507 W Elm Ave #187 · Charleston, IL 61920

$29,500

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Manufactured · 109 Days on market

Built 2026 Good condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a clubhouse, a playground, community events, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

• Built 2026
• Listed 108 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $606 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
• Recommended offer: $27k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 31.0% vs local median 4.0% in Charleston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#293 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, schools F.
• Charleston CUSD 1 (town): math 14% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #489 of 620 in IL (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 34 units permitted in Coles County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $204 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $885 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Coles County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($27k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $26,845 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.48% ✓
• Cap rate: 30.96%
• Cash-on-cash: 88.09%
• DSCR: 4.92
• GRM: 2.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 88.7%
• Equity multiple: 5.10×
• Total profit: $33,854
• Equity at exit: $4,399

10-year hold

• IRR: 91.7%
• Equity multiple: 10.60×
• Total profit: $79,270
• Equity at exit: $2,551

Cash invested: $8,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Illinois: 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 61920

• Home prices YoY: -28.1%
• Active inventory: 125
• Price-to-rent: 2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,026 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$155
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$37 /mo · $442/yr
• Insurance: −$12
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$215
• Net cashflow: $606

Break-even live

Break-even rent $258

Max offer price $29,500

Occupancy floor 36%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $7,375
• Closing costs: $885
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1408 6th St Charleston, IL	2.0	1.0	1346	$729	$0.54	44d	3	1.30mi

Listing history 10 events

1. 2026-06-09
   days on market $29,500 Active 109 DOM
2. 2026-06-08
   days on market $29,500 Active 108 DOM
3. 2026-06-07
   days on market $29,500 Active 107 DOM
4. 2026-06-05
   days on market $29,500 Active 104 DOM
5. 2026-06-03
   days on market $29,500 Active 103 DOM
6. 2026-06-02
   days on market $29,500 Active 102 DOM
7. 2026-06-01
   pricedays on market $29,500 Active 101 DOM
8. 2026-05-31
   days on market $29,000 Active 100 DOM
9. 2026-05-30
   days on market $29,000 Active 99 DOM
10. 2026-02-20
    listed $34,600 Active 399-char remark

    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a clubhouse, a playground, community events, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,307
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,652
• − Property taxes: −$442
• − Insurance: −$148
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$985
• − Management: −$985
• − Depreciation: −$858
• Taxable income: $7,237
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,737
• After-tax cash flow: $5,539/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home is in good condition with minor repairs needed. It's move-in ready with cosmetic updates that would significantly increase its value.

Repairs flagged

• Minor kitchen backsplash — standard backsplash
• Minor bathroom backsplash — standard backsplash

Value-add opportunities

• Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
• Both replace ceiling fans — modernizes the home and improves air circulation
• Both install new backsplash in kitchen and bathrooms — adds value and modernizes the space

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
kitchen backsplash · standard backsplash	Minor	$500–3,000
bathroom backsplash · standard backsplash	Minor	$500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items		$1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Both replace ceiling fans — modernizes the home and improves air circulation ↑
• Both install new backsplash in kitchen and bathrooms — adds value and modernizes the space ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Charleston CUSD 1
• NCES district ID: 1709600
• Math proficiency: 14% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 21% ▼ -8.00%
• Median HH income: $35,724
• Composite: 14.45/100
• National rank: #9429
• State rank: #489 of 620 in IL

Livability — Charleston

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #293
• US rank: #5627

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Charleston, IL
• County: Coles County · 41,301 people
• City population: 20,951
• Metro: Charleston-Mattoon, IL
• Population (ZIP): 20,951
• Household income: $52,429
• Rent vs Own: 46.7% rent · 53.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 1209.0

Population outlook (Coles County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 53,967 people
• By 2030: 53,829 · -0.3%
• By 2040: 52,332 · -3.0%
• By 2050: 49,989 · -7.4%
• By 2075: 42,226 · -21.8%
• By 2100: 34,675 · -35.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (84%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 84% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Coles

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+28.5) · D 34.9% · R 63.4% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -31.7pp toward R · 2008: 3.2pp · 2024: -28.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+28.5 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+26.4 2012: R+11.1 2008: D+3.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -59.97%
• Current HPI: 153.8607
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Charleston-Mattoon, IL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.59%
• F500 in state: 60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	4	$201B
▸Consumer Goods	4	$87B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$64B
▸Healthcare	2	$55B
▸Retail / Pharmacy	1	$148B
▸Agriculture / Food	1	$86B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-02-20 Listed $34,600 Zillow