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8574 Bumble Bee Way
C- Composite 50.38
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.8/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$219,900

8574 Bumble Bee Way · Gouldsboro, PA 18466
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,136 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 123 Days on market
Built 1986 10,018 sqft lot $194/sqft · 9% above area Est $243k · 10% under $149/mo HOA · 8% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 8574 Bumble Bee Way, a contemporary 4 bedroom home nestled in the Pocono County Place community. This inviting property offers a practical layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. The main entrance opens into a bright dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a welcoming space for meals and gatherings. Just off the dining area is the living room, providing a comfortable spot to relax, with convenient access leading directly to the garage. With generous bedroom size, and a thoughtfully connected main living area, this home offers flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. Located in a peaceful community setting, this is a perfect place to call home!

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-35 ($-418/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $214k (2.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (11.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $194k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#903 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 355 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $193,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.10%
Cash-on-cash
-0.68%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$243,423
List price
$219,900
Delta
-9.66%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8191 Elk Ct 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,134 (-0%) 1mo $245,000 $216 83
8229 Sunset Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,144 (+1%) 2mo $190,000 $166 83
8208 Sunset Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,176 (+4%) 8mo $240,000 $204 77
1094 Country Place Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,140 (+0%) 2mo $297,000 $261 73
8934 Deerfield Rd 0.28mi 3/1.5 1,100 (-3%) 10mo $160,000 $145 69
8237 Natures Dr 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,260 (+11%) 6mo $237,500 $188 66
954 Country Place Dr 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-8%) 4mo $205,000 $197 65
8540 Hillcrest Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,240 (+9%) 9mo $270,000 $218 56
7515 Crestview Dr 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,250 (+10%) 3mo $300,000 $240 55
126 Feather Ln 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,232 (+8%) 6mo $130,000 $106 54
1143 Country Place Dr 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,080 (-5%) 6mo $150,000 $139 49
7696 Fawn Ln 0.61mi 3/1.5 1,008 (-11%) 2mo $235,000 $233 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.0%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$16,935
Equity at exit
$91,010
10-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$72,958
Equity at exit
$134,422

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18466

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
355
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,942 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax from tax record
$175 /mo · $2,103/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$149
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$408
Net cashflow
$-35

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,986
Max offer price $213,742
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,975
Closing costs
$6,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
954 Country Place Dr Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 15d 1 0.23mi
954 Country Place Dr Unit H623 Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,900 $1.83 43d 1 0.23mi
7067 Vista Dr Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.0 1436 $2,250 $1.57 43d 1 0.61mi
7694 Fawn Ln Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.0 1128 $1,800 $1.60 43d 1 0.64mi
9026 Idlewild Dr Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.0 1068 $2,300 $2.15 13d 1 1.13mi
5215 Sundew Ter Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,750 $1.46 43d 1 1.26mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$149 · $1,788/yr

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    status $219,900 Pending 123 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $219,900 Active 123 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,900 Active 121 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,900 Active 120 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $219,900 Active 115 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $219,900 Active 114 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,900 Active 113 DOM
  8. 2026-05-30
    days on market $219,900 Active 112 DOM
  9. 2026-05-15
    price $219,900 702-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Welcome to 8574 Bumble Bee Way, a contemporary 4 bedroom home nestled in the Pocono County Place community. This inviting property offers a practical layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. The main entrance opens into a bright dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a welcoming space for meals and gatherings. Just off the dining area is the living room, providing a comfortable spot to relax, with convenient access leading directly to the garage. With generous bedroom size, and a thoughtfully connected main living area, this home offers flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. Located in a peaceful community setting, this is a perfect place to call home!

  10. 2026-05-15
    price $219,900 702-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Welcome to 8574 Bumble Bee Way, a contemporary 4 bedroom home nestled in the Pocono County Place community. This inviting property offers a practical layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. The main entrance opens into a bright dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a welcoming space for meals and gatherings. Just off the dining area is the living room, providing a comfortable spot to relax, with convenient access leading directly to the garage. With generous bedroom size, and a thoughtfully connected main living area, this home offers flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. Located in a peaceful community setting, this is a perfect place to call home!

  11. 2026-05-11
    status Active 702-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Welcome to 8574 Bumble Bee Way, a contemporary 4 bedroom home nestled in the Pocono County Place community. This inviting property offers a practical layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. The main entrance opens into a bright dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a welcoming space for meals and gatherings. Just off the dining area is the living room, providing a comfortable spot to relax, with convenient access leading directly to the garage. With generous bedroom size, and a thoughtfully connected main living area, this home offers flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. Located in a peaceful community setting, this is a perfect place to call home!

  12. 2026-04-04
    price $229,900 702-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Welcome to 8574 Bumble Bee Way, a contemporary 4 bedroom home nestled in the Pocono County Place community. This inviting property offers a practical layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. The main entrance opens into a bright dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a welcoming space for meals and gatherings. Just off the dining area is the living room, providing a comfortable spot to relax, with convenient access leading directly to the garage. With generous bedroom size, and a thoughtfully connected main living area, this home offers flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. Located in a peaceful community setting, this is a perfect place to call home!

  13. 2026-04-04
    price $229,900 702-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Welcome to 8574 Bumble Bee Way, a contemporary 4 bedroom home nestled in the Pocono County Place community. This inviting property offers a practical layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. The main entrance opens into a bright dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a welcoming space for meals and gatherings. Just off the dining area is the living room, providing a comfortable spot to relax, with convenient access leading directly to the garage. With generous bedroom size, and a thoughtfully connected main living area, this home offers flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. Located in a peaceful community setting, this is a perfect place to call home!

  14. 2026-03-01
    price $239,900 702-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Welcome to 8574 Bumble Bee Way, a contemporary 4 bedroom home nestled in the Pocono County Place community. This inviting property offers a practical layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. The main entrance opens into a bright dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a welcoming space for meals and gatherings. Just off the dining area is the living room, providing a comfortable spot to relax, with convenient access leading directly to the garage. With generous bedroom size, and a thoughtfully connected main living area, this home offers flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. Located in a peaceful community setting, this is a perfect place to call home!

  15. 2026-02-28
    price $239,900 702-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Welcome to 8574 Bumble Bee Way, a contemporary 4 bedroom home nestled in the Pocono County Place community. This inviting property offers a practical layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. The main entrance opens into a bright dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a welcoming space for meals and gatherings. Just off the dining area is the living room, providing a comfortable spot to relax, with convenient access leading directly to the garage. With generous bedroom size, and a thoughtfully connected main living area, this home offers flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. Located in a peaceful community setting, this is a perfect place to call home!

  16. 2026-02-09
    listed $249,900 Active 702-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Welcome to 8574 Bumble Bee Way, a contemporary 4 bedroom home nestled in the Pocono County Place community. This inviting property offers a practical layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. The main entrance opens into a bright dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a welcoming space for meals and gatherings. Just off the dining area is the living room, providing a comfortable spot to relax, with convenient access leading directly to the garage. With generous bedroom size, and a thoughtfully connected main living area, this home offers flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. Located in a peaceful community setting, this is a perfect place to call home!

  17. 2026-02-08
    listed $249,900 Active 702-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Welcome to 8574 Bumble Bee Way, a contemporary 4 bedroom home nestled in the Pocono County Place community. This inviting property offers a practical layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. The main entrance opens into a bright dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a welcoming space for meals and gatherings. Just off the dining area is the living room, providing a comfortable spot to relax, with convenient access leading directly to the garage. With generous bedroom size, and a thoughtfully connected main living area, this home offers flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. Located in a peaceful community setting, this is a perfect place to call home!

  18. 2023-10-25
    soldstatus $240,000
  19. 2022-10-14
    historical
  20. 2020-12-07
    listed $179,900
  21. 2019-06-11
    listed $142,388
  22. 2017-03-08
    soldstatus $25,000
  23. 2015-09-04
    listed $29,900
  24. 2014-12-24
    listed $45,900
  25. 2007-04-20
    soldstatus $165,000
  26. 2007-04-18
    soldstatus $165,000
  27. 2007-02-12
    listed $159,900
  28. 2006-06-05
    listed $144,900
  29. 2004-12-30
    soldstatus $90,500
  30. 2004-09-13
    listed $89,775
  31. 1985-07-17
    soldstatus $8,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,103 · $175/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,789 · $232/mo
Expected delta
+$686/yr (+$57/mo · 32.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,304
− Mortgage interest
−$12,318
− Property taxes
−$2,103
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,864
− Management
−$1,864
− HOA
−$1,788
− Depreciation
−$6,397
Taxable loss
−$4,130
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$991
After-tax cash flow
$573/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Gouldsboro

Score
68/100
State rank
#903
US rank
#9638

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
17,997

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.36%
Current HPI
202.4134
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2398.9% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $219,900 PWMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $219,900 PMAR
  • 2026-05-11 Relisted PWMLS
  • 2026-04-04 Price Changed $229,900 PWMLS
  • 2026-04-04 Price Changed $229,900 PMAR
  • 2026-03-01 Price Changed $239,900 PWMLS
  • 2026-02-28 Price Changed $239,900 PMAR
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $249,900 PWMLS
  • 2026-02-08 Listed $249,900 PMAR
  • 2023-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
  • 2022-10-14 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2020-12-07 Listed $179,900 PMAR
  • 2019-06-11 Listed $142,388 GLVRMLS
  • 2017-03-08 Sold (MLS) $25,000 PMAR
  • 2015-09-04 Listed $29,900 PMAR
  • 2014-12-24 Listed $45,900 PMAR
  • 2007-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
  • 2007-04-18 Sold (MLS) $165,000 PMAR
  • 2007-02-12 Listed $159,900 PMAR
  • 2006-06-05 Listed $144,900 PMAR
  • 2004-12-30 Sold (MLS) $90,500 PMAR
  • 2004-09-13 Listed $89,775 PMAR
  • 1985-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $8,800 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,103 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…