8935 Martin Luther King Blvd · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- ARV discount +3.0/15.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this cozy 3BDRM 2 Bath Home. Gated Driveway located 15 minutes from the Medical Center 10 minutes from 288 and 610 Loop. Nearby shopping and Resteraunts
Key facts
- Medical center
- Gated driveway
- Nearby shopping
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Garage with 1 parking space; Electric gate
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Residential property; Full ownership; Single-story entry (slab foundation)
- Construction: Brick construction; Built in 1971; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Located in a subdivision
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedrooms and other rooms included)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric cooling; Gas cooling
- Interior features: Seller disclosure available
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.1% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Thomas Middle (math 3% / reading 13%, grade F, #1,654 of 1,662 statewide, top 100%, 526 students, 98% FRL); Sterling H S (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 1,421 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 71% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 15% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 345 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,645/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1728% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.25%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $136,458
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5345 Higgins St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,048 (+2%) | 13mo | $115,000 | $110 | 72 |
| 5342 Wenda St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 975 (-5%) | 14mo | $149,000 | $153 | 67 |
| 5503 Ricky St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,102 (+7%) | 5mo | $110,000 | $100 | 62 |
| 5622 Beldart St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,002 (-2%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $120 | 60 |
| 9215 Vinearbor St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,165 (+14%) | 11mo | $169,900 | $146 | 56 |
| 5217 Pederson St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,158 (+13%) | 7mo | $179,000 | $155 | 51 |
| 5714 Peacock St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 932 (-9%) | 15mo | $120,000 | $129 | 50 |
| 9310 St Lo Rd | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,099 (+7%) | 14mo | $169,000 | $154 | 47 |
| 8426 Rockford Dr | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 875 (-15%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $114 | 46 |
| 5602 Beldart St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,173 (+14%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $136 | 45 |
| 10225 Teneha Dr | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 932 (-9%) | 16mo | $124,000 | $133 | 41 |
| 5774 Belmark St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (-9%) | 11mo | $70,000 | $75 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-6,177
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $30,684
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77033
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 345
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,645 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$232 /mo · $2,780/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$345
- Net cashflow
- $219
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $304 | -5% $261 | +0% $219 | +5% $176 | +10% $134 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $89 | -5% $154 | +0% $219 | +5% $284 | +10% $349 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $294 | -0.5pp $257 | base $219 | +0.5pp $180 | +1.0pp $140 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9509 Merle St Unit 9509A Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5408 Groveton St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,983 | $1.35 | 0d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 5407 Thrush Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1407 | $1,495 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 10902 Faircroft Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1308 | $1,455 | $1.11 | 0d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5036 Mallow St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1472 | $2,050 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5767 Belcrest St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $1,790 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4918 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1300 | $2,100 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 5426 Greylog Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1205 | $1,750 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5623 Bellfort St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,700 | $1.29 | 15d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4810 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $1,650 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5942 Ridgeway Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $2,250 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4723 Mallow St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1472 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 6d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5314 Northridge Dr Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,185 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 5818 Glenhurst Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 0d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 2047 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,114 | $1.05 | 0d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 2047 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,113 | $1.05 | 4d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 3047 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1167 | $1,324 | $1.13 | 12d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 3187 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1167 | $1,273 | $1.09 | 0d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 2187 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,073 | $1.01 | 0d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 5659 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,113 | $1.05 | 11d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 421 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,089 | $1.03 | 6d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,089 | $1.03 | 8d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5602 Selinsky Rd Unit 510 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1167 | $1,313 | $1.13 | 12d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 6107 El Granate Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $1,000 | $0.84 | 6d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 5222 Northridge Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,850 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 11319 Murr Way Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1213 | $1,699 | $1.40 | 19d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 7918 Jutland Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 996 | $1,295 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 11911 Martin Luther King Junior Blvd Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 701 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 8d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-17status $150,000 Pending 1 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 163-char remark
-
2026-06-16$150,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,780 · $232/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,780 · $232/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,737
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,780
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,579
- − Management
- −$1,579
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $284
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$68
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,555/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,154
- Household income
- $38,071
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1728.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 17% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 39%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.49%
- Current HPI
- 212.6472
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.45%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $150,000 HARMLS
- 1991-07-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,780 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…