52 N Center St · Millerton, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.6/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity knocks with this 1,176 sq ft village home, offered strictly as-is and ideal for investors or renovation-minded buyers. The existing structure is a shell with no interior flooring, providing a true blank slate for your custom rebuild or flip. Electric, water, and septic systems are already in place, offering a valuable head start on infrastructure. Set in a quiet village location, the property currently has no driveway. Please note: a signed hold harmless agreement is required prior to any property access. A compelling opportunity for experienced buyers ready to bring new life to this project. Cash purchase required.
Key facts
- Complete renovation
- 0.29 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located near shops; Front and back yard; Living area reported from public records
Exterior
- Parking: Two parking spaces total; On-street parking
- Utilities: Electric service by Central Hudson; Cable available; Electricity available; Phone available; Sewer available (listed as other); Water available; Private trash collection; See remarks for additional utilities
- Home design: Single family residence; Property listed as fixer
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: No specific exterior features listed
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 1 room (see remarks for layout)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No cooling; No primary heating listed (other)
- Interior features: Other interior features; Screens and storm windows
- Laundry & utility: Basement utility space (unfinished, full basement; see remarks)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $175k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#594 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A-; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Northeast Central School District (rural): math 47% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #592 of 755 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Webutuck Elementary School (math 54% / reading 54%, grade C, #908 of 2,108 statewide, top 46%, 221 students, 56% FRL); Eugene Brooks Intermediate School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #511 of 729 statewide, top 71%, 226 students, 0% FRL); Webutuck High School (math 95%, 195 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools at 38% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 620 units permitted in Dutchess County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Dutchess County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.76%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $379,019
- List price
- $180,000
- Delta
- -52.51%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 Rudd Pond Rd | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 1,200 (+2%) | 14mo | $360,300 | $300 | 60 |
| 18 Highland St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+10%) | 24mo | $341,500 | $264 | 52 |
| 27 Meadow Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+6%) | 7mo | $410,000 | $329 | 47 |
| 201 Beilke Rd | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-14%) | 10mo | $365,000 | $362 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $113,572
- Equity at exit
- $162,158
- IRR
- 24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.40×
- Total profit
- $322,613
- Equity at exit
- $349,700
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12546
- Home prices YoY
- 27.9%
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$398 /mo · $4,779/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$441
- Net cashflow
- $242
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $344 | -5% $293 | +0% $242 | +5% $191 | +10% $140 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $76 | -5% $159 | +0% $242 | +5% $325 | +10% $408 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $332 | -0.5pp $288 | base $242 | +0.5pp $195 | +1.0pp $148 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 Barton St Millerton, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $180,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $180,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $180,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $185,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-01$185,000 Active 635-char remark
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
Opportunity knocks with this 1,176 sq ft village home, offered strictly as-is and ideal for investors or renovation-minded buyers. The existing structure is a shell with no interior flooring, providing a true blank slate for your custom rebuild or flip. Electric, water, and septic systems are already in place, offering a valuable head start on infrastructure. Set in a quiet village location, the property currently has no driveway. Please note: a signed hold harmless agreement is required prior to any property access. A compelling opportunity for experienced buyers ready to bring new life to this project. Cash purchase required.
-
2026-05-01$185,000 Active 757-char remark
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
Opportunity knocks with this 1,176 sq ft village home, offered strictly as-is and ideal for investors or renovation-minded buyers. The existing structure is a shell with no interior flooring, providing a true blank slate for your custom rebuild or flip. Electric, water, and septic systems are already in place, offering a valuable head start on infrastructure. Set in a quiet village location, the property currently has no driveway. Please note: a signed hold harmless agreement is required prior to any property access. A compelling opportunity for experienced buyers ready to bring new life to this project. Cash purchase required.
-
2026-01-19historical
-
2025-10-16price $185,000
-
2025-10-16price $185,000
-
2025-07-19$200,000 Active
-
2025-07-18$200,000 Active
-
2022-02-28soldstatus $220,000
-
2021-09-16$239,900
-
2018-01-31historical
-
2017-10-29$129,876 Active
-
2015-04-06$129,000
-
2013-01-31historical
-
2012-08-05$165,000
-
2001-08-23soldstatus $82,500
-
1986-12-04soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,779 · $398/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,779 · $398/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$4,779
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,016
- − Management
- −$2,016
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $170
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$41
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,861/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northeast Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3630390
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,965
- Composite
- 39.37/100
- National rank
- #8150
- State rank
- #592 of 755 in NY
Livability — Millerton
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #594
- US rank
- #10777
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Millerton, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,710
Population outlook (Dutchess County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 291,768 people
- By 2030
- 287,131 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 274,881 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 259,971 · -10.9%
- By 2075
- 235,366 · -19.3%
- By 2100
- 208,786 · -28.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Native American 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dutchess
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.4) · D 52.7% · R 47.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.2pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: 5.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.4 2020: D+9.6 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 88.31%
- Current HPI
- 405.1321
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+500.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $180,000 HVCRMLS
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $180,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $185,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $185,000 HVCRMLS
- 2026-01-19 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $185,000 HVCRMLS
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $185,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-19 Listed $200,000 HVCRMLS
- 2025-07-18 Listed $200,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-28 Sold (MLS) $220,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-16 Listed $239,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-01-31 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-10-29 Listed $129,876 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-04-06 Listed $129,000 HVCRMLS
- 2013-01-31 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-08-05 Listed $165,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
- 1986-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $4,779 · +15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…