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169 Keefer Dr
C Composite 55.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.7/30.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.9/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

169 Keefer Dr · Monroeville, PA 15235
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 984 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1956 6,499 sqft lot Est $125k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

ALL BRICK RANCH IN MOVE-IN COND!REAR COVERED/ENC. PORCH!LEVEL/TERRACED YARD!CUL- DE-SAC!HOME WARRANTY!

Key facts

  • Screened in porch
  • Large picture window
  • Eat in kitchen

Tags

RANCH STYLE HOMELARGE PICTURE WINDOWEAT IN KITCHENSCREENED IN PORCHFINISHED LOWER LEVELLARGE BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with built-in features and garage door opener
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Resale property; Brick construction
  • Construction: Brick exterior; Has home warranty
  • Exterior features: Public transportation access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove; Some gas appliances
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level (12 x 8); Bedroom on main level (12 x 11)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Window treatments throughout; Interior entry basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $281 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#358 in PA, #3,140 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Penn Hills SD (suburban): math 13% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #496 of 539 in PA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.6% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $58k; list at $135k implies a 131% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.79%
Cash-on-cash
8.92%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$124,968
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
131 S Joslyn Dr 0.11mi 3/1.0 988 (+0%) 2mo $88,000 $89 93
115 Keefer Dr 0.14mi 3/1.0 936 (-5%) 6mo $70,000 $75 80
388 Collins Dr 0.44mi 3/1.5 972 (-1%) 3mo $155,000 $159 73
204 Keefer Dr 0.06mi 2/1.5 (-1) 936 (-5%) 12mo $100,000 $107 72
951 Universal Rd 0.44mi 3/1.0 941 (-4%) 4mo $105,000 $112 69
27 N Joslyn 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 934 (-5%) 13mo $125,000 $134 60
308 Anthon Dr 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 950 (-4%) 11mo $110,000 $116 56
230 Idlewood Rd 0.52mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,062 (+8%) 2mo $135,000 $127 54
220 Idlewood Rd 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,058 (+8%) 13mo $146,000 $138 52
186 Mckenzie Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,050 (+7%) 10mo $235,000 $224 49
529 Guylyn Dr 0.52mi 3/1.5 875 (-11%) 13mo $135,000 $154 45
105 Clay Dr 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,080 (+10%) 7mo $92,500 $86 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.3%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$3,527
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$59,978
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15235

Home prices YoY
-34.1%
Rents YoY
7.6%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,533 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$166 /mo · $1,992/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$322
Net cashflow
$281

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,177
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
279 Hazel Rd Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,732 $1.60 43d 1 0.50mi
154 Collins Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 986 $1,295 $1.31 2d 1 0.62mi
1160 Jefferson Rd Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1066 $1,295 $1.21 14d 1 0.88mi
261 Universal Rd Unit 261UNIV Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,225 $1.11 3d 1 0.92mi
127 Stowe Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 948 $1,495 $1.58 21d 1 0.94mi
325 Poe Dr Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,599 $1.51 43d 1 0.94mi
213 Tilford Rd Pittsburgh, PA 4.0 1.5 1000 $1,640 $1.64 43d 1 0.98mi
3910 Old William Penn Hwy Penn Hills, PA 2.0 1.0–2.0 750 $1,175 $1.57 2d 3 1.35mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-23
    listed $135,000 Active
  2. 2001-03-02
    soldstatus $58,500
  3. 2001-02-28
    soldstatus $58,500 102-char remark
    Show marketing remark (102 chars)

    ALL BRICK RANCH IN MOVE-IN COND!REAR COVERED/ENC. PORCH!LEVEL/TERRACED YARD!CUL- DE-SAC!HOME WARRANTY!

  4. 2001-01-22
    listed $64,900 102-char remark
    Show marketing remark (102 chars)

    ALL BRICK RANCH IN MOVE-IN COND!REAR COVERED/ENC. PORCH!LEVEL/TERRACED YARD!CUL- DE-SAC!HOME WARRANTY!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,992 · $166/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,063 · $172/mo
Expected delta
+$70/yr (+$6/mo · 3.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,400
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$1,992
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,472
− Management
−$1,472
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$1,300
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$312
After-tax cash flow
$3,062/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Penn Hills SD
NCES district ID
4218590
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$47,794
Composite
16.42/100
National rank
#9192
State rank
#496 of 539 in PA

Livability — Monroeville

Score
77/100
State rank
#358
US rank
#3140

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
City population
28,332
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
33,951
Household income
$67,240
Rent vs Own
25.2% rent · 74.8% own
Severe rent burden
955.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 40% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -121.68%
Current HPI
235.4861
Rent YoY
▲ 7.63%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+108.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $135,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2001-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $58,500 Public Records
  • 2001-02-28 Sold (MLS) $58,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2001-01-22 Listed $64,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,992 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…