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1019 Park St
B- Composite 67.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

1019 Park St · Trenton, TN 38382
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,170 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1955 0.29 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity in Trenton! This single-family home offers approximately 1,170 sq. ft. , 2 bedrooms, and 1 bath in a convenient in-town location near schools, shopping, restaurants, and downtown Trenton. Easy access to S High St and Hwy 45 Bypass. Would make a good primary residence or investment property. Buyer/buyer's agent to verify all information deemed important.

Key facts

  • Near schools
  • Near shopping
  • Near restaurants

Tags

CONVENIENT IN-TOWN LOCATIONNEAR SCHOOLSNEAR SHOPPINGNEAR RESTAURANTSEASY ACCESS TO S HIGH STEASY ACCESS TO HWY 45 BYPASS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level / 1 story
  • Construction: Residential construction
  • Exterior features: City street frontage; Public maintained road

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (forced air); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Masonry fireplace; Total of 4 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $412 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($998 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#408 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime D-.
  • Trenton (town): math 24% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #99 of 139 in TN (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Gibson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gibson County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $58,103 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
14.54%
Cash-on-cash
29.47%
DSCR
2.31
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.9%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$16,518
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
31.8%
Equity multiple
3.87×
Total profit
$48,130
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 38382

Home prices YoY
-14.0%
Active inventory
82
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$998 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $448/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$412

Break-even live

Break-even rent $476
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $59,900 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    listed $69,900 Active
  16. 2023-11-21
    soldstatus $1,431,000
  17. 2021-05-04
    soldstatus $642,000
  18. 2021-04-30
    soldstatus $35,000
  19. 2021-01-26
    listed $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$448 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$448 · $37/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,974
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$448
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$958
− Management
−$958
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$4,213
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,011
After-tax cash flow
$3,931/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Trenton
NCES district ID
4704100
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$33,930
Composite
19.7/100
National rank
#8723
State rank
#99 of 139 in TN

Livability — Trenton

Score
51/100
State rank
#408
US rank
#25391

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Trenton, TN
Population (ZIP)
8,163

Population outlook (Gibson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,793 people
By 2030
48,221 · -1.2%
By 2040
46,793 · -4.1%
By 2050
44,909 · -8.0%
By 2075
40,191 · -17.6%
By 2100
33,574 · -31.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 17% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Portuguese 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gibson

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.6% · R 75.5%
2008→2024 swing
-23.2pp toward R · 2008: -28.8pp · 2024: -52.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.0 2020: R+47.0 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+32.1 2008: R+28.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.72%
Current HPI
188.1546
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+99.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $69,900 CWTAR
  • 2023-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $1,431,000 Public Records
  • 2021-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $642,000 Public Records
  • 2021-04-30 Sold (MLS) $35,000 CWTAR
  • 2021-01-26 Listed $35,000 CWTAR

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $448 · +56.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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