515 S Pocahontas St · Sardis, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful large older home with hardwood floors, approx. 9 ft ceilings in the town of Sardis, MS. This home has 3 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. Has a large covered porch with an ADA ramp. It has a large living room, off of the living room is a large keeping room, large formal dining room with large bay window with nice views, a nice built in breakfast area just off of the kitchen, kitchen has large cast iron sink with a window above, a pantry, and a built in spice cabinet. There is a mud room off of the kitchen. The bedrooms are very spacious with hard wood floors. The Jack-N-Jill bath has a large cast iron soaking tub. The second bath is a tub/shower combo. Large yard. The back yard is partially fenced in. There are several out buildings that would make a nice workshop. Home has a metal roof and metal siding. Only about 10 mins from I-55 in Sardis, MS and about 20 mins. to Sardis Lake. This property is approx. 45 mins from the University of Mississippi. Approx. 1 hr. from the Memphis Intern
Key facts
- Large covered porch
- Formal dining room
- Large living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $258 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#235 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
- North Panola School District (rural): math 2% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #129 of 130 in MS (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 94% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Panola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Panola County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.51%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $219,565
- List price
- $170,000
- Delta
- -22.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 Wilkerson Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 2,756 (+5%) | 13mo | $315,000 | $114 | 43 |
| 420 Ruffin Dr | 0.64mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,773 (+6%) | 17mo | $280,000 | $101 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-11,102
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $11,474
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38666
- Home prices YoY
- -8.3%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,734 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,794/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $258
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-17status $170,000 Pending 52 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $170,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $170,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $170,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $170,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $170,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $170,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $170,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-05-04status Pending 1000-char remark
Show marketing remark (1016 chars)
Beautiful large older home with hardwood floors, approx. 9 ft ceilings in the town of Sardis, MS. This home has 3 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. Has a large covered porch with an ADA ramp. It has a large living room, off of the living room is a large keeping room, large formal dining room with large bay window with nice views, a nice built in breakfast area just off of the kitchen, kitchen has large cast iron sink with a window above, a pantry, and a built in spice cabinet. There is a mud room off of the kitchen. The bedrooms are very spacious with hard wood floors. The Jack-N-Jill bath has a large cast iron soaking tub. The second bath is a tub/shower combo. Large yard. The back yard is partially fenced in. There are several out buildings that would make a nice workshop. Home has a metal roof and metal siding. Only about 10 mins from I-55 in Sardis, MS and about 20 mins. to Sardis Lake. This property is approx. 45 mins from the University of Mississippi. Approx. 1 hr. from the Memphis International Airport.
-
2026-05-04status Pending 1016-char remark
Show marketing remark (1016 chars)
Beautiful large older home with hardwood floors, approx. 9 ft ceilings in the town of Sardis, MS. This home has 3 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. Has a large covered porch with an ADA ramp. It has a large living room, off of the living room is a large keeping room, large formal dining room with large bay window with nice views, a nice built in breakfast area just off of the kitchen, kitchen has large cast iron sink with a window above, a pantry, and a built in spice cabinet. There is a mud room off of the kitchen. The bedrooms are very spacious with hard wood floors. The Jack-N-Jill bath has a large cast iron soaking tub. The second bath is a tub/shower combo. Large yard. The back yard is partially fenced in. There are several out buildings that would make a nice workshop. Home has a metal roof and metal siding. Only about 10 mins from I-55 in Sardis, MS and about 20 mins. to Sardis Lake. This property is approx. 45 mins from the University of Mississippi. Approx. 1 hr. from the Memphis International Airport.
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2026-03-24$170,000 Active 1000-char remark
Show marketing remark (1000 chars)
Beautiful large older home with hardwood floors, approx. 9 ft ceilings in the town of Sardis, MS. This home has 3 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. Has a large covered porch with an ADA ramp. It has a large living room, off of the living room is a large keeping room, large formal dining room with large bay window with nice views, a nice built in breakfast area just off of the kitchen, kitchen has large cast iron sink with a window above, a pantry, and a built in spice cabinet. There is a mud room off of the kitchen. The bedrooms are very spacious with hard wood floors. The Jack-N-Jill bath has a large cast iron soaking tub. The second bath is a tub/shower combo. Large yard. The back yard is partially fenced in. There are several out buildings that would make a nice workshop. Home has a metal roof and metal siding. Only about 10 mins from I-55 in Sardis, MS and about 20 mins. to Sardis Lake. This property is approx. 45 mins from the University of Mississippi. Approx. 1 hr. from the Memphis Intern
-
2026-03-23$170,000 Active 1016-char remark
Show marketing remark (1016 chars)
Beautiful large older home with hardwood floors, approx. 9 ft ceilings in the town of Sardis, MS. This home has 3 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. Has a large covered porch with an ADA ramp. It has a large living room, off of the living room is a large keeping room, large formal dining room with large bay window with nice views, a nice built in breakfast area just off of the kitchen, kitchen has large cast iron sink with a window above, a pantry, and a built in spice cabinet. There is a mud room off of the kitchen. The bedrooms are very spacious with hard wood floors. The Jack-N-Jill bath has a large cast iron soaking tub. The second bath is a tub/shower combo. Large yard. The back yard is partially fenced in. There are several out buildings that would make a nice workshop. Home has a metal roof and metal siding. Only about 10 mins from I-55 in Sardis, MS and about 20 mins. to Sardis Lake. This property is approx. 45 mins from the University of Mississippi. Approx. 1 hr. from the Memphis International Airport.
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2025-09-10historical
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2025-08-17price $165,000
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2025-08-08price $180,000
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2025-08-08price $180,000
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2025-07-23price $200,000
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2025-07-22price $200,000
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2025-07-04price $230,000
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2025-07-01$240,000 Active
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2016-07-29soldstatus
-
2016-05-03$110,000
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2016-05-02historical
-
2015-08-25$137,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,794 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,794 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,814
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$1,794
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,665
- − Management
- −$1,665
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable income
- $371
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$89
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,012/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Panola School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803210
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -35.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,344
- Composite
- 3.77/100
- National rank
- #10066
- State rank
- #129 of 130 in MS
Livability — Sardis
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #235
- US rank
- #19654
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sardis, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,258
Population outlook (Panola County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 32,645 people
- By 2030
- 31,477 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 28,894 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 26,108 · -20.0%
- By 2075
- 19,292 · -40.9%
- By 2100
- 12,787 · -60.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (54%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 54% White 42% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Panola
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.8) · D 42.0% · R 56.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.4pp toward R · 2008: 6.5pp · 2024: -14.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.8 2020: R+4.2 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+8.6 2008: D+6.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -17.45%
- Current HPI
- 192.5985
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+23.6% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — NCMBR
- 2026-05-04 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-03-24 Listed $170,000 NCMBR
- 2026-03-23 Listed $170,000 MLSU
- 2025-09-10 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-08-17 Price Changed $165,000 Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
- 2025-08-08 Price Changed $180,000 Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
- 2025-08-08 Price Changed $180,000 MLSU
- 2025-07-23 Price Changed $200,000 MLSU
- 2025-07-22 Price Changed $200,000 Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
- 2025-07-04 Price Changed $230,000 Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
- 2025-07-01 Listed $240,000 MLSU
- 2016-07-29 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2016-05-03 Listed $110,000 MLSU
- 2016-05-02 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2015-08-25 Listed $137,500 MLSU
Property tax history
+11.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,794 · +6149.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…