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1703 259th Pl
B- Composite 69.78
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.6/15.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$254,900

1703 259th Pl · Ocean Park, WA 98640
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 928 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 247 Days on market
Built 1910 4,792 sqft lot $275/sqft · 16% below area Est $303k · 16% under ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The perfect quint essential Ocean Park mid-century cabin with community commercial zoning. All the vintage touches still intact with upgrades like new deck, new roof, and other updates. Much loved and intended to be full or part-time living and distance to all the important community Ocean Park features like grocery shopping, beach access, artisans retreat, STR zoning BONUS. New FLOORING. The possibilities are endless!

Key facts

  • Str zoning
  • New deck
  • Beach access

Tags

OCEAN PARK MID-CENTURY CABINCOMMUNITY COMMERCIAL ZONINGNEW DECKNEW ROOFBEACH ACCESSSTR ZONING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $255k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $718 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $255k).
  • Recommended offer: $224k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.2% in Ocean Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#216 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: commute D+, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Ocean Beach School District (rural): math 34% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #212 of 291 in WA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Ocean Park Elementary (196 students, 76% FRL); Hilltop Elementary School (236 students, 70% FRL); Ilwaco High School (296 students, 64% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 320 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 90 units permitted in Pacific County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pacific County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $71k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 247 days — a 12% lower offer ($224k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $224,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 247 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
9.67%
Cash-on-cash
12.08%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$302,950
List price
$254,900
Delta
-15.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1307 262nd Pl 0.22mi 2/1.0 840 (-10%) 7mo $208,000 $248 66
26212 V Ln 0.28mi 2/1.0 1,039 (+12%) 2mo $320,000 $308 63
1310 260TH Pl 0.15mi 2/1.0 830 (-11%) 14mo $348,000 $419 62
1512 270th Pl 0.53mi 2/1.0 864 (-7%) 5mo $215,000 $249 58
26711 Ridge Ave 0.43mi 1/1.0 (-1) 988 (+6%) 9mo $275,000 $278 55
1305 269th Pl 0.53mi 1/1.0 (-1) 960 (+3%) 14mo $255,000 $266 51
1412 253rd Pl 0.34mi 2/1.0 832 (-10%) 22mo $90,000 $108 47
1215 273rd Pl 0.72mi 2/1.5 855 (-8%) 9mo $355,000 $415 46
1601 274th Pl 0.75mi 2/1.0 900 (-3%) 16mo $306,000 $340 45
27005 Park Ave 0.60mi 2/1.0 792 (-15%) 23mo $50,000 $63 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.6%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$4,371
Equity at exit
$38,006
10-year hold
IRR
11.2%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$62,421
Equity at exit
$22,039

Cash invested: $71,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98640

Home prices YoY
-26.7%
Active inventory
320
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,900 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,337
Tax from tax record
$130 /mo · $1,557/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$609
Net cashflow
$718

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,991
Max offer price $254,900
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $863 -5% $790 +0% $718 +5% $646 +10% $574
Rent -10% $489 -5% $604 +0% $718 +5% $833 +10% $947
Rate -1.0pp $847 -0.5pp $783 base $718 +0.5pp $652 +1.0pp $585

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,725
Closing costs
$7,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
24904 J Pl Ocean Park, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,900 $3.22 45d 1 0.58mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $254,900 Active 247 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $254,900 Active 246 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $254,900 Active 244 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $254,900 Active 243 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $254,900 Active 242 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $254,900 Active 241 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $254,900 Active 240 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $254,900 Active 239 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $254,900 Active 238 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $254,900 Active 235 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $254,900 Active 234 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $254,900 Active 233 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $254,900 Active 232 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $254,900 Active 229 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $254,900 Active 228 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $254,900 Active 227 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $254,900 Active 226 DOM
  18. 2026-04-10
    status Active
  19. 2026-03-16
    status Pending
  20. 2025-10-24
    price $254,900
  21. 2025-09-22
    price $259,000
  22. 2025-09-22
    listed $295,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,557 · $130/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,498 · $208/mo
Expected delta
+$941/yr (+$78/mo · 60.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥74°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,800
− Mortgage interest
−$14,278
− Property taxes
−$1,557
− Insurance
−$1,274
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,784
− Management
−$2,784
− Depreciation
−$7,415
Taxable income
$4,707
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,130
After-tax cash flow
$7,490/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ocean Beach School District
NCES district ID
5306060
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$38,549
Composite
37.37/100
National rank
#8929
State rank
#212 of 291 in WA

Livability — Ocean Park

Score
72/100
State rank
#216
US rank
#6161

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A- Crime A Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ocean Park, WA
Population (ZIP)
5,107

Population outlook (Pacific County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,636 people
By 2030
20,137 · -2.4%
By 2040
19,041 · -7.7%
By 2050
18,504 · -10.3%
By 2075
17,403 · -15.7%
By 2100
16,241 · -21.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pacific

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 49.4% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.1pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+6.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+14.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.15%
Current HPI
222.8758
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-16 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-24 Price Changed $254,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-22 Price Changed $259,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-22 Listed $295,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,557 · -3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…