Duplex
2301 Bathgate Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.9/30.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- ARV discount +3.4/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$729,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Welcome to this fully updated, turnkey multi-family home located on a picturesque tree-lined street in the highly desirable Little Italy section of the Bronx, offering the perfect blend of modern living, income potential, and prime location. This exceptional property features a spacious owner’s duplex with 3 large bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, a sun-filled living room, and a beautifully renovated chef’s kitchen complete with granite countertops, custom cabinetry, and full-size stainless steel appliances, along with exposed brick accents, hardwood floors, recessed lighting, and a skylight that fills the space with natural light. The upper-floor unit offers a generous 2-bedroom,
Key facts
- Custom cabinetry
- Fully updated
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No carport; No designated parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Duplex
- Construction: Brownstone exterior
- Exterior features: Brownstone construction
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with granite counters
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit; One 3-bedroom unit
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bath; Eat-in kitchen; Granite counters; Recessed lighting; Basement with storage space
- Laundry & utility: Basement storage (utility space)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $729k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $509/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $689k (5.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $689k (5.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 62 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,890/mo this rent would consume 203% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 10274% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $42k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $37k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $204k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$67k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($707k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.99%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $668,304
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2249 Bassford Ave | 0.10mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,716 (-6%) | 2mo | $510,000 | $297 | 74 |
| 2136 Hughes Ave | 0.35mi | 4/3.0 | 1,856 (+1%) | 11mo | $675,000 | $364 | 72 |
| 2419-2421 Southern Blvd | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 2,100 (+14%) | 10mo | $730,000 | $348 | 39 |
| 673 Oakland Pl | 0.51mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,080 (+13%) | 8mo | $850,000 | $409 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.03% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $270,059
- Equity at exit
- $414,205
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.15×
- Total profit
- $846,812
- Equity at exit
- $715,766
Cash invested: $204,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10458
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Rents YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 17.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,890 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,823
- Tax from tax record
- −$298 /mo · $3,574/yr
- Insurance
- −$304
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,447
- Net cashflow
- $1,019
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,431 | -5% $1,225 | +0% $1,019 | +5% $812 | +10% $606 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $474 | -5% $746 | +0% $1,019 | +5% $1,291 | +10% $1,563 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,386 | -0.5pp $1,204 | base $1,019 | +0.5pp $830 | +1.0pp $637 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1.5 | $6,890 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $3,445 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $3,445 |
| Total (2 units) | $6,890 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $182,250
- Closing costs
- $21,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-04-13status Pending
-
2026-03-06$729,000 Active
-
2026-02-05historical
-
2025-08-12price $799,500
-
2025-07-10$825,000 Active
-
2025-07-01historical
-
2024-04-09historical $3,750
-
2024-01-11price $3,750
-
2024-01-09$3,900
-
2023-05-02historical
-
2023-04-27historical
-
2023-04-10$875,000 Active
-
2022-09-12$875,000 Active
-
2022-09-10historical
-
2021-11-08soldstatus $790,000
-
2021-08-09historical
-
2021-05-04$739,000 Active
-
2021-01-14soldstatus $399,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,574 · $298/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,947 · $662/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,373/yr (+$364/mo · 122.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $82,680
- − Mortgage interest
- −$40,835
- − Property taxes
- −$3,574
- − Insurance
- −$3,645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,614
- − Management
- −$6,614
- − Depreciation
- −$21,207
- Taxable income
- $189
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$45
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,177/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 74,898
- Household income
- $40,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10274.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 70% Black 16% Two or more races 10% White 8% Asian 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 15% Dominican 34%
- Foreign-born
- 41% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 30% English-only · Spanish 61% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.03%
- Current HPI
- 173.4217
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.04%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+82.7% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-06 Listed $729,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-05 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-12 Price Changed $799,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-10 Listed $825,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-01 Coming Soon — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-09 Rental Removed $3,750 ONEKEY
- 2024-01-11 Price Changed $3,750 ONEKEY
- 2024-01-09 Listed for Rent $3,900 ONEKEY
- 2023-05-02 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-27 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-10 Listed $875,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-12 Listed $875,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-10 Coming Soon — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $790,000 Public Records
- 2021-08-09 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-04 Listed $739,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $399,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,574 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…