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1448 Young St #304
C Composite 58.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$315,000

1448 Young St #304 · Urban Honolulu, HI 96814
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 415 sqft · Condo public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1999 $759/sqft · 40% below area Est $528k · 40% under $491/mo HOA · 16% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Conveniently Located, Secured Building, Secured Parking, Lots of Guest Parking, Security, Fire Sprinklers, Reasonable Maintenance Fees, Ridiculously Low Lease Rent, and Lease until 2064. Does this sound appealing? This 1 bedroom 1 bath unit might be the perfect fit for you. Why don't you come and take a look if this is the right unit for you. (Bedroom count does not match tax records. )

Key facts

  • $491 HOA
  • Parking
  • Built 1999

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $315k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $121 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $314k (0.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $296k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 1.5% in Urban Honolulu — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Queen Kaahumanu Elementary School (math 27% / reading 43%, grade F, #107 of 183 statewide, top 58%, 430 students, 63% FRL); President George Washington Middle School (math 30% / reading 46%, grade F, #17 of 42 statewide, top 39%, 569 students, 61% FRL); President William Mckinley High School (math 28% / reading 69%, grade D, #13 of 43 statewide, top 33%, 1,502 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 39% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 561 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,638 units permitted in Honolulu County in 2024 (793 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,137/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($78k/yr) (locally 1641% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • Honolulu County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $88k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $296,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
6.75%
Cash-on-cash
1.64%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$528,244
List price
$315,000
Delta
-40.37%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.98% appreciation · 3.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$29,379
Equity at exit
$123,843
10-year hold
IRR
9.7%
Equity multiple
2.32×
Total profit
$116,240
Equity at exit
$178,028

Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
37 Tenant-Leaning
State Hawaii
37 Tenant-Leaning · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Honolulu has source-of-income protections; warranty of habitability strong.

ZIP-level market 96814

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
561
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,137 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,652
Tax from tax record
$84 /mo · $1,003/yr
Insurance
$131
HOA
$491
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$659
Net cashflow
$121

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,984
Max offer price $315,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $299 -5% $210 +0% $121 +5% $32 +10% $-58
Rent -10% $-127 -5% $-3 +0% $121 +5% $245 +10% $368
Rate -1.0pp $279 -0.5pp $201 base $121 +0.5pp $39 +1.0pp $-44

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,750
Closing costs
$9,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1568 Pensacola St Honolulu, HI 1.0–2.0 1.0 523 $2,280 $4.36 25d 1 0.60mi
987 Queen St Honolulu, HI 2.0 1.0–2.0 554 $4,000 $7.22 17d 8 1.01mi
987 Queen St Honolulu, HI 1.0 1.0 453 $3,800 $8.39 12d 9 1.01mi
987 Queen St Honolulu, HI 2.0 1.0–2.0 554 $3,925 $7.08 18d 9 1.01mi
902 University Ave Unit C Honolulu, HI 2.0 1.0 415 $2,318 $5.58 25d 1 1.10mi
1000 Auahi St Honolulu, HI 2.0 1.0–2.0 629 $4,425 $7.03 25d 2 1.11mi
440 Olohana St Unit 1327711P Honolulu, HI 1.0 1.0 355 $3,741 $10.54 3d 1 1.12mi
440 Olohana St Unit 1327703P Honolulu, HI 1.0 1.0 355 $4,055 $11.42 13d 1 1.12mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$491 · $5,892/yr
Likely covers
security
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $315,000 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $315,000 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $315,000 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $315,000 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $315,000 Active 56 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $315,000 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $315,000 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $315,000 Active 51 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $315,000 Active 50 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $315,000 Active 49 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $315,000 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $315,000 Active 45 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $315,000 Active 44 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $315,000 Active 43 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $315,000 Active 42 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $315,000 Active 41 DOM
  17. 2026-04-20
    listed $315,000 Active 389-char remark
    Show marketing remark (389 chars)

    Conveniently Located, Secured Building, Secured Parking, Lots of Guest Parking, Security, Fire Sprinklers, Reasonable Maintenance Fees, Ridiculously Low Lease Rent, and Lease until 2064. Does this sound appealing? This 1 bedroom 1 bath unit might be the perfect fit for you. Why don't you come and take a look if this is the right unit for you. (Bedroom count does not match tax records. )

  18. 2025-11-28
    soldstatus $295,000 Closed 852-char remark
    Show marketing remark (852 chars)

    * * NEW PRICE * * Urban living with simplicity and VALUE! Enjoy Honolulu living in this well-maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath unit located in the secure and centrally located 1448 Young Street building. The functional layout features a full kitchen, in-unit washer and dryer, and a comfortably sized bedroom. A covered parking stall in a secured garage, ample guest parking, and on-site resident manager add to the convenience and peace of mind. This is a long leasehold property owned by the City and County of Honolulu with a lease that runs through 2064 and currently a low monthly lease rent of just $1, making it an excellent opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for stability in a central location. Situated near Ala Moana, UH, Downtown, and major freeway access points—this is where convenience meets opportunity.

  19. 2025-11-20
    historical Active Under Contract 852-char remark
    Show marketing remark (852 chars)

    * * NEW PRICE * * Urban living with simplicity and VALUE! Enjoy Honolulu living in this well-maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath unit located in the secure and centrally located 1448 Young Street building. The functional layout features a full kitchen, in-unit washer and dryer, and a comfortably sized bedroom. A covered parking stall in a secured garage, ample guest parking, and on-site resident manager add to the convenience and peace of mind. This is a long leasehold property owned by the City and County of Honolulu with a lease that runs through 2064 and currently a low monthly lease rent of just $1, making it an excellent opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for stability in a central location. Situated near Ala Moana, UH, Downtown, and major freeway access points—this is where convenience meets opportunity.

  20. 2025-09-22
    price $300,000 852-char remark
    Show marketing remark (852 chars)

    * * NEW PRICE * * Urban living with simplicity and VALUE! Enjoy Honolulu living in this well-maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath unit located in the secure and centrally located 1448 Young Street building. The functional layout features a full kitchen, in-unit washer and dryer, and a comfortably sized bedroom. A covered parking stall in a secured garage, ample guest parking, and on-site resident manager add to the convenience and peace of mind. This is a long leasehold property owned by the City and County of Honolulu with a lease that runs through 2064 and currently a low monthly lease rent of just $1, making it an excellent opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for stability in a central location. Situated near Ala Moana, UH, Downtown, and major freeway access points—this is where convenience meets opportunity.

  21. 2025-07-16
    listed $325,000 Active 852-char remark
    Show marketing remark (852 chars)

    * * NEW PRICE * * Urban living with simplicity and VALUE! Enjoy Honolulu living in this well-maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath unit located in the secure and centrally located 1448 Young Street building. The functional layout features a full kitchen, in-unit washer and dryer, and a comfortably sized bedroom. A covered parking stall in a secured garage, ample guest parking, and on-site resident manager add to the convenience and peace of mind. This is a long leasehold property owned by the City and County of Honolulu with a lease that runs through 2064 and currently a low monthly lease rent of just $1, making it an excellent opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for stability in a central location. Situated near Ala Moana, UH, Downtown, and major freeway access points—this is where convenience meets opportunity.

  22. 2020-01-10
    soldstatus $279,000 Sold
  23. 2019-11-23
    price $280,000
  24. 2019-10-11
    price $290,000
  25. 2019-08-07
    price $305,000
  26. 2019-08-06
    listed $300,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast HI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,003 · $84/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,003 · $84/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,647
− Mortgage interest
−$17,645
− Property taxes
−$1,003
− Insurance
−$1,575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,012
− Management
−$3,012
− HOA
−$5,892
− Depreciation
−$9,164
Taxable loss
−$3,656
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$877
After-tax cash flow
$2,325/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hawaii Department Of Education
NCES district ID
1500030
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$69,005
Composite
37.07/100
National rank
#4504
State rank
#1 of 1 in HI

Livability — Urban Honolulu

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Urban Honolulu, HI
County
Honolulu County · 963,448 people
City population
309,956
Metro
Urban Honolulu, HI
Population (ZIP)
24,689
Household income
$77,768
Rent vs Own
49.9% rent · 50.1% own
Severe rent burden
1641.0

Population outlook (Honolulu County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,072,641 people
By 2030
1,110,460 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,181,593 · +10.2%
By 2050
1,257,584 · +17.2%
By 2075
1,501,120 · +39.9%
By 2100
1,764,430 · +64.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 64% Two or more races 14% White 13% Pacific Islander 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Russian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
35% · China, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
58% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 15% Chinese 10% Korean 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Honolulu

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.6) · D 59.9% · R 38.3% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-19.4pp toward R · 2008: 41.1pp · 2024: 21.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.6 2020: D+26.9 2016: D+29.9 2012: D+39.1 2008: D+41.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.98%
Current HPI
376.4197
Rent YoY
▲ 3.10%
Metro
Urban Honolulu, HI
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+5.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $315,000 HiCentral MLS
  • 2025-11-28 Sold (MLS) $295,000 HiCentral MLS
  • 2025-11-20 Contingent HiCentral MLS
  • 2025-09-22 Price Changed $300,000 HiCentral MLS
  • 2025-07-16 Listed $325,000 HiCentral MLS
  • 2020-01-10 Sold (MLS) $279,000 HiCentral MLS
  • 2019-11-23 Price Changed $280,000 HiCentral MLS
  • 2019-10-11 Price Changed $290,000 HiCentral MLS
  • 2019-08-07 Price Changed $305,000 HiCentral MLS
  • 2019-08-06 Listed $300,000 HiCentral MLS

Property tax history

+8.7%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,003 · -25.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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