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4940 Landmark Cir #3232
D+ Composite 49.34
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.0/30.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • DSCR +0.4/10.0

$118,000

4940 Landmark Cir #3232 · Egg Harbor, WI 54209
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 593 sqft · Condo · 51 Days on market
Built 1987 Fair condition $199/sqft · 24% below area Est $155k · 24% under $619/mo HOA · 40% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover the charm of Door County's Landmark Resort with this 1-bedroom, 1-bath wood view unit in the desirable Navigator building. While not updated, it offers plenty of potential for customization and personal use. Please note: this unit is not compliant with Landmark's rental program. The resort itself spans 40 acres atop a scenic bluff overlooking Green Bay and features walking trails, indoor and outdoor pools, tennis and pickleball courts, grilling areas, a playground, and an on-site restaurant. With full access to all resort amenities and unrestricted personal use, this property offers an affordable way to enjoy the Landmark lifestyle in Door County.

Key facts

  • Grilling areas
  • 40 acres
  • Scenic bluff

Tags

40 ACRESSCENIC BLUFFWALKING TRAILSINDOOR AND OUTDOOR POOLSTENNIS AND PICKLEBALL COURTSGRILLING AREAS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount listed
  • HOA & community: Has homeowners association; Quarterly association fee of $1,857 (equivalent to $619/month)

Exterior

  • Utilities: Mixed Use Commercial (MC) zoning
  • Home design: Residential condominium; Located in Landmark Resort
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating
  • Interior features: Baseboard electric heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $118k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-223 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $86k (27.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $118k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (27.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 1.0% in Egg Harbor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#455 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Gibraltar Area School District (rural): math 52% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #45 of 342 in WI (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 306 units permitted in Door County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($816 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
  • Door County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 40% of rent.
Recommended offer $85,680 (27.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
4.02%
Cash-on-cash
-8.11%
DSCR
0.64
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$155,425
List price
$118,000
Delta
-24.08%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

4.61% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$10,768
Equity at exit
$64,096
10-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$46,934
Equity at exit
$108,393

Cash invested: $33,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54209

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,533 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$619
Tax est. 1.5%
$148 /mo · $1,770/yr
Insurance
$49
HOA
$619
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$322
Net cashflow
$-223

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,816
Max offer price $85,680
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,500
Closing costs
$3,540
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$619 · $7,428/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $118,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $118,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $118,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $118,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $118,000 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $118,000 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $118,000 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $118,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $118,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $118,000 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $118,000 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $118,000 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $118,000 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $118,000 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $118,000 Active 33 DOM
  16. 2026-04-28
    listed $118,000 Active 664-char remark
  17. 2025-09-23
    listed $118,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,397
− Mortgage interest
−$6,610
− Property taxes
−$1,770
− Insurance
−$590
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,472
− Management
−$1,472
− HOA
−$7,428
− Depreciation
−$3,433
Taxable loss
−$4,377
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,051
After-tax cash flow
$-1,630/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 1-bedroom, 1-bath unit at Landmark Resort offers a fair condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major kitchen appliances — Older and outdated
  • Major bathroom fixtures — Standard and dated
  • Minor flooring — Some wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and improves functionality
  • Both Replace bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the space and improves functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen appliances · Older and outdated Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · Standard and dated Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · Some wear Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $30,500–103,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and improves functionality
  • Both Replace bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the space and improves functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gibraltar Area School District
NCES district ID
5505220
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$53,154
Composite
45.57/100
National rank
#2598
State rank
#45 of 342 in WI

Livability — Egg Harbor

Score
66/100
State rank
#455
US rank
#11512

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety D- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,529

Population outlook (Door County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
27,220 people
By 2030
26,785 · -1.6%
By 2040
25,167 · -7.5%
By 2050
23,052 · -15.3%
By 2075
18,981 · -30.3%
By 2100
14,801 · -45.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 8% Romanian 8% English 7%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Door

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.6% · R 48.3% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: 2.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.2 2020: D+1.4 2016: R+3.2 2012: D+7.0 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.61%
Current HPI
235.2831
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $118,000 DCBRMLS
  • 2025-09-23 Listed $118,000 DCBRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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