1723 Machin Ave · Peoria, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$19,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investment opportunity!
Key facts
- 0.44 acre lot
- Built 1855
- Listed 29 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking (no garage)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single Family Residence; Two levels
- Construction: Shingle roof; Originally built in 1855
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 14 x 11)
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (layouts on multiple levels: main, upper, lower, basement, additional level); Primary/main bedroom approx. 10 x 11; Upper-level bedrooms approx. 8 x 8, 14 x 10, and 12 x 14
- Flooring: Other flooring throughout
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Full basement; No fireplaces
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $19k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $903 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $19k).
- Recommended offer: $19k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 63.3% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Peoria High School (math 4% / reading 7%, grade F, #609 of 693 statewide, top 88%, 1,447 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $131 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $570 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1855 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1855 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 6.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 63.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 203.70%
- DSCR
- 10.06
- GRM
- 1.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $45,705
- List price
- $19,000
- Delta
- -58.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1902 N Broadway St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,543 (-0%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $23 | 86 |
| 1328 N Broadway St | 0.34mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,596 (+3%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $75 | 73 |
| 1219 Sheridan Rd | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,632 (+6%) | 0mo | $114,000 | $70 | 65 |
| 2223 N Sheridan Rd | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,412 (-8%) | 1mo | $53,000 | $38 | 62 |
| 809 W Eleanor Pl | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,339 (-13%) | 5mo | $138,000 | $103 | 59 |
| 816 W Columbia Ter | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,347 (-13%) | 3mo | $38,000 | $28 | 55 |
| 1313 N Ellis St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (-9%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $32 | 55 |
| 2300 N Sheridan Rd | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,590 (+3%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $97 | 54 |
| 2235 N University St | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,410 (-9%) | 1mo | $37,000 | $26 | 52 |
| 1112 W Columbia Ter | 0.43mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,726 (+12%) | 5mo | $114,000 | $66 | 51 |
| 1117 W Gift Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,426 (-8%) | 1mo | $5,000 | $4 | 48 |
| 504 W Archer Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (-13%) | 3mo | $26,000 | $19 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 11.06×
- Total profit
- $53,542
- Equity at exit
- $2,833
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 23.00×
- Total profit
- $117,060
- Equity at exit
- $1,643
Cash invested: $5,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61604
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 180
- Price-to-rent
- 1.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,309 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$100
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$24 /mo · $285/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $903
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $916 | -5% $910 | +0% $903 | +5% $897 | +10% $890 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $800 | -5% $851 | +0% $903 | +5% $955 | +10% $1,007 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $913 | -0.5pp $908 | base $903 | +0.5pp $898 | +1.0pp $893 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $4,750
- Closing costs
- $570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 N Underhill St Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 501 W Columbia Ter Unit 3 Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 814 W McClure Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,100 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 913 W McClure Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 22d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 416 W Main St Unit A Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $950 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1019 N Farmington Rd Unit 1017 Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1304 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 818 W Moss Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,800 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2210 Knoxville Ave #2212 Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1284 | $950 | $0.74 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1806 N Peoria Ave Peoria, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1668 | $894 | $0.54 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1413 W Gilbert Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $1,500 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 308 E Archer Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $950 | $0.66 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1723 W Fredonia Ave Peoria, IL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1219 | $2,100 | $1.72 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 901 NE Glen Oak Ave Unit 2 Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 505 E Virginia Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $758 | $0.63 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1816 W Callender Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $1,650 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2523 W Nebraska Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,450 | $0.91 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1401 W Adrian G Hinton Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $775 | $0.70 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 123 SW Jefferson Ave Unit E15SW Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 123 SW Jefferson Ave Unit E16 NE Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1199 | $2,250 | $1.88 | 22d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $19,000 Pending 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $19,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $19,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $19,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $19,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $19,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07$19,000 Active 29-char remark
-
2026-05-01historical
-
2026-02-25price
-
2026-01-08Active
-
2021-08-06historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,712
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,064
- − Property taxes
- −$285
- − Insurance
- −$95
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,257
- − Management
- −$1,257
- − Depreciation
- −$553
- Taxable income
- $11,201
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,688
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,149/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria SD 150
- NCES district ID
- 1731230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,951
- Composite
- 10.92/100
- National rank
- #9751
- State rank
- #554 of 620 in IL
Livability — Peoria
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #5096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peoria, IL
- County
- Peoria County · 120,495 people
- City population
- 114,670
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,313
- Household income
- $52,414
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 815.0
Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 183,007 people
- By 2030
- 179,643 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 171,782 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 163,508 · -10.7%
- By 2075
- 140,178 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 114,493 · -37.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 29% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Peoria
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.15%
- Current HPI
- 165.8838
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.30%
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Listed $19,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-08 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+9.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,198 · +105.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…