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51555 Monroe St #77
B- Composite 67.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

51555 Monroe St #77 · Indio, CA 92201
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 780 sqft · Manufactured public records · 84 Days on market
Built 2005 19 ac lot $141/sqft · 83% above area ↓ 24% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Palmdale Estates is a 55+ Gated Community. Shows pride of ownership! Kitchen and Baths have been remodeled. This unit is Cozy and Comfy. Room to expand the front porch and enjoy your morning or evening coffee gazing at the amazing views of the mountains. Or, enjoy the festival music under the stars in your own space. Yard is ready for you to make it your oasis. Weather you are looking for a secondary or primary home this location has it all. Unit has been well kept and maintained.

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Amazing views
  • Yard oasis

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYREMODELED KITCHENREMODELED BATHSEXPAND FRONT PORCHAMAZING VIEWSYARD OASIS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.7% vs local median 4.3% in Indio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#927 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Coachella Valley Unified (rural): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #481 of 517 in CA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 515 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,957/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 2036% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $103,400 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.69%
Cap rate
24.74%
Cash-on-cash
65.90%
DSCR
3.93
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$60,000
List price
$110,000
Delta
83.33%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
51555 Monroe St Spc 93 0.00mi 2/2.0 720 (-8%) 5mo $60,000 $83 83
51555 Monroe St #8 0.05mi 2/1.0 793 (+2%) 19mo $77,500 $98 75
51555 Monroe St Unit 149 0.10mi 2/2.0 840 (+8%) 10mo $75,000 $89 74
51555 Monroe St #141 0.05mi 2/1.5 720 (-8%) 23mo $65,000 $90 64
51555 Monroe St #108 0.00mi 2/1.5 672 (-14%) 20mo $69,000 $103 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
65.5%
Equity multiple
3.95×
Total profit
$90,886
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
69.9%
Equity multiple
8.21×
Total profit
$221,939
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92201

Home prices YoY
-28.4%
Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
515
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,957 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$22 /mo · $269/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$621
Net cashflow
$1,691

Break-even live

Break-even rent $817
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 38%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,754 -5% $1,722 +0% $1,691 +5% $1,660 +10% $1,629
Rent -10% $1,458 -5% $1,575 +0% $1,691 +5% $1,808 +10% $1,925
Rate -1.0pp $1,747 -0.5pp $1,719 base $1,691 +0.5pp $1,663 +1.0pp $1,634

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
82297 Cochran Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 982 $3,200 $3.26 45d 1 1.11mi
82294 Bergman Dr Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 982 $3,200 $3.26 45d 1 1.29mi
48939 Eisenhower Dr Indio, CA 2.0 1.0 957 $2,350 $2.46 4d 1 1.40mi
80886 Avenue 50 Unit 2 Indio, CA 2.0 1.0 729 $4,000 $5.49 16d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $110,000 Active 84 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 81 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 80 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 79 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 78 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 76 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 75 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 72 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 71 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 70 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active 67 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 66 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 65 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 64 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 63 DOM
  16. 2026-03-16
    listed $110,000 Active 485-char remark
    Show marketing remark (485 chars)

    Palmdale Estates is a 55+ Gated Community. Shows pride of ownership! Kitchen and Baths have been remodeled. This unit is Cozy and Comfy. Room to expand the front porch and enjoy your morning or evening coffee gazing at the amazing views of the mountains. Or, enjoy the festival music under the stars in your own space. Yard is ready for you to make it your oasis. Weather you are looking for a secondary or primary home this location has it all. Unit has been well kept and maintained.

  17. 2026-03-04
    historical
  18. 2026-01-15
    price $110,000
  19. 2025-11-03
    listed $135,000 Active
  20. 2024-07-05
    historical
  21. 2024-03-08
    listed $145,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$269 · $22/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$836 · $70/mo
Expected delta
+$567/yr (+$47/mo · 211.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥115°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,490
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$269
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,839
− Management
−$2,839
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$19,631
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,711
After-tax cash flow
$15,584/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coachella Valley Unified
NCES district ID
0609070
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,683
Composite
14.62/100
National rank
#9408
State rank
#481 of 517 in CA

Livability — Indio

Score
53/100
State rank
#927
US rank
#24244

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Indio, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
100,560
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
65,825
Household income
$66,758
Rent vs Own
42.3% rent · 57.7% own
Severe rent burden
2036.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 74% Two or more races 39% White 19% Black 3% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 69%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
29% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
41% English-only · Spanish 55% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.46%
Current HPI
348.6605
Rent YoY
▲ 3.34%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-24.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $110,000 GPSMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $110,000 GPSMLS
  • 2025-11-03 Listed $135,000 GPSMLS
  • 2024-07-05 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2024-03-08 Listed $145,000 GPSMLS

Property tax history

-1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $269 · -4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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