103 Westerbrook Dr · Meridianville, AL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.4/30.0
- ARV discount +6.3/15.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.6/10.0
- 1% rule +0.9/10.0
$295,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy and modern 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with upgrades throughout. Open-concept kitchen with a large island flows into a spacious living area featuring a built-in Bluetooth sound system. Oversized two-car garage includes its own AC and an insulated door perfect for a gym, game room, or workshop. Isolated primary suite offers a well-designed bath and walk-in closet. Additional features include a programmable sprinkler system. Don’t miss this one!
Key facts
- Well-designed bath
- Open-concept kitchen
- Large island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $295k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-374 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $229k (22.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (40.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $175k (40.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.5% in Meridianville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#118 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 319 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.59% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.44%
- DSCR
- 0.76
- GRM
- 14.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $287,326
- List price
- $295,000
- Delta
- 2.67%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139 Westerbrook Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,527 (-1%) | 11mo | $262,625 | $172 | 76 |
| 123 Westerbrook Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,639 (+6%) | 14mo | $275,000 | $168 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.65×
- Total profit
- $136,683
- Equity at exit
- $265,759
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.10×
- Total profit
- $420,965
- Equity at exit
- $573,120
Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35773
- Home prices YoY
- 28.8%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 14.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,752 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,547
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $860/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$17
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$368
- Net cashflow
- $-374
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-207 | -5% $-291 | +0% $-374 | +5% $-458 | +10% $-541 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-513 | -5% $-443 | +0% $-374 | +5% $-305 | +10% $-236 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-226 | -0.5pp $-299 | base $-374 | +0.5pp $-451 | +1.0pp $-528 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,750
- Closing costs
- $8,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109 Cottondale Rd Toney, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,101 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 217 Buddy Tate Ln Meridianville, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,400 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 118 Ocean Springs Ave Toney, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1748 | $1,850 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 136 Ocean Springs Ave Toney, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1749 | $1,775 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 122 Fargo Dr Meridianville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1731 | $1,750 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $17 · $204/yr
- Likely covers
- gym
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $295,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $295,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $295,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $295,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $295,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $295,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $295,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $295,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-04-13$305,000 Active 453-char remark
Show marketing remark (453 chars)
Cozy and modern 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with upgrades throughout. Open-concept kitchen with a large island flows into a spacious living area featuring a built-in Bluetooth sound system. Oversized two-car garage includes its own AC and an insulated door perfect for a gym, game room, or workshop. Isolated primary suite offers a well-designed bath and walk-in closet. Additional features include a programmable sprinkler system. Don’t miss this one!
-
2023-08-01soldstatus $287,500
-
2023-07-28soldstatus $287,500 Sold 678-char remark
Show marketing remark (678 chars)
Welcome to this cozy & modern 3 bed/2 bath home with numerous extras. The open-concept kitchen boasts a large island, perfect for hosting and culinary adventures. The living room is spacious and inviting, with the convenience of a built-in Bluetooth sound system throughout the entire home. Enjoy the versatility of the oversized, two-car garage, featuring separate air conditioning, an insulated door, and endless possibilities for use as a game room, gym and more. The isolated Master Suite offers a beautiful bathroom layout and a generous walk-in closet. The property also features a programmable sprinkler irrigation system. Don't miss out on this exceptional property!
-
2023-06-21historical Contingent 678-char remark
Show marketing remark (678 chars)
Welcome to this cozy & modern 3 bed/2 bath home with numerous extras. The open-concept kitchen boasts a large island, perfect for hosting and culinary adventures. The living room is spacious and inviting, with the convenience of a built-in Bluetooth sound system throughout the entire home. Enjoy the versatility of the oversized, two-car garage, featuring separate air conditioning, an insulated door, and endless possibilities for use as a game room, gym and more. The isolated Master Suite offers a beautiful bathroom layout and a generous walk-in closet. The property also features a programmable sprinkler irrigation system. Don't miss out on this exceptional property!
-
2023-06-03$287,500 Active 678-char remark
Show marketing remark (678 chars)
Welcome to this cozy & modern 3 bed/2 bath home with numerous extras. The open-concept kitchen boasts a large island, perfect for hosting and culinary adventures. The living room is spacious and inviting, with the convenience of a built-in Bluetooth sound system throughout the entire home. Enjoy the versatility of the oversized, two-car garage, featuring separate air conditioning, an insulated door, and endless possibilities for use as a game room, gym and more. The isolated Master Suite offers a beautiful bathroom layout and a generous walk-in closet. The property also features a programmable sprinkler irrigation system. Don't miss out on this exceptional property!
-
2021-02-24status Pending
-
2021-02-24soldstatus $231,740 Sold
-
2021-02-23status Pending
-
2021-02-10status Pending
-
2021-01-26status Pending
-
2020-11-07price $231,740
-
2020-10-02$246,740 Active
-
2020-01-03soldstatus $166,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $860 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,210 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- +$350/yr (+$29/mo · 40.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,028
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,525
- − Property taxes
- −$860
- − Insurance
- −$1,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,682
- − Management
- −$1,682
- − HOA
- −$204
- − Depreciation
- −$8,582
- Taxable loss
- −$9,982
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,396
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,095/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County
- NCES district ID
- 0102220
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,058
- Composite
- 37.15/100
- National rank
- #4483
- State rank
- #19 of 129 in AL
Livability — Meridianville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #118
- US rank
- #12516
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 14,103
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,977
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 149.14%
- Current HPI
- 666.8602
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+83.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $305,000 VMLS
- 2023-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $287,500 Public Records
- 2023-07-28 Sold (MLS) $287,500 VMLS
- 2023-06-21 Contingent — VMLS
- 2023-06-03 Listed $287,500 VMLS
- 2021-02-24 Pending — VMLS
- 2021-02-24 Sold (MLS) $231,740 VMLS
- 2021-02-23 Pending — VMLS
- 2021-02-10 Pending — VMLS
- 2021-01-26 Pending — VMLS
- 2020-11-07 Price Changed $231,740 VMLS
- 2020-10-02 Listed $246,740 VMLS
- 2020-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $166,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2024): $860 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…