18200 36th Ave S #395 · SeaTac, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
BRAND NEW SINGLEWIDE FOR SALE at Bow Lake (55+) Be the first to live in this beautiful Brand New 2025 Fleetwood singlewide. 1 bedroom / 1 bathroom at 656 sq. ft. The home has been updated with gorgeous block skirting. Also featured: A new carport, W/ D hookups, stainless appliances, and a new exterior storage shed. Bow Lake is a wonderful community with amazing amenities including a pool and secured access! Come make it yours!
Key facts
- New carport
- Stainless appliances
- W d hookups
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $676 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 3.1% in SeaTac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#118 in WA, #2,417 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, cost of living F.
- Highline School District (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #200 of 291 in WA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 96 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 499 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 499 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.12%
- DSCR
- 2.52
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $62,755
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- 35.29%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3219 S 181st Pl #127 | 0.18mi | 1/1.0 | 670 (+2%) | 2mo | $84,900 | $127 | 86 |
| 3432 S 181st Pl #120 | 0.09mi | 1/1.0 | 690 (+5%) | 2mo | $50,500 | $73 | 86 |
| 18306 35th Ave S #365 | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 648 (-1%) | 8mo | $99,900 | $154 | 83 |
| 3407 S 180th Pl #61 | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 648 (-1%) | 10mo | $98,000 | $151 | 79 |
| 3404 S 182nd Pl #205 | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 720 (+10%) | 5mo | $19,500 | $27 | 71 |
| 18222 35th Ave S #361 | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 648 (-1%) | 22mo | $108,000 | $167 | 71 |
| 3442 S 181st St #89 | 0.07mi | 1/1.0 | 720 (+10%) | 12mo | $65,000 | $90 | 71 |
| 3215 S 181ST Pl | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 700 (+7%) | 6mo | $60,000 | $86 | 70 |
| 3261 S 182nd Pl #227 | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 648 (-1%) | 24mo | $110,000 | $170 | 70 |
| 18215 35th Pl S #371 | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 728 (+11%) | 11mo | $115,000 | $158 | 64 |
| 3220 S 183rd | 0.14mi | 1/1.0 | 720 (+10%) | 24mo | $42,000 | $58 | 57 |
| 18137 31st Ave S | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 726 (+11%) | 12mo | $30,000 | $41 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.04×
- Total profit
- $24,637
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.48×
- Total profit
- $58,889
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98188
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,598 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $676
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3508 S 180th St Seatac, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 793 | $1,450 | $1.83 | 13d | 4 | 0.21mi |
| 17840 32nd Ave S Seatac, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 757 | $1,425 | $1.88 | 13d | 3 | 0.22mi |
| 3425 S 176th St #128 Seatac, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 534 | $1,500 | $2.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3445 S 176th St #401 Seatac, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $1,450 | $2.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3445 S 176th St #401 Seatac, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $1,400 | $2.30 | 15d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3351 S 175th St Seatac, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 665 | $1,850 | $2.78 | 2d | 4 | 0.41mi |
| 3117 S 192nd St Seatac, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $1,722 | $2.55 | 2d | 2 | 0.71mi |
| 4410 S 173rd St Seatac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 723 | $2,100 | $2.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4807 S 172nd Pl Seatac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,550 | $3.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 16700 31st Ave S Seatac, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,498 | $2.00 | 44d | 2 | 0.96mi |
| 19707 International Blvd Seatac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 614 | $1,399 | $2.28 | 2d | 20 | 1.11mi |
| 19800 International Blvd Seatac, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 790 | $1,545 | $1.96 | 2d | 13 | 1.12mi |
| 19912 Military Rd S SeaTac, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 656 | $1,495 | $2.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2929 S 200th St Seatac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 703 | $2,288 | $3.25 | 16d | 12 | 1.26mi |
| 2929 S 200th St Seatac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 703 | $2,335 | $3.32 | 2d | 7 | 1.26mi |
| 2650 S 200th St Seatac, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 566 | $1,767 | $3.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 20036 30th Ave S Unit S8 SeaTac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,795 | $2.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 20036 30th Ave S Unit S9 SeaTac, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,795 | $2.39 | 11d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3445 S 160th St Seattle, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,550 | $2.12 | 3d | 5 | 1.36mi |
| 15805 40th Pl S Tukwila, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,499 | $2.14 | 2d | 2 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 499 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 498 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 497 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 496 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,900 Active 494 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 490 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 489 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 488 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $84,900 Active 485 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $84,900 Active 484 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 483 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 482 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 481 DOM
-
2025-11-04price $84,900
-
2025-02-04$115,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,181
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,274
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,534
- − Management
- −$1,534
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $7,188
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,725
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,387/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This brand new singlewide is move-in ready with updated appliances, new exterior features, and fresh paint. It offers a great value for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood — Improves aesthetics and value
- Both Install new lighting fixtures — Enhances ambiance and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood — Improves aesthetics and value ↑
- Both Install new lighting fixtures — Enhances ambiance and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Highline School District
- NCES district ID
- 5303540
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,697
- Composite
- 39.12/100
- National rank
- #8245
- State rank
- #200 of 291 in WA
Livability — SeaTac
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #118
- US rank
- #2417
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- SeaTac, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 62,839
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,311
- Household income
- $76,438
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1341.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.79)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 28% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 21% Asian 15% Two or more races 10% Pacific Islander 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 41% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 6% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -595.95%
- Current HPI
- 334.4203
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.68%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-26.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $84,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-04 Listed $115,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…