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8935 Martin Luther King Blvd
D+ Composite 49.77
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.3/30.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.0/15.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

8935 Martin Luther King Blvd · Houston, TX 77033
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,026 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1971 6,716 sqft lot Est $136k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this cozy 3BDRM 2 Bath Home. Gated Driveway located 15 minutes from the Medical Center 10 minutes from 288 and 610 Loop. Nearby shopping and Resteraunts

Key facts

  • Medical center
  • Gated driveway
  • Nearby shopping

Tags

GATED DRIVEWAYMEDICAL CENTERNEARBY SHOPPING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage with 1 parking space; Electric gate
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Residential property; Full ownership; Single-story entry (slab foundation)
  • Construction: Brick construction; Built in 1971; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Located in a subdivision

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedrooms and other rooms included)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric cooling; Gas cooling
  • Interior features: Seller disclosure available

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.1% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Thomas Middle (math 3% / reading 13%, grade F, #1,654 of 1,662 statewide, top 100%, 526 students, 98% FRL); Sterling H S (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 1,421 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 71% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 15% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 345 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,645/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1728% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.04%
Cash-on-cash
6.25%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$136,458
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5345 Higgins St 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,048 (+2%) 13mo $115,000 $110 72
5342 Wenda St 0.24mi 3/2.0 975 (-5%) 14mo $149,000 $153 67
5503 Ricky St 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,102 (+7%) 5mo $110,000 $100 62
5622 Beldart St 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,002 (-2%) 2mo $120,000 $120 60
9215 Vinearbor St 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,165 (+14%) 11mo $169,900 $146 56
5217 Pederson St 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,158 (+13%) 7mo $179,000 $155 51
5714 Peacock St 0.43mi 3/1.0 932 (-9%) 15mo $120,000 $129 50
9310 St Lo Rd 0.49mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,099 (+7%) 14mo $169,000 $154 47
8426 Rockford Dr 0.62mi 3/1.5 875 (-15%) 1mo $100,000 $114 46
5602 Beldart St 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,173 (+14%) 3mo $160,000 $136 45
10225 Teneha Dr 0.49mi 2/2.0 (-1) 932 (-9%) 16mo $124,000 $133 41
5774 Belmark St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (-9%) 11mo $70,000 $75 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.8%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-6,177
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
8.6%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$30,684
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77033

Home prices YoY
-16.3%
Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
345
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,645 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$232 /mo · $2,780/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$345
Net cashflow
$219

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,368
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $304 -5% $261 +0% $219 +5% $176 +10% $134
Rent -10% $89 -5% $154 +0% $219 +5% $284 +10% $349
Rate -1.0pp $294 -0.5pp $257 base $219 +0.5pp $180 +1.0pp $140

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9509 Merle St Unit 9509A Houston, TX 4.0 2.5 1404 $1,500 $1.07 44d 1 0.20mi
5408 Groveton St Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1472 $1,983 $1.35 0d 1 0.56mi
5407 Thrush Dr Houston, TX 4.0 1.0 1407 $1,495 $1.06 14d 1 0.64mi
10902 Faircroft Dr Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1308 $1,455 $1.11 0d 1 0.80mi
5036 Mallow St Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1472 $2,050 $1.39 44d 1 0.81mi
5767 Belcrest St Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1480 $1,790 $1.21 44d 1 0.83mi
4918 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1300 $2,100 $1.62 44d 1 0.85mi
5426 Greylog Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1205 $1,750 $1.45 25d 1 0.94mi
5623 Bellfort St Houston, TX 4.0 1.0 1320 $1,700 $1.29 15d 1 0.96mi
4810 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1165 $1,650 $1.42 44d 1 0.98mi
5942 Ridgeway Dr Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1490 $2,250 $1.51 44d 1 1.12mi
4723 Mallow St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1472 $1,850 $1.26 6d 1 1.19mi
5314 Northridge Dr Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,185 $1.36 44d 1 1.23mi
5818 Glenhurst Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1441 $1,750 $1.21 0d 1 1.24mi
5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 2047 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1062 $1,114 $1.05 0d 1 1.24mi
5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 2047 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1062 $1,113 $1.05 4d 1 1.24mi
5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 3047 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1167 $1,324 $1.13 12d 1 1.24mi
5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 3187 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1167 $1,273 $1.09 0d 1 1.25mi
5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 2187 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1062 $1,073 $1.01 0d 1 1.25mi
5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 5659 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1062 $1,113 $1.05 11d 1 1.25mi
5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 421 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1062 $1,089 $1.03 6d 1 1.25mi
5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 422 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1062 $1,089 $1.03 8d 1 1.25mi
5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 510 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1167 $1,313 $1.13 12d 1 1.25mi
6107 El Granate Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1192 $1,000 $0.84 6d 1 1.26mi
5222 Northridge Dr Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1300 $1,850 $1.42 25d 1 1.29mi
11319 Murr Way Houston, TX 3.0 1.5 1213 $1,699 $1.40 19d 1 1.37mi
7918 Jutland Rd Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 996 $1,295 $1.30 44d 1 1.37mi
11911 Martin Luther King Junior Blvd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 701 $1,050 $1.50 8d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $150,000 Pending 1 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    remarks 163-char remark
  3. 2026-06-16
    listed $150,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,780 · $232/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,780 · $232/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,737
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,780
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,579
− Management
−$1,579
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$284
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$68
After-tax cash flow
$2,555/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,154
Household income
$38,071
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
1728.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (55%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 17% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 35%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 39%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -41.49%
Current HPI
212.6472
Rent YoY
▲ 5.45%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $150,000 HARMLS
  • 1991-07-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,780 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…