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103 Westerbrook Dr
D- Composite 38.23
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.3/15.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.9/10.0

$295,000

103 Westerbrook Dr · Meridianville, AL 35773
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,544 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 58 Days on market
Built 2019 8,276 sqft lot $191/sqft · 8% above area Est $287k · at est. $17/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cozy and modern 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with upgrades throughout. Open-concept kitchen with a large island flows into a spacious living area featuring a built-in Bluetooth sound system. Oversized two-car garage includes its own AC and an insulated door perfect for a gym, game room, or workshop. Isolated primary suite offers a well-designed bath and walk-in closet. Additional features include a programmable sprinkler system. Don’t miss this one!

Key facts

  • Well-designed bath
  • Open-concept kitchen
  • Large island

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT KITCHENLARGE ISLANDOVERSIZED TWO-CAR GARAGEINSULATED DOORISOLATED PRIMARY SUITEWELL-DESIGNED BATH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $295k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-374 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $229k (22.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (40.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $175k (40.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.5% in Meridianville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#118 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 319 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $175,232 (40.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.59%
Cap rate
4.77%
Cash-on-cash
-5.44%
DSCR
0.76
GRM
14.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$287,326
List price
$295,000
Delta
2.67%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
139 Westerbrook Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,527 (-1%) 11mo $262,625 $172 76
123 Westerbrook Dr 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,639 (+6%) 14mo $275,000 $168 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
2.65×
Total profit
$136,683
Equity at exit
$265,759
10-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
6.10×
Total profit
$420,965
Equity at exit
$573,120

Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35773

Home prices YoY
28.8%
Active inventory
319
Price-to-rent
14.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,752 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,547
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $860/yr
Insurance
$123
HOA
$17
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$368
Net cashflow
$-374

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,226
Max offer price $228,888
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-207 -5% $-291 +0% $-374 +5% $-458 +10% $-541
Rent -10% $-513 -5% $-443 +0% $-374 +5% $-305 +10% $-236
Rate -1.0pp $-226 -0.5pp $-299 base $-374 +0.5pp $-451 +1.0pp $-528

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$73,750
Closing costs
$8,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
109 Cottondale Rd Toney, AL 3.0 2.0 1280 $1,101 $0.86 44d 1 0.63mi
217 Buddy Tate Ln Meridianville, AL 2.0 2.0 1800 $2,400 $1.33 44d 1 0.73mi
118 Ocean Springs Ave Toney, AL 4.0 2.0 1748 $1,850 $1.06 44d 1 1.09mi
136 Ocean Springs Ave Toney, AL 4.0 2.0 1749 $1,775 $1.01 44d 1 1.19mi
122 Fargo Dr Meridianville, AL 3.0 2.0 1731 $1,750 $1.01 44d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$17 · $204/yr
Likely covers
gym

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $295,000 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $295,000 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $295,000 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $295,000 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $295,000 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $295,000 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $295,000 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-05-30
    days on market $295,000 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-04-13
    listed $305,000 Active 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    Cozy and modern 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with upgrades throughout. Open-concept kitchen with a large island flows into a spacious living area featuring a built-in Bluetooth sound system. Oversized two-car garage includes its own AC and an insulated door perfect for a gym, game room, or workshop. Isolated primary suite offers a well-designed bath and walk-in closet. Additional features include a programmable sprinkler system. Don’t miss this one!

  10. 2023-08-01
    soldstatus $287,500
  11. 2023-07-28
    soldstatus $287,500 Sold 678-char remark
    Show marketing remark (678 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy & modern 3 bed/2 bath home with numerous extras. The open-concept kitchen boasts a large island, perfect for hosting and culinary adventures. The living room is spacious and inviting, with the convenience of a built-in Bluetooth sound system throughout the entire home. Enjoy the versatility of the oversized, two-car garage, featuring separate air conditioning, an insulated door, and endless possibilities for use as a game room, gym and more. The isolated Master Suite offers a beautiful bathroom layout and a generous walk-in closet. The property also features a programmable sprinkler irrigation system. Don't miss out on this exceptional property!

  12. 2023-06-21
    historical Contingent 678-char remark
    Show marketing remark (678 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy & modern 3 bed/2 bath home with numerous extras. The open-concept kitchen boasts a large island, perfect for hosting and culinary adventures. The living room is spacious and inviting, with the convenience of a built-in Bluetooth sound system throughout the entire home. Enjoy the versatility of the oversized, two-car garage, featuring separate air conditioning, an insulated door, and endless possibilities for use as a game room, gym and more. The isolated Master Suite offers a beautiful bathroom layout and a generous walk-in closet. The property also features a programmable sprinkler irrigation system. Don't miss out on this exceptional property!

  13. 2023-06-03
    listed $287,500 Active 678-char remark
    Show marketing remark (678 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy & modern 3 bed/2 bath home with numerous extras. The open-concept kitchen boasts a large island, perfect for hosting and culinary adventures. The living room is spacious and inviting, with the convenience of a built-in Bluetooth sound system throughout the entire home. Enjoy the versatility of the oversized, two-car garage, featuring separate air conditioning, an insulated door, and endless possibilities for use as a game room, gym and more. The isolated Master Suite offers a beautiful bathroom layout and a generous walk-in closet. The property also features a programmable sprinkler irrigation system. Don't miss out on this exceptional property!

  14. 2021-02-24
    status Pending
  15. 2021-02-24
    soldstatus $231,740 Sold
  16. 2021-02-23
    status Pending
  17. 2021-02-10
    status Pending
  18. 2021-01-26
    status Pending
  19. 2020-11-07
    price $231,740
  20. 2020-10-02
    listed $246,740 Active
  21. 2020-01-03
    soldstatus $166,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$860 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,210 · $101/mo
Expected delta
+$350/yr (+$29/mo · 40.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,028
− Mortgage interest
−$16,525
− Property taxes
−$860
− Insurance
−$1,475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,682
− Management
−$1,682
− HOA
−$204
− Depreciation
−$8,582
Taxable loss
−$9,982
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,396
After-tax cash flow
$-2,095/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
0102220
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$66,058
Composite
37.15/100
National rank
#4483
State rank
#19 of 129 in AL

Livability — Meridianville

Score
65/100
State rank
#118
US rank
#12516

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
14,103
Population (ZIP)
13,977

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 149.14%
Current HPI
666.8602
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+83.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $305,000 VMLS
  • 2023-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $287,500 Public Records
  • 2023-07-28 Sold (MLS) $287,500 VMLS
  • 2023-06-21 Contingent VMLS
  • 2023-06-03 Listed $287,500 VMLS
  • 2021-02-24 Pending VMLS
  • 2021-02-24 Sold (MLS) $231,740 VMLS
  • 2021-02-23 Pending VMLS
  • 2021-02-10 Pending VMLS
  • 2021-01-26 Pending VMLS
  • 2020-11-07 Price Changed $231,740 VMLS
  • 2020-10-02 Listed $246,740 VMLS
  • 2020-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $166,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $860 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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