2335 Jerome Ln · Cahokia Heights, IL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.48%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Possibilities are endless here. Address listed is the lot with the move in ready mobile home. Roof is known to be approximately ten years old. Updated bathroom 2023, new hv/ac 2023. Set up perfect for that individual looking to live in a home without having to pay lot rent. Better yet, exploring other investment options such as your own mobile home park that you get to control. Whether you're looking for an enormous yard or perhaps adding a few homes to the 3 additional lots.... This property is inclusive of four parcels with three additional mobile home pads, concrete poured utility ready. May even be able to build (check with Cahokia city confirmation) complete with newer covered deck on the front and one on the side entry. Large storage shed. There's even a built-in handmade bar. Includes 4 parcels 06-12.0-210-014 at 2335 Jerome Lane, 06-12.0-210-013 at 2333 Jerome Lane, 06-12.0-210-012 at 2331 Jerome Lane and 06-12.0-210-011 at 2329 Jerome Lane
Key facts
- Built 1988
- Listed 65 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $623 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $65k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 13.6% in Cahokia Heights — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,390/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $69k implies a 590% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.71%
- DSCR
- 2.72
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $174,974
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- -60.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $28,531
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 41.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.94×
- Total profit
- $76,035
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62206
- Home prices YoY
- -20.2%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,390 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,015/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $623
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 E Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $885 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2116 Doris Ave Cahokia Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,400 | $1.59 | 22d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 13 Drexel Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $995 | $1.08 | 12d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 32 Drexel Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1362 | $1,675 | $1.23 | 16d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 70 W Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,200 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2231 Loren St Cahokia Heights, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2008 Delores St East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,250 | $1.35 | 4d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 13 Marilyn Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 995 | $1,150 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 8 Louise Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,275 | $1.11 | 17d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1808 Mullens Ave Cahokia Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,500 | $1.51 | 2d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1713 Loretta Ave East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,095 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1421 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,100 | $1.18 | 2d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1420 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1417 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,400 | $1.50 | 22d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 102 Melvin Dr Unit 34 Sauget, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1352 | $1,700 | $1.26 | 7d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1405 Williams St Cahokia Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1710 Parklane Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $1,395 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1706 Andrews Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,320 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1614 Parklane Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,400 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1312 Saint Raphael St East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,500 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1220 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $1,500 | $1.71 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 302 Saint Leonard Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1155 | $1,300 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02price $69,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $79,000 964-char remark
Show marketing remark (964 chars)
Possibilities are endless here. Address listed is the lot with the move in ready mobile home. Roof is known to be approximately ten years old. Updated bathroom 2023, new hv/ac 2023. Set up perfect for that individual looking to live in a home without having to pay lot rent. Better yet, exploring other investment options such as your own mobile home park that you get to control. Whether you're looking for an enormous yard or perhaps adding a few homes to the 3 additional lots.... This property is inclusive of four parcels with three additional mobile home pads, concrete poured utility ready. May even be able to build (check with Cahokia city confirmation) complete with newer covered deck on the front and one on the side entry. Large storage shed. There's even a built-in handmade bar. Includes 4 parcels 06-12.0-210-014 at 2335 Jerome Lane, 06-12.0-210-013 at 2333 Jerome Lane, 06-12.0-210-012 at 2331 Jerome Lane and 06-12.0-210-011 at 2329 Jerome Lane
-
2026-04-14$89,900 Active 964-char remark
Show marketing remark (964 chars)
Possibilities are endless here. Address listed is the lot with the move in ready mobile home. Roof is known to be approximately ten years old. Updated bathroom 2023, new hv/ac 2023. Set up perfect for that individual looking to live in a home without having to pay lot rent. Better yet, exploring other investment options such as your own mobile home park that you get to control. Whether you're looking for an enormous yard or perhaps adding a few homes to the 3 additional lots.... This property is inclusive of four parcels with three additional mobile home pads, concrete poured utility ready. May even be able to build (check with Cahokia city confirmation) complete with newer covered deck on the front and one on the side entry. Large storage shed. There's even a built-in handmade bar. Includes 4 parcels 06-12.0-210-014 at 2335 Jerome Lane, 06-12.0-210-013 at 2333 Jerome Lane, 06-12.0-210-012 at 2331 Jerome Lane and 06-12.0-210-011 at 2329 Jerome Lane
-
2018-09-21soldstatus $10,000
-
2007-07-24soldstatus $10,000
-
2005-07-07soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,015 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,291 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- +$276/yr (+$23/mo · 27.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 48% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,684
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$1,015
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,335
- − Management
- −$1,335
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $6,782
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,628
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,851/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cahokia CUSD 187
- NCES district ID
- 1708040
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 5% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,028
- Composite
- 6.44/100
- National rank
- #14827
- State rank
- #864 of 919 in IL
Livability — Cahokia Heights
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cahokia Heights, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 19,956
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,959
- Household income
- $33,838
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 729.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.26%
- Current HPI
- 131.5144
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+690.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $79,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Listed $89,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 2007-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 2005-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+22.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,015 · -39.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…