8574 Bumble Bee Way · Gouldsboro, PA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.4/30.0
- ARV discount +11.8/15.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 8574 Bumble Bee Way, a contemporary 4 bedroom home nestled in the Pocono County Place community. This inviting property offers a practical layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. The main entrance opens into a bright dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a welcoming space for meals and gatherings. Just off the dining area is the living room, providing a comfortable spot to relax, with convenient access leading directly to the garage. With generous bedroom size, and a thoughtfully connected main living area, this home offers flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. Located in a peaceful community setting, this is a perfect place to call home!
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Garage
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-35 ($-418/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $214k (2.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (11.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $194k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#903 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 355 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.68%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $243,423
- List price
- $219,900
- Delta
- -9.66%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8191 Elk Ct | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,134 (-0%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $216 | 83 |
| 8229 Sunset Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (+1%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $166 | 83 |
| 8208 Sunset Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (+4%) | 8mo | $240,000 | $204 | 77 |
| 1094 Country Place Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (+0%) | 2mo | $297,000 | $261 | 73 |
| 8934 Deerfield Rd | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (-3%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $145 | 69 |
| 8237 Natures Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (+11%) | 6mo | $237,500 | $188 | 66 |
| 954 Country Place Dr | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-8%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $197 | 65 |
| 8540 Hillcrest Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,240 (+9%) | 9mo | $270,000 | $218 | 56 |
| 7515 Crestview Dr | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,250 (+10%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $240 | 55 |
| 126 Feather Ln | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (+8%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $106 | 54 |
| 1143 Country Place Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (-5%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $139 | 49 |
| 7696 Fawn Ln | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,008 (-11%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $233 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $16,935
- Equity at exit
- $91,010
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.18×
- Total profit
- $72,958
- Equity at exit
- $134,422
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18466
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 355
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,942 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$175 /mo · $2,103/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$149
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$408
- Net cashflow
- $-35
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 954 Country Place Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 15d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 954 Country Place Dr Unit H623 Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,900 | $1.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 7067 Vista Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $2,250 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 7694 Fawn Ln Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $1,800 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 9026 Idlewild Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $2,300 | $2.15 | 13d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5215 Sundew Ter Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $149 · $1,788/yr
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-13status $219,900 Pending 123 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $219,900 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $219,900 Active 121 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $219,900 Active 120 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $219,900 Active 115 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $219,900 Active 114 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $219,900 Active 113 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $219,900 Active 112 DOM
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2026-05-15price $219,900 702-char remark
Show marketing remark (702 chars)
Welcome to 8574 Bumble Bee Way, a contemporary 4 bedroom home nestled in the Pocono County Place community. This inviting property offers a practical layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. The main entrance opens into a bright dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a welcoming space for meals and gatherings. Just off the dining area is the living room, providing a comfortable spot to relax, with convenient access leading directly to the garage. With generous bedroom size, and a thoughtfully connected main living area, this home offers flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. Located in a peaceful community setting, this is a perfect place to call home!
-
2026-05-15price $219,900 702-char remark
Show marketing remark (702 chars)
Welcome to 8574 Bumble Bee Way, a contemporary 4 bedroom home nestled in the Pocono County Place community. This inviting property offers a practical layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. The main entrance opens into a bright dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a welcoming space for meals and gatherings. Just off the dining area is the living room, providing a comfortable spot to relax, with convenient access leading directly to the garage. With generous bedroom size, and a thoughtfully connected main living area, this home offers flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. Located in a peaceful community setting, this is a perfect place to call home!
-
2026-05-11status Active 702-char remark
Show marketing remark (702 chars)
Welcome to 8574 Bumble Bee Way, a contemporary 4 bedroom home nestled in the Pocono County Place community. This inviting property offers a practical layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. The main entrance opens into a bright dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a welcoming space for meals and gatherings. Just off the dining area is the living room, providing a comfortable spot to relax, with convenient access leading directly to the garage. With generous bedroom size, and a thoughtfully connected main living area, this home offers flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. Located in a peaceful community setting, this is a perfect place to call home!
-
2026-04-04price $229,900 702-char remark
Show marketing remark (702 chars)
Welcome to 8574 Bumble Bee Way, a contemporary 4 bedroom home nestled in the Pocono County Place community. This inviting property offers a practical layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. The main entrance opens into a bright dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a welcoming space for meals and gatherings. Just off the dining area is the living room, providing a comfortable spot to relax, with convenient access leading directly to the garage. With generous bedroom size, and a thoughtfully connected main living area, this home offers flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. Located in a peaceful community setting, this is a perfect place to call home!
-
2026-04-04price $229,900 702-char remark
Show marketing remark (702 chars)
Welcome to 8574 Bumble Bee Way, a contemporary 4 bedroom home nestled in the Pocono County Place community. This inviting property offers a practical layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. The main entrance opens into a bright dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a welcoming space for meals and gatherings. Just off the dining area is the living room, providing a comfortable spot to relax, with convenient access leading directly to the garage. With generous bedroom size, and a thoughtfully connected main living area, this home offers flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. Located in a peaceful community setting, this is a perfect place to call home!
-
2026-03-01price $239,900 702-char remark
Show marketing remark (702 chars)
Welcome to 8574 Bumble Bee Way, a contemporary 4 bedroom home nestled in the Pocono County Place community. This inviting property offers a practical layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. The main entrance opens into a bright dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a welcoming space for meals and gatherings. Just off the dining area is the living room, providing a comfortable spot to relax, with convenient access leading directly to the garage. With generous bedroom size, and a thoughtfully connected main living area, this home offers flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. Located in a peaceful community setting, this is a perfect place to call home!
-
2026-02-28price $239,900 702-char remark
Show marketing remark (702 chars)
Welcome to 8574 Bumble Bee Way, a contemporary 4 bedroom home nestled in the Pocono County Place community. This inviting property offers a practical layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. The main entrance opens into a bright dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a welcoming space for meals and gatherings. Just off the dining area is the living room, providing a comfortable spot to relax, with convenient access leading directly to the garage. With generous bedroom size, and a thoughtfully connected main living area, this home offers flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. Located in a peaceful community setting, this is a perfect place to call home!
-
2026-02-09$249,900 Active 702-char remark
Show marketing remark (702 chars)
Welcome to 8574 Bumble Bee Way, a contemporary 4 bedroom home nestled in the Pocono County Place community. This inviting property offers a practical layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. The main entrance opens into a bright dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a welcoming space for meals and gatherings. Just off the dining area is the living room, providing a comfortable spot to relax, with convenient access leading directly to the garage. With generous bedroom size, and a thoughtfully connected main living area, this home offers flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. Located in a peaceful community setting, this is a perfect place to call home!
-
2026-02-08$249,900 Active 702-char remark
Show marketing remark (702 chars)
Welcome to 8574 Bumble Bee Way, a contemporary 4 bedroom home nestled in the Pocono County Place community. This inviting property offers a practical layout designed for both everyday living and entertaining. The main entrance opens into a bright dining area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a welcoming space for meals and gatherings. Just off the dining area is the living room, providing a comfortable spot to relax, with convenient access leading directly to the garage. With generous bedroom size, and a thoughtfully connected main living area, this home offers flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. Located in a peaceful community setting, this is a perfect place to call home!
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2023-10-25soldstatus $240,000
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2022-10-14historical
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2020-12-07$179,900
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2019-06-11$142,388
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2017-03-08soldstatus $25,000
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2015-09-04$29,900
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2014-12-24$45,900
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2007-04-20soldstatus $165,000
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2007-04-18soldstatus $165,000
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2007-02-12$159,900
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2006-06-05$144,900
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2004-12-30soldstatus $90,500
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2004-09-13$89,775
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1985-07-17soldstatus $8,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,103 · $175/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,789 · $232/mo
- Expected delta
- +$686/yr (+$57/mo · 32.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,304
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$2,103
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,864
- − Management
- −$1,864
- − HOA
- −$1,788
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable loss
- −$4,130
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$991
- After-tax cash flow
- $573/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Gouldsboro
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #903
- US rank
- #9638
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,997
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.36%
- Current HPI
- 202.4134
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+2398.9% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $219,900 PWMLS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $219,900 PMAR
- 2026-05-11 Relisted — PWMLS
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $229,900 PWMLS
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $229,900 PMAR
- 2026-03-01 Price Changed $239,900 PWMLS
- 2026-02-28 Price Changed $239,900 PMAR
- 2026-02-09 Listed $249,900 PWMLS
- 2026-02-08 Listed $249,900 PMAR
- 2023-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
- 2022-10-14 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2020-12-07 Listed $179,900 PMAR
- 2019-06-11 Listed $142,388 GLVRMLS
- 2017-03-08 Sold (MLS) $25,000 PMAR
- 2015-09-04 Listed $29,900 PMAR
- 2014-12-24 Listed $45,900 PMAR
- 2007-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2007-04-18 Sold (MLS) $165,000 PMAR
- 2007-02-12 Listed $159,900 PMAR
- 2006-06-05 Listed $144,900 PMAR
- 2004-12-30 Sold (MLS) $90,500 PMAR
- 2004-09-13 Listed $89,775 PMAR
- 1985-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $8,800 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.6%/yrLatest (2026): $2,103 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…