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9916 Golf Course Rd #54
C- Composite 52.18
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,900

9916 Golf Course Rd #54 · West Ocean City, MD 21842
5 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured public records · 142 Days on market
Built 1975 $208/sqft · 47% below area Est $562k · 47% under $125/mo HOA · 5% of rent ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Turnkey, fully renovated, and perfectly positioned in West Ocean City—this one checks every box. This fully renovated 5-bedroom, 2-bath home has been thoughtfully updated from top to bottom and is ready for immediate enjoyment or investment. Improvements include added bedrooms, updated siding and window trim, a refreshed kitchen, upgraded electrical and plumbing, renovated bathrooms, new flooring, added closet space, interior A/C units, new furnishings and TVs, and fresh paint throughout—every detail has been addressed. Enjoy outdoor living with a shaded front deck plus additional rear decking, offering multiple spaces to relax or entertain. Tucked away at the back of Delmarva Park, this home offers a quiet setting while still being moments from everything Ocean City and West Ocean City have to offer. Boaters will love the proximity to the West Ocean City fishing harbor—with room to store a boat on the property—while beachgoers and commuters will appreciate the nearby Park & Ride just steps away. A rare combination of privacy, convenience, and move-in-ready condition makes this property a standout opportunity.

Key facts

  • Fully renovated
  • Updated siding
  • Renovated bathrooms

Tags

FULLY RENOVATEDUPDATED SIDINGREFRESHED KITCHENUPGRADED ELECTRICALRENOVATED BATHROOMSNEW FLOORING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-270 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $252k (15.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $266k (11.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $252k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 2.6% in West Ocean City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#69 in MD, #2,499 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, cost of living D-.
  • Worcester County Public Schools (town): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #6 of 24 in MD (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 673 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 354 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Worcester County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $252,239 (15.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.92%
Cash-on-cash
2.24%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$561,920
List price
$299,900
Delta
-46.63%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.7%
Equity multiple
0.22×
Total profit
$-65,557
Equity at exit
$44,716
10-year hold
IRR
-16.8%
Equity multiple
0.07×
Total profit
$-78,306
Equity at exit
$25,930

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21842

Home prices YoY
-5.0%
Active inventory
673
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,659 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$121 /mo · $1,454/yr
Insurance
$125
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$125
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$558
Net cashflow
$-270

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,000
Max offer price $252,239
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$125 · $1,500/yr
Likely covers
electric

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,900 Active 142 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,900 Active 141 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,900 Active 140 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,900 Active 139 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $299,900 Active 137 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $299,900 Active 136 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $329,000 Active 134 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $329,000 Active 133 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $329,000 Active 132 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $329,000 Active 131 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $329,000 Active 126 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $329,000 Active 125 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $329,000 Active 124 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $329,000 Active 123 DOM
  15. 2026-04-17
    price $329,000 1157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1157 chars)

    Turnkey, fully renovated, and perfectly positioned in West Ocean City—this one checks every box. This fully renovated 5-bedroom, 2-bath home has been thoughtfully updated from top to bottom and is ready for immediate enjoyment or investment. Improvements include added bedrooms, updated siding and window trim, a refreshed kitchen, upgraded electrical and plumbing, renovated bathrooms, new flooring, added closet space, interior A/C units, new furnishings and TVs, and fresh paint throughout—every detail has been addressed. Enjoy outdoor living with a shaded front deck plus additional rear decking, offering multiple spaces to relax or entertain. Tucked away at the back of Delmarva Park, this home offers a quiet setting while still being moments from everything Ocean City and West Ocean City have to offer. Boaters will love the proximity to the West Ocean City fishing harbor—with room to store a boat on the property—while beachgoers and commuters will appreciate the nearby Park & Ride just steps away. A rare combination of privacy, convenience, and move-in-ready condition makes this property a standout opportunity.

  16. 2026-01-27
    listed $339,000 Active 1157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1157 chars)

    Turnkey, fully renovated, and perfectly positioned in West Ocean City—this one checks every box. This fully renovated 5-bedroom, 2-bath home has been thoughtfully updated from top to bottom and is ready for immediate enjoyment or investment. Improvements include added bedrooms, updated siding and window trim, a refreshed kitchen, upgraded electrical and plumbing, renovated bathrooms, new flooring, added closet space, interior A/C units, new furnishings and TVs, and fresh paint throughout—every detail has been addressed. Enjoy outdoor living with a shaded front deck plus additional rear decking, offering multiple spaces to relax or entertain. Tucked away at the back of Delmarva Park, this home offers a quiet setting while still being moments from everything Ocean City and West Ocean City have to offer. Boaters will love the proximity to the West Ocean City fishing harbor—with room to store a boat on the property—while beachgoers and commuters will appreciate the nearby Park & Ride just steps away. A rare combination of privacy, convenience, and move-in-ready condition makes this property a standout opportunity.

  17. 2025-10-15
    historical
  18. 2025-07-14
    listed $349,900 Active
  19. 2025-07-12
    historical
  20. 2025-05-23
    price $349,900
  21. 2024-07-15
    listed $399,900 Active
  22. 2024-07-12
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,454 · $121/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,361 · $197/mo
Expected delta
+$908/yr (+$76/mo · 62.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,907
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$1,454
− Insurance
−$6,618
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,553
− Management
−$2,553
− HOA
−$1,500
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable loss
−$8,293
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,990
After-tax cash flow
$-1,247/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Worcester County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400720
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -20.00%
Median HH income
$56,748
Composite
32.6/100
National rank
#5672
State rank
#6 of 24 in MD

Livability — West Ocean City

Score
78/100
State rank
#69
US rank
#2499

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living D- Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Ocean City, MD
County
Worcester County · 35,603 people
Metro
Salisbury, MD-DE
Population (ZIP)
11,226
Household income
$79,876
Rent vs Own
24.0% rent · 76.0% own
Severe rent burden
322.0

Population outlook (Worcester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
51,363 people
By 2030
51,191 · -0.3%
By 2040
50,459 · -1.8%
By 2050
49,451 · -3.7%
By 2075
48,533 · -5.5%
By 2100
44,223 · -13.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Worcester

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.0) · D 38.0% · R 60.0% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.5pp toward R · 2008: -15.5pp · 2024: -22.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+27.9 2012: R+18.3 2008: R+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -25.65%
Current HPI
482.18
Rent YoY
Metro
Salisbury, MD-DE
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $329,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-27 Listed $339,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-15 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-14 Listed $349,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-12 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-23 Price Changed $349,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-07-15 Listed $399,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-07-12 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+8.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,454 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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