610A N Victoria Ave · Ventnor City, NJ
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$485,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity awaits in this vacant 2-story townhouse offering 3 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms in a convenient location close to shopping, schools, transportation, and area casinos. The first floor features an inviting entry foyer, spacious living room, eat-in kitchen, dining area, and a convenient half bath. Upstairs, you'll find three generously sized bedrooms and two full bathrooms. Exterior amenities include a fenced backyard, rear deck, storage shed, and off-street parking for two vehicles. The property is equipped with owned solar panels, providing potential energy savings for the future owner. This home offers excellent potential for an owner-occupant, investor, or buyer looking to add value through cosmetic updates. Property is being sold in its current condition and will benefit from exterior painting and interior updates. 24-hour notice required for all showings. Appointment only. Lockbox access available.
Key facts
- Vacant townhouse
- Storage shed
- Convenient location
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage spaces
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family style layout with rooms on first and second levels
- Exterior features: Sloping roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Wall oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all located on the second level)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms and one half bathroom (3 total)
- Heating & cooling: Heating present; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Wall oven, dishwasher, and refrigerator included; No fireplaces; Crawl space basement; Foyer; Living room; Dining room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $486k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $367 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $486k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.1% in Ventnor City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#202 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, commute A-, crime B+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Ventnor City School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #266 of 472 in NJ (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+57.3%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,255/mo this rent would consume 91% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 329% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $136k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.00%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $544,000
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 607 N Dorset Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,772 (+11%) | 3mo | $544,900 | $308 | 65 |
| 6217 Monmouth Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,593 (-0%) | 1mo | $396,000 | $249 | 65 |
| 604 N Cambridge Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,552 (-3%) | 11mo | $550,000 | $354 | 64 |
| 207 N Harvard Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 | 1,671 (+4%) | 1mo | $735,000 | $440 | 61 |
| 703 N Burghley Ave | 0.31mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,779 (+11%) | 4mo | $605,000 | $340 | 59 |
| 812 N Dorset Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 | 1,808 (+13%) | 10mo | $635,000 | $351 | 55 |
| 202 N Suffolk Ave | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,520 (-5%) | 15mo | $404,000 | $266 | 55 |
| 6303 Monmouth Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-6%) | 5mo | $499,900 | $333 | 50 |
| 312 N Oxford Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,500 (-6%) | 24mo | $495,000 | $330 | 47 |
| 213 N Derby Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,464 (-8%) | 16mo | $507,000 | $346 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-27,277
- Equity at exit
- $72,449
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.99×
- Total profit
- $134,089
- Equity at exit
- $42,012
Cash invested: $136,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08406
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Rents YoY
- 57.3%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,255 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,548
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$607 /mo · $7,288/yr
- Insurance
- −$202
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,103
- Net cashflow
- $367
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $121,475
- Closing costs
- $14,577
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610A N Victoria Ave Ventnor City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,550 | $1.42 | 20d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 406 N Dorset Ave Ventnor City, NJ | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1568 | $13,000 | $8.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3 S Surrey Ave Unit 1309004P Ventnor City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $8,055 | $7.41 | 20d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3 S Surrey Ave Unit 1308991P Ventnor City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $7,267 | $6.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 24 N Baton Rouge Ave Ventnor City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $18,000 | $13.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1 N Austin Ave Unit 1308998P Ventnor City, NJ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2195 | $7,184 | $3.27 | 20d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5000 Boardwalk #1009 Ventnor City, NJ | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1893 | $17,000 | $8.98 | 20d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 109 N Wissahickon Ave Unit B Ventnor City, NJ | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2000 | $25,000 | $12.50 | 20d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 7 S Richards Ave Ventnor City, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $25,000 | $15.62 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 100 S Berkley Sq Unit 4H Atlantic City, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $3,200 | $2.11 | 20d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 21 N Laclede Pl Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 20d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 512 N Harrisburg Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $2,800 | $2.42 | 13d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3914 South Blvd Atlantic City, NJ | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $3,400 | $2.00 | 20d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 36 Chelsea Ct Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $3,300 | $1.57 | 13d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 6 N Melbourne Ave Ventnor City, NJ | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2028 | $3,000 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3809 Ventnor Ave #6 Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 20d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 119 N Belmont Ave Unit June 2026 Margate City, NJ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2044 | $10,000 | $4.89 | 13d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3636 Winchester Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $1,995 | $1.82 | 20d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3851 Boardwalk Atlantic City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 785 | $27,500 | $35.03 | 20d | 5 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $485,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $485,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17$485,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$485,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $63,055
- − Mortgage interest
- −$27,218
- − Property taxes
- −$7,288
- − Insurance
- −$7,548
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,044
- − Management
- −$5,044
- − Depreciation
- −$14,135
- Taxable loss
- −$3,224
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$774
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,173/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ventnor City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416680
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,220
- Composite
- 32.96/100
- National rank
- #5588
- State rank
- #266 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Ventnor City
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #202
- US rank
- #5716
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ventnor City, NJ
- County
- Atlantic County · 143,611 people
- City population
- 8,972
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,972
- Household income
- $69,099
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 329.0
Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 268,948 people
- By 2030
- 264,497 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 252,261 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 237,846 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 210,650 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 180,234 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 15% Asian 9% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 5% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -223.99%
- Current HPI
- 449.3494
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 57.28%
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
+47.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $485,900 MOMLS
- 2026-06-15 Listed $485,900 SJSRMLS
- 2026-05-23 Listed for Rent $2,550 Avail
- 2024-03-18 Rental Removed $1,850 Avail
- 2024-02-25 Listed for Rent $1,850 Avail
- 2024-01-03 Rental Removed $1,800 SJSRMLS
- 2023-10-31 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2023-10-13 Listed for Rent $1,800 SJSRMLS
- 2023-08-22 Price Changed $350,000 SJSRMLS
- 2023-03-17 Relisted — SJSRMLS
- 2023-03-03 Contingent — SJSRMLS
- 2023-02-09 Listed $329,000 SJSRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…