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912 Country Place Dr
B Composite 73.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$160,000

912 Country Place Dr · Gouldsboro, PA 18466
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,184 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 182 Days on market
Built 1978 0.27 ac lot $135/sqft · 39% below area Est $197k · 19% under $143/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Motivated Seller with Investor Opportunity - 3BR/1.5BA Fixer-Upper with Strong Potential!!! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home sits on a wooded lot and offers solid structure with room for updates and value-add improvements. The property features an open floor plan, large windows, and a wraparound deck. Recent repair of roof. Interior updates would maximize resale or rental potential. With its desirable location, good layout, and manageable size, this property is ideal for renovation and resale, long-term rental, or short-term vacation use. Bring your vision and take advantage of this promising investment.

Key facts

  • Large windows
  • Open floor plan
  • Wooded lot

Tags

WOODED LOTOPEN FLOOR PLANLARGE WINDOWSWRAPAROUND DECKINTERIOR UPDATES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $327 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.5% in Gouldsboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#903 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 355 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $72k; list at $160k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $140,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
8.75%
Cash-on-cash
8.76%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$197,293
List price
$160,000
Delta
-18.90%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8208 Sunset Dr 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,176 (-1%) 8mo $240,000 $204 72
8229 Sunset Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,144 (-3%) 2mo $190,000 $166 69
8191 Elk Ct 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,134 (-4%) 2mo $245,000 $216 69
954 Country Place Dr 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-12%) 4mo $205,000 $197 67
8237 Natures Dr 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,260 (+6%) 6mo $237,500 $188 67
7515 Crestview Dr 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,250 (+6%) 3mo $300,000 $240 62
1094 Country Place Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,140 (-4%) 2mo $297,000 $261 60
8934 Deerfield Rd 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,100 (-7%) 10mo $160,000 $145 58
8540 Hillcrest Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,240 (+5%) 9mo $270,000 $218 56
126 Feather Ln 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,232 (+4%) 6mo $130,000 $106 52
7511 Crestview Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,342 (+13%) 2mo $270,000 $201 46
7696 Fawn Ln 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,008 (-15%) 2mo $235,000 $233 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$34,818
Equity at exit
$66,219
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
3.27×
Total profit
$101,770
Equity at exit
$97,806

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18466

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
355
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,938 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$155 /mo · $1,861/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$143
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$407
Net cashflow
$327

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,524
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $418 -5% $372 +0% $327 +5% $282 +10% $237
Rent -10% $174 -5% $251 +0% $327 +5% $404 +10% $480
Rate -1.0pp $408 -0.5pp $368 base $327 +0.5pp $286 +1.0pp $243

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
954 Country Place Dr Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 15d 1 0.22mi
954 Country Place Dr Unit H623 Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,900 $1.83 44d 1 0.22mi
7694 Fawn Ln Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.0 1128 $1,800 $1.60 44d 1 0.77mi
7067 Vista Dr Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.0 1436 $2,250 $1.57 44d 1 0.78mi
9026 Idlewild Dr Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.0 1068 $2,300 $2.15 13d 1 1.23mi
5215 Sundew Ter Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,750 $1.46 44d 1 1.43mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$143 · $1,716/yr

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-02
    status Pending 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Motivated Seller with Investor Opportunity - 3BR/1.5BA Fixer-Upper with Strong Potential!!! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home sits on a wooded lot and offers solid structure with room for updates and value-add improvements. The property features an open floor plan, large windows, and a wraparound deck. Recent repair of roof. Interior updates would maximize resale or rental potential. With its desirable location, good layout, and manageable size, this property is ideal for renovation and resale, long-term rental, or short-term vacation use. Bring your vision and take advantage of this promising investment.

  2. 2026-04-28
    status Active 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Motivated Seller with Investor Opportunity - 3BR/1.5BA Fixer-Upper with Strong Potential!!! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home sits on a wooded lot and offers solid structure with room for updates and value-add improvements. The property features an open floor plan, large windows, and a wraparound deck. Recent repair of roof. Interior updates would maximize resale or rental potential. With its desirable location, good layout, and manageable size, this property is ideal for renovation and resale, long-term rental, or short-term vacation use. Bring your vision and take advantage of this promising investment.

  3. 2026-04-09
    status Pending 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Motivated Seller with Investor Opportunity - 3BR/1.5BA Fixer-Upper with Strong Potential!!! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home sits on a wooded lot and offers solid structure with room for updates and value-add improvements. The property features an open floor plan, large windows, and a wraparound deck. Recent repair of roof. Interior updates would maximize resale or rental potential. With its desirable location, good layout, and manageable size, this property is ideal for renovation and resale, long-term rental, or short-term vacation use. Bring your vision and take advantage of this promising investment.

  4. 2026-03-31
    price $160,000 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Motivated Seller with Investor Opportunity - 3BR/1.5BA Fixer-Upper with Strong Potential!!! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home sits on a wooded lot and offers solid structure with room for updates and value-add improvements. The property features an open floor plan, large windows, and a wraparound deck. Recent repair of roof. Interior updates would maximize resale or rental potential. With its desirable location, good layout, and manageable size, this property is ideal for renovation and resale, long-term rental, or short-term vacation use. Bring your vision and take advantage of this promising investment.

  5. 2026-03-31
    status Active 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Motivated Seller with Investor Opportunity - 3BR/1.5BA Fixer-Upper with Strong Potential!!! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home sits on a wooded lot and offers solid structure with room for updates and value-add improvements. The property features an open floor plan, large windows, and a wraparound deck. Recent repair of roof. Interior updates would maximize resale or rental potential. With its desirable location, good layout, and manageable size, this property is ideal for renovation and resale, long-term rental, or short-term vacation use. Bring your vision and take advantage of this promising investment.

  6. 2025-12-14
    price $180,000 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Motivated Seller with Investor Opportunity - 3BR/1.5BA Fixer-Upper with Strong Potential!!! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home sits on a wooded lot and offers solid structure with room for updates and value-add improvements. The property features an open floor plan, large windows, and a wraparound deck. Recent repair of roof. Interior updates would maximize resale or rental potential. With its desirable location, good layout, and manageable size, this property is ideal for renovation and resale, long-term rental, or short-term vacation use. Bring your vision and take advantage of this promising investment.

  7. 2025-10-06
    listed $195,000 Active 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Motivated Seller with Investor Opportunity - 3BR/1.5BA Fixer-Upper with Strong Potential!!! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home sits on a wooded lot and offers solid structure with room for updates and value-add improvements. The property features an open floor plan, large windows, and a wraparound deck. Recent repair of roof. Interior updates would maximize resale or rental potential. With its desirable location, good layout, and manageable size, this property is ideal for renovation and resale, long-term rental, or short-term vacation use. Bring your vision and take advantage of this promising investment.

  8. 1994-01-21
    soldstatus $72,000
  9. 1977-06-17
    soldstatus $8,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,861 · $155/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,195 · $183/mo
Expected delta
+$333/yr (+$28/mo · 17.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,255
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$1,861
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,860
− Management
−$1,860
− HOA
−$1,716
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable income
$1,540
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$370
After-tax cash flow
$3,556/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Gouldsboro

Score
68/100
State rank
#903
US rank
#9638

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
17,997

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.36%
Current HPI
202.4134
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1782.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted PMAR
  • 2026-04-09 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $160,000 PMAR
  • 2026-03-31 Relisted PMAR
  • 2025-12-14 Price Changed $180,000 PMAR
  • 2025-10-06 Listed $195,000 PMAR
  • 1994-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
  • 1977-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $8,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,861 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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