427 W Whitley St · Norwood, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Two bedroom. Two full bath. Completely remodeled. New plumbing new electrical. Updated inside. Concrete double parking covered space. I cannot get photos to load. Please call for photos. We will consider owner financing with a substantial down payment.
Key facts
- New plumbing
- Completely remodeled
- Updated inside
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($966/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (19.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $153k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.9% in Norwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#410 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Stanly County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #113 of 178 in NC (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 367 units permitted in Stanly County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stanly County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $53k; list at $190k implies a 258% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.82%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $68,231
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 N Kendall St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,027 (+7%) | 8mo | $72,500 | $71 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-25,733
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-16,166
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28128
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,532 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $657/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$322
- Net cashflow
- $81
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 426 Atkins Ave Norwood, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 12d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 409 Eastover Ave Norwood, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,550 | $1.46 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 409 Eastover Ave Norwood, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,550 | $1.46 | 12d | 1 | 0.93mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $189,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$189,900 Active
-
2025-08-18price $199,900
-
2025-07-28price $215,000
-
2025-04-09$229,900 Active
-
2022-09-09$115,000 Active
-
2004-01-16soldstatus $53,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $657 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,557 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- +$900/yr (+$75/mo · 137.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,384
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$657
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,471
- − Management
- −$1,471
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$2,326
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$558
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,524/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stanly County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3704320
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,802
- Composite
- 33.9/100
- National rank
- #5343
- State rank
- #113 of 178 in NC
Livability — Norwood
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #410
- US rank
- #15485
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Norwood, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,610
Population outlook (Stanly County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 60,082 people
- By 2030
- 59,485 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 57,407 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 54,051 · -10.0%
- By 2075
- 45,384 · -24.5%
- By 2100
- 34,694 · -42.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 15% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 6% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stanly
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.9) · D 24.2% · R 75.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.2pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -50.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.9 2020: R+51.1 2016: R+50.2 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.46%
- Current HPI
- 201.373
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+258.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $189,900 FSBO.com
- 2025-08-18 Price Changed $199,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-28 Price Changed $215,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-09 Listed $229,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-09 Listed $115,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $657 · +18.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…