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6920 Pinehurst Dr
B- Composite 65.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

6920 Pinehurst Dr · Gulf Park Estates, MS 39564
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,669 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1994 9,583 sqft lot Est $242k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

BACK ON MARKET DUE TO BUYERS FINANCING DENIED AT LAST MINUTE! Move in ready home located in the Ocean Springs School District just minutes away from the High School, Highway and Interstate. Enjoy the split bedroom plan, high ceilings, double sided fireplace, kitchen with center island, stainless appliances, fenced yard and so much more. Fresh paint, new flooring, new fixtures and other recent upgrades. Call now and make this your new home. Due to recent experience, prequal letter or proof of funds is required on all offers.

Key facts

  • Fenced backyard
  • Top-rated schools
  • 9,583 sq ft lot

Tags

PINEHURST SUBDIVISIONDOUBLE-SIDED FIREPLACEFENCED BACKYARDATTACHED 2-CAR GARAGETOP-RATED SCHOOLSVIBRANT DOWNTOWN AREA

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Room for 26 vehicles total; Concrete driveway and paved parking; other parking features
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level
  • Construction: Brick veneer and siding exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year from public records)
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Patio; Private backyard; Back yard fencing; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Free-standing range; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator; Water heater
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric, heat pump); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Double-sided fireplace; Move-in ready condition
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-52 ($-619/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (4.6% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $191k (4.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.2% in Gulf Park Estates — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#43 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Ocean Springs School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #1 of 130 in MS (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Magnolia Park Elementary (math 62% / reading 52%, grade C+, #37 of 375 statewide, top 10%, 635 students, 100% FRL); Ocean Springs Upper Elementary Scho (math 59% / reading 56%, grade B, #12 of 179 statewide, top 6%, 1,332 students, 100% FRL); Ocean Springs High School (math 77% / reading 64%, grade B+, #1 of 197 statewide, top 0%, 1,899 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 33% district-wide (67 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 723 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $190,787 (4.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.54%
Cash-on-cash
8.04%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$242,005
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6911 Pinehurst Dr 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,690 (+1%) 1mo $245,000 $145 95
7001 Red Bud Ln 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,654 (-1%) 1mo $219,900 $133 91
6900 Red Bud Ln 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,677 (+0%) 7mo $242,500 $145 87
6800 Oakhurst Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,680 (+1%) 5mo $189,999 $113 86
7117 Oakhurst Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,605 (-4%) 2mo $185,000 $115 76
63 Saltmeadow Cir 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,685 (+1%) 1mo $285,000 $169 65
7741 Coral Ln 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,568 (-6%) 2mo $279,900 $179 62
74 Tantallon Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,625 (-3%) 9mo $269,900 $166 60
7780 Coral Ln 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,566 (-6%) 7mo $254,000 $162 54
6821 Sweetclover Dr 0.41mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,886 (+13%) 1mo $269,900 $143 53
1236 Spruce St 0.71mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,724 (+3%) 7mo $215,000 $125 47
7348 Shearwater Way 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,835 (+10%) 8mo $259,000 $141 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.3%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-38,863
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
-18.3%
Equity multiple
0.09×
Total profit
$-50,685
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39564

Home prices YoY
-26.8%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
723
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,020 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,075/yr
Insurance
$83
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$424
Net cashflow
$-52

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,086
Max offer price $190,787
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $62 -5% $5 +0% $-52 +5% $-108 +10% $-165
Rent -10% $-211 -5% $-131 +0% $-52 +5% $28 +10% $108
Rate -1.0pp $49 -0.5pp $-1 base $-52 +0.5pp $-103 +1.0pp $-156

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
62 Tantallon Dr Ocean Springs, MS 4.0 2.0 1966 $2,450 $1.25 15d 1 0.60mi
1608 Hunt St Ocean Springs, MS 3.0 2.0 1550 $1,700 $1.10 45d 1 0.63mi
1632 Emerald Lakes Dr Ocean Springs, MS 3.0–4.0 2.0 1585 $1,975 $1.25 15d 1 0.72mi
8001 Westwood Cir Ocean Springs, MS 3.0–5.0 2.0–3.0 1996 $2,000 $1.00 15d 1 0.76mi
413 Sturnidae Cv Ocean Springs, MS 3.0 2.0 1676 $1,900 $1.13 46d 1 0.83mi
1105 Spruce St Ocean Springs, MS 3.0 2.0 1130 $1,550 $1.37 15d 1 0.91mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-30
    status $199,900 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-05-22
    listed $218,000 Active
  3. 2026-05-17
    status Active
  4. 2026-05-17
    historical
  5. 2026-04-24
    historical
  6. 2026-04-08
    status Active
  7. 2026-03-25
    historical Active Under Contract
  8. 2026-01-15
    price $218,000
  9. 2025-11-26
    listed $225,000 Active
  10. 2021-08-24
    soldstatus
  11. 2021-08-19
    soldstatus 529-char remark
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    BACK ON MARKET DUE TO BUYERS FINANCING DENIED AT LAST MINUTE! Move in ready home located in the Ocean Springs School District just minutes away from the High School, Highway and Interstate. Enjoy the split bedroom plan, high ceilings, double sided fireplace, kitchen with center island, stainless appliances, fenced yard and so much more. Fresh paint, new flooring, new fixtures and other recent upgrades. Call now and make this your new home. Due to recent experience, prequal letter or proof of funds is required on all offers.

  12. 2021-05-30
    listed $180,000 529-char remark
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    BACK ON MARKET DUE TO BUYERS FINANCING DENIED AT LAST MINUTE! Move in ready home located in the Ocean Springs School District just minutes away from the High School, Highway and Interstate. Enjoy the split bedroom plan, high ceilings, double sided fireplace, kitchen with center island, stainless appliances, fenced yard and so much more. Fresh paint, new flooring, new fixtures and other recent upgrades. Call now and make this your new home. Due to recent experience, prequal letter or proof of funds is required on all offers.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,075 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,579 · $132/mo
Expected delta
+$505/yr (+$42/mo · 46.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,245
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$1,075
− Insurance
−$6,118
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,940
− Management
−$1,940
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$3,840
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$922
After-tax cash flow
$303/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ocean Springs School District
NCES district ID
2803360
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$60,485
Composite
53.35/100
National rank
#1477
State rank
#1 of 130 in MS

Livability — Gulf Park Estates

Score
70/100
State rank
#43
US rank
#7955

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Jackson County · 82,196 people
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
43,240
Household income
$78,596
Rent vs Own
27.8% rent · 72.2% own
Severe rent burden
734.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
146,926 people
By 2030
148,442 · +1.0%
By 2040
149,631 · +1.8%
By 2050
148,723 · +1.2%
By 2075
147,845 · +0.6%
By 2100
144,510 · -1.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.77%
Current HPI
204.2244
Rent YoY
▲ 1.31%
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+21.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $218,000 MLSU
  • 2026-05-17 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-05-17 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2026-04-24 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2026-04-08 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-03-25 Contingent MLSU
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $218,000 MLSU
  • 2025-11-26 Listed $225,000 MLSU
  • 2021-08-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-08-19 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2021-05-30 Listed $180,000 MLSU

Property tax history

-3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,075 · +13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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