1515 S Mojave Rd · Sunrise Manor, NV
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Exceptionally maintained 3 bedroom, 3 bath home located in the all-age community of Sunset Vista. Offering approximately 1,450 square feet of comfortable living space, this home features a bright and open floor plan with generous room sizes and abundant natural light throughout. The spacious primary suite includes a private bathroom with a relaxing garden tub, perfect for unwinding at the end of the day. The property is equipped with central air conditioning and forced air for year-round comfort. Flooring is a practical mix of carpet and linoleum, providing both warmth and durability in the main living areas. An attached, fully enclosed studio with a separate entrance offers excellent flexi
Key facts
- Built 1980
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $974 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#83 in NV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Clark County School District (urban): math 21% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 17 in NV (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 14,754 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (2,301 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,976/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 2715% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.18%
- DSCR
- 3.19
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.88×
- Total profit
- $44,772
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 49.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.41×
- Total profit
- $104,951
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 89104
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,976 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$415
- Net cashflow
- $974
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,033 | -5% $1,004 | +0% $974 | +5% $945 | +10% $916 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $818 | -5% $896 | +0% $974 | +5% $1,052 | +10% $1,130 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,017 | -0.5pp $996 | base $974 | +0.5pp $952 | +1.0pp $930 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 Bracken Ave Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $1,880 | $1.33 | 12d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3669 Waikiki Ave Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,568 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3601 E Wyoming Ave Spc 526 Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,999 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2004 Howard Ave Las Vegas, NV | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1975 | $2,200 | $1.11 | 5d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1921 Franklin Ave Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $2,000 | $1.52 | 20d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1916 Howard Ave Las Vegas, NV | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $3,000 | $2.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2213 Sunrise Ave Unit 1 Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,249 | $0.83 | 8d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1999 Yaupon Ave Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1860 | $2,500 | $1.34 | 5d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1999 Yaupon Ave Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2009 | $2,500 | $1.24 | 20d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2938 Karen Ave Unit 1 Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,275 | $0.88 | 8d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2639 Jacyra Ave Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1550 | $1,840 | $1.19 | 11d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1816 Wengert Ave Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1281 | $2,500 | $1.95 | 18d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2898 Pacific Ave Unit N/A Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $2,000 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1804 Kassabian Ave Las Vegas, NV | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1841 | $1,795 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2111 Stewart Ave Unit B Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2610 | $1,150 | $0.44 | 2d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1621 Franklin Ave Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2267 | $3,300 | $1.46 | 15d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2080 Karen Ave #46 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $2,000 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2398 Swifton Ct Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1564 | $1,945 | $1.24 | 8d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2398 Swifton Ct Unit N/A Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1564 | $1,945 | $1.24 | 8d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1610 E Ogden Ave Las Vegas, NV | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1787 | $2,250 | $1.26 | 8d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4035 Welter Ave Las Vegas, NV | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2085 | $2,795 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3128 Kennewick Dr Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1551 | $1,900 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3030 Plaza St Las Vegas, NV | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2627 S Lamb Blvd #141 Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,899 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 4219 Wales Green Ln Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1973 | $1,955 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3087 Capistrano Ct Las Vegas, NV | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1817 | $3,000 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 157 Pecos Way Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1320 | $1,400 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 223 N 14th St Unit 223 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2128 | $1,495 | $0.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 426 Greenbriar Townhouse Way Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1320 | $1,595 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 641 E Pecos Way Unit 1 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1320 | $1,550 | $1.17 | 8d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-26$84,900 Active
-
2021-08-12soldstatus $27,400,000
-
2019-09-06soldstatus $17,700,000
-
2007-12-03soldstatus $14,150,000
-
1992-03-19soldstatus $22,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Heat 8/10 Severe
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,712
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,274
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,897
- − Management
- −$1,897
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $10,994
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,639
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,053/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clark County School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200060
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,611
- Composite
- 26.48/100
- National rank
- #7211
- State rank
- #11 of 17 in NV
Livability — Sunrise Manor
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #83
- US rank
- #20692
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sunrise Manor, NV
- County
- Clark County · 2,306,105 people
- City population
- 102,557
- Metro
- Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,937
- Household income
- $52,228
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2715.0
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,504,101 people
- By 2030
- 2,693,770 · +7.6%
- By 2040
- 3,061,208 · +22.2%
- By 2050
- 3,400,072 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 4,139,522 · +65.3%
- By 2100
- 4,596,916 · +83.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% White 21% Two or more races 19% Black 9% Asian 5% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 45% Cuban 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 48% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 47.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+10.7 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -262.16%
- Current HPI
- 305.4172
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.18%
- Metro
- Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Price history
+285.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $84,900 FSBO.com
- 2021-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $27,400,000 Public Records
- 2019-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $17,700,000 Public Records
- 2007-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $14,150,000 Public Records
- 1992-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $55,994 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…