1019 Park St · Trenton, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity in Trenton! This single-family home offers approximately 1,170 sq. ft. , 2 bedrooms, and 1 bath in a convenient in-town location near schools, shopping, restaurants, and downtown Trenton. Easy access to S High St and Hwy 45 Bypass. Would make a good primary residence or investment property. Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information deemed important.
Key facts
- Near schools
- Near shopping
- Near restaurants
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level / 1 story
- Construction: Residential construction
- Exterior features: City street frontage; Public maintained road
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (forced air); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Masonry fireplace; Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $412 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($998 rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#408 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime D-.
- Trenton (town): math 24% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #99 of 139 in TN (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Gibson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gibson County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.47%
- DSCR
- 2.31
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $16,518
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.87×
- Total profit
- $48,130
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38382
- Home prices YoY
- -14.0%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $998 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $448/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $412
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $59,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-12$69,900 Active
-
2023-11-21soldstatus $1,431,000
-
2021-05-04soldstatus $642,000
-
2021-04-30soldstatus $35,000
-
2021-01-26$35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $448 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $448 · $37/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,974
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$448
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$958
- − Management
- −$958
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $4,213
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,011
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,931/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Trenton
- NCES district ID
- 4704100
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,930
- Composite
- 19.7/100
- National rank
- #8723
- State rank
- #99 of 139 in TN
Livability — Trenton
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #408
- US rank
- #25391
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Trenton, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,163
Population outlook (Gibson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,793 people
- By 2030
- 48,221 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 46,793 · -4.1%
- By 2050
- 44,909 · -8.0%
- By 2075
- 40,191 · -17.6%
- By 2100
- 33,574 · -31.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 17% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Portuguese 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gibson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.6% · R 75.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.2pp toward R · 2008: -28.8pp · 2024: -52.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.0 2020: R+47.0 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+32.1 2008: R+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.72%
- Current HPI
- 188.1546
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
||
| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+99.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $69,900 CWTAR
- 2023-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $1,431,000 Public Records
- 2021-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $642,000 Public Records
- 2021-04-30 Sold (MLS) $35,000 CWTAR
- 2021-01-26 Listed $35,000 CWTAR
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $448 · +56.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…