,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-04-30soldstatus
-
2026-04-30soldstatus
-
2026-04-02price $35,000 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
3-1 in Clarksville, TX. CALLING FIX AND FLIP INVESTORS FOR THIS ONE HERE, EVEN BUY AND HOLD. DON'T MISS THIS SINGLE FAMILY INVESTMENT.
-
2026-03-19$50,000 Active 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
3-1 in Clarksville, TX. CALLING FIX AND FLIP INVESTORS FOR THIS ONE HERE, EVEN BUY AND HOLD. DON'T MISS THIS SINGLE FAMILY INVESTMENT.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,394
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$525
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,152
- − Management
- −$1,152
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $8,412
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,019
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,450/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clarksville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814190
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,795
- Composite
- 19.05/100
- National rank
- #8842
- State rank
- #752 of 826 in TX
Livability — Clarksville
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #523
- US rank
- #10265
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clarksville, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,199
Population outlook (Red River County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,454 people
- By 2030
- 10,874 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 9,715 · -15.2%
- By 2050
- 8,552 · -25.3%
- By 2075
- 6,042 · -47.2%
- By 2100
- 4,037 · -64.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Black 40% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Red River
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.8) · D 19.0% · R 80.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.7pp toward R · 2008: -38.0pp · 2024: -61.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.8 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+53.9 2012: R+40.7 2008: R+38.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 17.13%
- Current HPI
- 166.5937
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-30.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2026-04-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $35,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $50,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+11.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,318 · -15.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…