306 N Richland St · Richland, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- Appreciation +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious and versatile, this 5-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers approximately 2,350 square feet of finished living space in the heart of Richland. With a functional layout and generous room sizes, this property provides plenty of space for growing households, multi-generational living, or those needing extra rooms for a home office or hobbies. The main level features comfortable living areas filled with natural light, while the additional bedrooms allow for flexibility to meet your lifestyle needs. A large 780 sq ft garage offers ample room for vehicles, storage, and workspace—perfect for projects or outdoor equipment. Situated on a well-located lot with easy access to local amenities,
Key facts
- 0.4 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1897
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#650 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Pekin Community School District (rural): math 71% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #121 of 289 in IA (top 42%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Pekin Elementary School (math 77% / reading 77%, grade A, #103 of 616 statewide, top 20%, 350 students, 32% FRL); Pekin Community Junior/ Senior High School (math 65% / reading 69%, grade B, #192 of 336 statewide, top 59%, 292 students, 29% FRL).
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Keokuk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
- Keokuk County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $54k; list at $125k implies a 131% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.33%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.93% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $49,206
- Equity at exit
- $78,061
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.83×
- Total profit
- $134,179
- Equity at exit
- $141,113
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52585
- Home prices YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,298 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $214
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $285 | -5% $249 | +0% $214 | +5% $178 | +10% $143 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $111 | -5% $163 | +0% $214 | +5% $265 | +10% $316 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $277 | -0.5pp $246 | base $214 | +0.5pp $181 | +1.0pp $148 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-01-08$125,000
-
2026-01-08historical
-
2007-10-16soldstatus $54,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,250 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,606 · $134/mo
- Expected delta
- +$356/yr (+$30/mo · 28.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,578
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,250
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,246
- − Management
- −$1,246
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $572
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$137
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,428/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pekin Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1922440
- Math proficiency
- 71% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,890
- Composite
- 60.54/100
- National rank
- #838
- State rank
- #121 of 289 in IA
Livability — Richland
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #650
- US rank
- #14950
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Richland, IA
- City population
- 849
- Population (ZIP)
- 849
Population outlook (Keokuk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,354 people
- By 2030
- 8,885 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 7,956 · -14.9%
- By 2050
- 7,123 · -23.9%
- By 2075
- 5,777 · -38.2%
- By 2100
- 4,808 · -48.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 8% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Chinese 1% Arabic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Keokuk
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.7% · R 75.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.9pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -51.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.5 2020: R+44.9 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+10.4 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.93%
- Current HPI
- 154.3869
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+131.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-08 Listing Removed — DMMLS
- 2026-01-08 Listed $125,000 DMMLS
- 2007-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,250 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…