1448 Young St #304 · Urban Honolulu, HI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$315,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Conveniently Located, Secured Building, Secured Parking, Lots of Guest Parking, Security, Fire Sprinklers, Reasonable Maintenance Fees, Ridiculously Low Lease Rent, and Lease until 2064. Does this sound appealing? This 1 bedroom 1 bath unit might be the perfect fit for you. Why don't you come and take a look if this is the right unit for you. (Bedroom count does not match tax records. )
Key facts
- $491 HOA
- Parking
- Built 1999
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $121 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $314k (0.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $296k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 1.5% in Urban Honolulu — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Queen Kaahumanu Elementary School (math 27% / reading 43%, grade F, #107 of 183 statewide, top 58%, 430 students, 63% FRL); President George Washington Middle School (math 30% / reading 46%, grade F, #17 of 42 statewide, top 39%, 569 students, 61% FRL); President William Mckinley High School (math 28% / reading 69%, grade D, #13 of 43 statewide, top 33%, 1,502 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 39% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 561 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,638 units permitted in Honolulu County in 2024 (793 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,137/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($78k/yr) (locally 1641% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- Honolulu County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $88k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.64%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $528,244
- List price
- $315,000
- Delta
- -40.37%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
1.98% appreciation · 3.1% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $29,379
- Equity at exit
- $123,843
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $116,240
- Equity at exit
- $178,028
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 37 Tenant-Leaning
- State Hawaii
- 37 Tenant-Leaning · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 96814
- Home prices YoY
- 0.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 561
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,137 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax from tax record
- −$84 /mo · $1,003/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$491
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$659
- Net cashflow
- $121
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $299 | -5% $210 | +0% $121 | +5% $32 | +10% $-58 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-127 | -5% $-3 | +0% $121 | +5% $245 | +10% $368 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $279 | -0.5pp $201 | base $121 | +0.5pp $39 | +1.0pp $-44 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1568 Pensacola St Honolulu, HI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 523 | $2,280 | $4.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 987 Queen St Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 554 | $4,000 | $7.22 | 17d | 8 | 1.01mi |
| 987 Queen St Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 453 | $3,800 | $8.39 | 12d | 9 | 1.01mi |
| 987 Queen St Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 554 | $3,925 | $7.08 | 18d | 9 | 1.01mi |
| 902 University Ave Unit C Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 415 | $2,318 | $5.58 | 25d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1000 Auahi St Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 629 | $4,425 | $7.03 | 25d | 2 | 1.11mi |
| 440 Olohana St Unit 1327711P Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 355 | $3,741 | $10.54 | 3d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 440 Olohana St Unit 1327703P Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 355 | $4,055 | $11.42 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $491 · $5,892/yr
- Likely covers
- security
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $315,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $315,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $315,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $315,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $315,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $315,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $315,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $315,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $315,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $315,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $315,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $315,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $315,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $315,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $315,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $315,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-04-20$315,000 Active 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
Conveniently Located, Secured Building, Secured Parking, Lots of Guest Parking, Security, Fire Sprinklers, Reasonable Maintenance Fees, Ridiculously Low Lease Rent, and Lease until 2064. Does this sound appealing? This 1 bedroom 1 bath unit might be the perfect fit for you. Why don't you come and take a look if this is the right unit for you. (Bedroom count does not match tax records. )
-
2025-11-28soldstatus $295,000 Closed 852-char remark
Show marketing remark (852 chars)
* * NEW PRICE * * Urban living with simplicity and VALUE! Enjoy Honolulu living in this well-maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath unit located in the secure and centrally located 1448 Young Street building. The functional layout features a full kitchen, in-unit washer and dryer, and a comfortably sized bedroom. A covered parking stall in a secured garage, ample guest parking, and on-site resident manager add to the convenience and peace of mind. This is a long leasehold property owned by the City and County of Honolulu with a lease that runs through 2064 and currently a low monthly lease rent of just $1, making it an excellent opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for stability in a central location. Situated near Ala Moana, UH, Downtown, and major freeway access points—this is where convenience meets opportunity.
-
2025-11-20historical Active Under Contract 852-char remark
Show marketing remark (852 chars)
* * NEW PRICE * * Urban living with simplicity and VALUE! Enjoy Honolulu living in this well-maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath unit located in the secure and centrally located 1448 Young Street building. The functional layout features a full kitchen, in-unit washer and dryer, and a comfortably sized bedroom. A covered parking stall in a secured garage, ample guest parking, and on-site resident manager add to the convenience and peace of mind. This is a long leasehold property owned by the City and County of Honolulu with a lease that runs through 2064 and currently a low monthly lease rent of just $1, making it an excellent opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for stability in a central location. Situated near Ala Moana, UH, Downtown, and major freeway access points—this is where convenience meets opportunity.
-
2025-09-22price $300,000 852-char remark
Show marketing remark (852 chars)
* * NEW PRICE * * Urban living with simplicity and VALUE! Enjoy Honolulu living in this well-maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath unit located in the secure and centrally located 1448 Young Street building. The functional layout features a full kitchen, in-unit washer and dryer, and a comfortably sized bedroom. A covered parking stall in a secured garage, ample guest parking, and on-site resident manager add to the convenience and peace of mind. This is a long leasehold property owned by the City and County of Honolulu with a lease that runs through 2064 and currently a low monthly lease rent of just $1, making it an excellent opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for stability in a central location. Situated near Ala Moana, UH, Downtown, and major freeway access points—this is where convenience meets opportunity.
-
2025-07-16$325,000 Active 852-char remark
Show marketing remark (852 chars)
* * NEW PRICE * * Urban living with simplicity and VALUE! Enjoy Honolulu living in this well-maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath unit located in the secure and centrally located 1448 Young Street building. The functional layout features a full kitchen, in-unit washer and dryer, and a comfortably sized bedroom. A covered parking stall in a secured garage, ample guest parking, and on-site resident manager add to the convenience and peace of mind. This is a long leasehold property owned by the City and County of Honolulu with a lease that runs through 2064 and currently a low monthly lease rent of just $1, making it an excellent opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for stability in a central location. Situated near Ala Moana, UH, Downtown, and major freeway access points—this is where convenience meets opportunity.
-
2020-01-10soldstatus $279,000 Sold
-
2019-11-23price $280,000
-
2019-10-11price $290,000
-
2019-08-07price $305,000
-
2019-08-06$300,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast HI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,003 · $84/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,003 · $84/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,647
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$1,003
- − Insurance
- −$1,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,012
- − Management
- −$3,012
- − HOA
- −$5,892
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable loss
- −$3,656
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$877
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,325/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hawaii Department Of Education
- NCES district ID
- 1500030
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,005
- Composite
- 37.07/100
- National rank
- #4504
- State rank
- #1 of 1 in HI
Livability — Urban Honolulu
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Urban Honolulu, HI
- County
- Honolulu County · 963,448 people
- City population
- 309,956
- Metro
- Urban Honolulu, HI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,689
- Household income
- $77,768
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1641.0
Population outlook (Honolulu County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,072,641 people
- By 2030
- 1,110,460 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,181,593 · +10.2%
- By 2050
- 1,257,584 · +17.2%
- By 2075
- 1,501,120 · +39.9%
- By 2100
- 1,764,430 · +64.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 64% Two or more races 14% White 13% Pacific Islander 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 35% · China, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 15% Chinese 10% Korean 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Honolulu
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.6) · D 59.9% · R 38.3% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.4pp toward R · 2008: 41.1pp · 2024: 21.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.6 2020: D+26.9 2016: D+29.9 2012: D+39.1 2008: D+41.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- Current HPI
- 376.4197
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.10%
- Metro
- Urban Honolulu, HI
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+5.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $315,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2025-11-28 Sold (MLS) $295,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2025-11-20 Contingent — HiCentral MLS
- 2025-09-22 Price Changed $300,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2025-07-16 Listed $325,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2020-01-10 Sold (MLS) $279,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2019-11-23 Price Changed $280,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2019-10-11 Price Changed $290,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2019-08-07 Price Changed $305,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2019-08-06 Listed $300,000 HiCentral MLS
Property tax history
+8.7%/yrLatest (2022): $1,003 · -25.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…