🏷️ Likely Rental
1801 Newell Rd · Endicott, NY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investors! Convenient Endicott location close to all conveniences and the highway. Sits back off the road! Nice deep back yard. 3 Bedrooms and big eat in kitchen. 1st floor laundry and heat/hot water heater. New abstract and survey was made to divide properties. Tax map # given when recorded in the clerks office after closing. Tenant occupied.
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 56 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Shared driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Residential single-family home
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Built area approximately 1,326 above grade
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Free-standing range; Oven; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Seven total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $451 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 5.5% in Endicott — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#438 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
- Union-Endicott Central School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #387 of 590 in NY (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: George F Johnson Elementary School (math 35% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,410 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 596 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.1% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.56%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $184,107
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -40.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 713 Wilson Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,242 (-6%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $181 | 75 |
| 507 Odell Ave Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (-3%) | 0mo | $214,900 | $167 | 73 |
| 215 Rogers Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,312 (-1%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $99 | 72 |
| 309 Taylor Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-6%) | 6mo | $159,900 | $128 | 62 |
| 1800 Pine St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,499 (+13%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $123 | 60 |
| 905 Rochester St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (+1%) | 8mo | $190,500 | $142 | 58 |
| 2801 King St | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,340 (+1%) | 4mo | $229,000 | $171 | 58 |
| 317 Murphy Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (+4%) | 7mo | $195,000 | $141 | 56 |
| 610 Prescott Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,221 (-8%) | 4mo | $106,000 | $87 | 55 |
| 2203 Watson Blvd | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 | 1,386 (+4%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $112 | 54 |
| 2703 Yale St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,505 (+14%) | 5mo | $240,000 | $159 | 47 |
| 807 Elliott St | 0.59mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,480 (+12%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $115 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $17,469
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.65×
- Total profit
- $81,588
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13760
- Home prices YoY
- -32.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 213
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,533 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$322
- Net cashflow
- $451
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $527 | -5% $489 | +0% $451 | +5% $413 | +10% $375 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $330 | -5% $390 | +0% $451 | +5% $511 | +10% $572 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $506 | -0.5pp $479 | base $451 | +0.5pp $422 | +1.0pp $393 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 Hill Ave Unit 1 Endicott, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,450 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 317 Rogers Ave Unit 2 Endicott, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 317 Rogers Ave Endicott, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1211 Pine St #1 Endicott, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $1,400 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 204 Rogers Ave Endicott, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1456 | $2,000 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 112 N Roosevelt Ave Endicott, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1299 | $1,850 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 107 N Jackson Ave Apt 2 Endicott, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 916 Irving Ave Unit 1 Endicott, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 723 Prescott Ave Endicott, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $2,200 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 9 S Seward Ave Endicott, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $2,000 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2602 North St Unit 3W Endicott, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3544 Smith Dr Endicott, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,245 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 53 Washington Ave Unit 2 Endicott, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $1,300 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 106 Madison Ave Unit 1 Endicott, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1901 Tracy St Fl Ea Endicott, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $1,200 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1807 Riverview Dr #1 Endicott, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1266 | $1,800 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 804 Broad St Unit 2 Endicott, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,500 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $110,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $110,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-17price $110,000 347-char remark
-
2026-04-23$120,000 Active 347-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,393
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,471
- − Management
- −$1,471
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $3,888
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$933
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,475/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and appliances, and freshen the interior. It has a decent layout and a large yard, making it a good investment opportunity.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Old design
- Minor Appliances — Appears old
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace carpet — New carpet improves comfort and appearance
- Both Update kitchen cabinets — Modern cabinets increase functionality and value
- Both Update appliances — Modern appliances improve functionality and appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Old design | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Appliances · Appears old | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace carpet — New carpet improves comfort and appearance ↑
- Both Update kitchen cabinets — Modern cabinets increase functionality and value ↑
- Both Update appliances — Modern appliances improve functionality and appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Union-Endicott Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3610710
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 11.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,265
- Composite
- 42.66/100
- National rank
- #3176
- State rank
- #387 of 590 in NY
Livability — Endicott
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #438
- US rank
- #7657
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Broome County · 126,805 people
- City population
- 42,896
- Metro
- Binghamton, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,896
- Household income
- $66,095
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1480.0
Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,989 people
- By 2030
- 183,066 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 172,228 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 163,161 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 153,641 · -18.3%
- By 2100
- 140,851 · -25.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Broome
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.29%
- Current HPI
- 270.2661
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.09%
- Metro
- Binghamton, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-8.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $110,000 GBAOR
- 2026-04-23 Listed $120,000 GBAOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…