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2433 Pennsylvania Ave
D+ Composite 49.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$19,999

2433 Pennsylvania Ave · Flint, MI 48506
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 660 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1925 4,356 sqft lot Est $25k · 20% under ↓ 46% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Pictures are from when home was preoccupied, Home was lived in and pics are for reference . Good bones house on a corner lot, Fenced in Back yard. Garage will need to be fixed or tore down. cash only and price reflects condition Agent Owned Vacant and can close quickly HOUSE IS SURROUNDED BY TREES ON CORNER LOT, PIC IS PRIOR TO TREES GROWING Pics added of current condition 3/24. Price reduced $5,000 to reflect condition

Key facts

  • Surrounded by trees
  • Fenced in back yard
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTFENCED IN BACK YARDSURROUNDED BY TREES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $499 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($843 rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $19k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 36.3% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 202 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask is 2253% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $550; list at $20k implies a 3536% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $19,399 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.22%
Cap rate
36.26%
Cash-on-cash
107.03%
DSCR
5.76
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$25,080
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1734 Missouri Ave 0.42mi 2/1.0 660 (0%) 4mo $30,000 $45 77
2613 Pennsylvania Ave 0.07mi 2/1.0 745 (+13%) 3mo $16,000 $21 73
2609 Pennsylvania Ave 0.07mi 2/1.0 745 (+13%) 8mo $28,000 $38 69
2209 Kentucky Ave 0.18mi 1/1.0 (-1) 624 (-6%) 12mo $19,000 $30 67
2510 Bennett Ave 0.41mi 2/1.0 700 (+6%) 5mo $8,500 $12 67
2001 N Lynch St 0.32mi 2/1.0 724 (+10%) 12mo $25,500 $35 59
2002 Branch Rd 0.55mi 1/1.0 (-1) 628 (-5%) 3mo $30,000 $48 58
2401 Kansas Ave 0.21mi 3/1.0 (+1) 744 (+13%) 10mo $6,500 $9 56
3201 Holly Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 680 (+3%) 12mo $65,000 $96 53
2002 Kentucky Ave 0.32mi 2/1.0 576 (-13%) 16mo $18,500 $32 51
2426 Maryland Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 712 (+8%) 2mo $36,000 $51 51
2116 Branch Rd 0.62mi 2/1.0 735 (+11%) 8mo $30,000 $41 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.11×
Total profit
$28,599
Equity at exit
$2,982
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.78×
Total profit
$65,987
Equity at exit
$1,729

Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48506

Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$843 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$105
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $643/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$177
Net cashflow
$499

Break-even live

Break-even rent $211
Max offer price $19,999
Occupancy floor 36%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,000
Closing costs
$600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2621 Churchill Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 736 $795 $1.08 14d 1 0.28mi
1553 Illinois Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 702 $900 $1.28 21d 1 0.64mi
3202 Western Rd Flint, MI 1.0 1.0 500 $645 $1.29 14d 1 0.96mi
902 Burlington Dr Flint, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 850 $998 $1.17 14d 4 1.25mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    price $825
  2. 2026-05-09
    listed $850
  3. 2026-04-15
    status Pending 423-char remark
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    Pictures are from when home was preoccupied, Home was lived in and pics are for reference . Good bones house on a corner lot, Fenced in Back yard. Garage will need to be fixed or tore down. cash only and price reflects condition Agent Owned Vacant and can close quickly HOUSE IS SURROUNDED BY TREES ON CORNER LOT, PIC IS PRIOR TO TREES GROWING Pics added of current condition 3/24. Price reduced $5,000 to reflect condition

  4. 2026-04-15
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    Pictures are from when home was preoccupied, Home was lived in and pics are for reference . Good bones house on a corner lot, Fenced in Back yard. Garage will need to be fixed or tore down. cash only and price reflects condition Agent Owned Vacant and can close quickly HOUSE IS SURROUNDED BY TREES ON CORNER LOT, PIC IS PRIOR TO TREES GROWING Pics added of current condition 3/24. Price reduced $5,000 to reflect condition

  5. 2026-04-08
    price $19,999 423-char remark
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    Pictures are from when home was preoccupied, Home was lived in and pics are for reference . Good bones house on a corner lot, Fenced in Back yard. Garage will need to be fixed or tore down. cash only and price reflects condition Agent Owned Vacant and can close quickly HOUSE IS SURROUNDED BY TREES ON CORNER LOT, PIC IS PRIOR TO TREES GROWING Pics added of current condition 3/24. Price reduced $5,000 to reflect condition

  6. 2026-04-08
    price $19,999
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    Pictures are from when home was preoccupied, Home was lived in and pics are for reference . Good bones house on a corner lot, Fenced in Back yard. Garage will need to be fixed or tore down. cash only and price reflects condition Agent Owned Vacant and can close quickly HOUSE IS SURROUNDED BY TREES ON CORNER LOT, PIC IS PRIOR TO TREES GROWING Pics added of current condition 3/24. Price reduced $5,000 to reflect condition

  7. 2026-04-05
    price $21,500 423-char remark
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    Pictures are from when home was preoccupied, Home was lived in and pics are for reference . Good bones house on a corner lot, Fenced in Back yard. Garage will need to be fixed or tore down. cash only and price reflects condition Agent Owned Vacant and can close quickly HOUSE IS SURROUNDED BY TREES ON CORNER LOT, PIC IS PRIOR TO TREES GROWING Pics added of current condition 3/24. Price reduced $5,000 to reflect condition

  8. 2026-04-05
    price $21,500
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    Pictures are from when home was preoccupied, Home was lived in and pics are for reference . Good bones house on a corner lot, Fenced in Back yard. Garage will need to be fixed or tore down. cash only and price reflects condition Agent Owned Vacant and can close quickly HOUSE IS SURROUNDED BY TREES ON CORNER LOT, PIC IS PRIOR TO TREES GROWING Pics added of current condition 3/24. Price reduced $5,000 to reflect condition

  9. 2026-03-25
    price $23,000 423-char remark
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    Pictures are from when home was preoccupied, Home was lived in and pics are for reference . Good bones house on a corner lot, Fenced in Back yard. Garage will need to be fixed or tore down. cash only and price reflects condition Agent Owned Vacant and can close quickly HOUSE IS SURROUNDED BY TREES ON CORNER LOT, PIC IS PRIOR TO TREES GROWING Pics added of current condition 3/24. Price reduced $5,000 to reflect condition

  10. 2026-03-25
    price $23,000
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    Pictures are from when home was preoccupied, Home was lived in and pics are for reference . Good bones house on a corner lot, Fenced in Back yard. Garage will need to be fixed or tore down. cash only and price reflects condition Agent Owned Vacant and can close quickly HOUSE IS SURROUNDED BY TREES ON CORNER LOT, PIC IS PRIOR TO TREES GROWING Pics added of current condition 3/24. Price reduced $5,000 to reflect condition

  11. 2026-03-12
    listed $28,000 Active 423-char remark
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    Pictures are from when home was preoccupied, Home was lived in and pics are for reference . Good bones house on a corner lot, Fenced in Back yard. Garage will need to be fixed or tore down. cash only and price reflects condition Agent Owned Vacant and can close quickly HOUSE IS SURROUNDED BY TREES ON CORNER LOT, PIC IS PRIOR TO TREES GROWING Pics added of current condition 3/24. Price reduced $5,000 to reflect condition

  12. 2026-03-12
    listed $28,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    Pictures are from when home was preoccupied, Home was lived in and pics are for reference . Good bones house on a corner lot, Fenced in Back yard. Garage will need to be fixed or tore down. cash only and price reflects condition Agent Owned Vacant and can close quickly HOUSE IS SURROUNDED BY TREES ON CORNER LOT, PIC IS PRIOR TO TREES GROWING Pics added of current condition 3/24. Price reduced $5,000 to reflect condition

  13. 2015-01-07
    soldstatus $550 830-char remark
    Show marketing remark (830 chars)

    TENANTS MOVE RIGHT IN AND HAVE THREE WEEKS IN DECEMBER FREE! WATER IS INCLUDED UP TO $50 MONTHLY! LAWN MOWING INCLUDED IN RENT!(Dec 10-31 is free if lease is signed and funds paid by 12/7)No evictions, No collections for utilities. 1ST MONTH RENT PLUS 1 MONTH DEPOSIT ON APPROVED CREDITDue to the weather and people tracking snow through the house for showings, the carpet will be installed once lease is signed and deposit made. Hard wood floors were just redone in living room, new carpet is to be installed in both bedrooms and hallway. New laminate in both kitchen and bath, home was freshly painted. Garage will be painted when the weather improves and also re-shingled. A few odds and ends will be done also regarding trim along walls etcFront porch will have new carpet installed as soon as the weather improvesAgent owned

  14. 2014-12-03
    listed $550 830-char remark
    Show marketing remark (830 chars)

    TENANTS MOVE RIGHT IN AND HAVE THREE WEEKS IN DECEMBER FREE! WATER IS INCLUDED UP TO $50 MONTHLY! LAWN MOWING INCLUDED IN RENT!(Dec 10-31 is free if lease is signed and funds paid by 12/7)No evictions, No collections for utilities. 1ST MONTH RENT PLUS 1 MONTH DEPOSIT ON APPROVED CREDITDue to the weather and people tracking snow through the house for showings, the carpet will be installed once lease is signed and deposit made. Hard wood floors were just redone in living room, new carpet is to be installed in both bedrooms and hallway. New laminate in both kitchen and bath, home was freshly painted. Garage will be painted when the weather improves and also re-shingled. A few odds and ends will be done also regarding trim along walls etcFront porch will have new carpet installed as soon as the weather improvesAgent owned

  15. 2014-10-14
    soldstatus $4,750
  16. 2014-10-14
    soldstatus $4,750
  17. 2014-10-01
    historical
  18. 2014-08-25
    listed $6,000
  19. 2014-08-25
    listed $6,000
  20. 2001-10-09
    soldstatus $37,000
  21. 2001-10-09
    soldstatus $37,000
  22. 2001-09-17
    historical
  23. 2001-07-10
    listed $36,900
  24. 2001-07-10
    listed $36,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$643 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$643 · $54/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,120
− Mortgage interest
−$1,120
− Property taxes
−$643
− Insurance
−$100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$810
− Management
−$810
− Depreciation
−$582
Taxable income
$6,056
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,453
After-tax cash flow
$4,540/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,712
Household income
$47,929
Rent vs Own
31.4% rent · 68.6% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -173.31%
Current HPI
90.0494
Rent YoY
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-45.8% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $825 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-05-09 Listed for Rent $850 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-04-15 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $19,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $19,999 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-05 Price Changed $21,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-05 Price Changed $21,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $23,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $23,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $28,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $28,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-01-07 Sold (MLS) $550 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-12-03 Listed $550 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-10-14 Sold (MLS) $4,750 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-10-14 Sold (MLS) $4,750 REALCOMP
  • 2014-10-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-08-25 Listed $6,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-08-25 Listed $6,000 REALCOMP
  • 2001-10-09 Sold (MLS) $37,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-10-09 Sold (MLS) $37,000 REALCOMP
  • 2001-09-17 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-07-10 Listed $36,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-07-10 Listed $36,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $643 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…