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515 S Pocahontas St
C Composite 57.03
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$170,000

515 S Pocahontas St · Sardis, MS 38666
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,616 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1902 1.20 ac lot $65/sqft · 23% below area Est $220k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful large older home with hardwood floors, approx. 9 ft ceilings in the town of Sardis, MS. This home has 3 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. Has a large covered porch with an ADA ramp. It has a large living room, off of the living room is a large keeping room, large formal dining room with large bay window with nice views, a nice built in breakfast area just off of the kitchen, kitchen has large cast iron sink with a window above, a pantry, and a built in spice cabinet. There is a mud room off of the kitchen. The bedrooms are very spacious with hard wood floors. The Jack-N-Jill bath has a large cast iron soaking tub. The second bath is a tub/shower combo. Large yard. The back yard is partially fenced in. There are several out buildings that would make a nice workshop. Home has a metal roof and metal siding. Only about 10 mins from I-55 in Sardis, MS and about 20 mins. to Sardis Lake. This property is approx. 45 mins from the University of Mississippi. Approx. 1 hr. from the Memphis Intern

Key facts

  • Large covered porch
  • Formal dining room
  • Large living room

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSLARGE COVERED PORCHLARGE LIVING ROOMKEEPING ROOMFORMAL DINING ROOMBAY WINDOW

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $258 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#235 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • North Panola School District (rural): math 2% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #129 of 130 in MS (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 94% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Panola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Panola County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $164,900 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.12%
Cash-on-cash
6.51%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$219,565
List price
$170,000
Delta
-22.57%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
203 Wilkerson Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 2,756 (+5%) 13mo $315,000 $114 43
420 Ruffin Dr 0.64mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,773 (+6%) 17mo $280,000 $101 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-11,102
Equity at exit
$25,348
10-year hold
IRR
3.3%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$11,474
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38666

Home prices YoY
-8.3%
Active inventory
24
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,734 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$150 /mo · $1,794/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$364
Net cashflow
$258

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,407
Max offer price $170,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $170,000 Pending 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $170,000 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $170,000 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $170,000 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    days on market $170,000 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $170,000 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $170,000 Active 44 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $170,000 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 1000-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1016 chars)

    Beautiful large older home with hardwood floors, approx. 9 ft ceilings in the town of Sardis, MS. This home has 3 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. Has a large covered porch with an ADA ramp. It has a large living room, off of the living room is a large keeping room, large formal dining room with large bay window with nice views, a nice built in breakfast area just off of the kitchen, kitchen has large cast iron sink with a window above, a pantry, and a built in spice cabinet. There is a mud room off of the kitchen. The bedrooms are very spacious with hard wood floors. The Jack-N-Jill bath has a large cast iron soaking tub. The second bath is a tub/shower combo. Large yard. The back yard is partially fenced in. There are several out buildings that would make a nice workshop. Home has a metal roof and metal siding. Only about 10 mins from I-55 in Sardis, MS and about 20 mins. to Sardis Lake. This property is approx. 45 mins from the University of Mississippi. Approx. 1 hr. from the Memphis International Airport.

  10. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 1016-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1016 chars)

    Beautiful large older home with hardwood floors, approx. 9 ft ceilings in the town of Sardis, MS. This home has 3 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. Has a large covered porch with an ADA ramp. It has a large living room, off of the living room is a large keeping room, large formal dining room with large bay window with nice views, a nice built in breakfast area just off of the kitchen, kitchen has large cast iron sink with a window above, a pantry, and a built in spice cabinet. There is a mud room off of the kitchen. The bedrooms are very spacious with hard wood floors. The Jack-N-Jill bath has a large cast iron soaking tub. The second bath is a tub/shower combo. Large yard. The back yard is partially fenced in. There are several out buildings that would make a nice workshop. Home has a metal roof and metal siding. Only about 10 mins from I-55 in Sardis, MS and about 20 mins. to Sardis Lake. This property is approx. 45 mins from the University of Mississippi. Approx. 1 hr. from the Memphis International Airport.

  11. 2026-03-24
    listed $170,000 Active 1000-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1000 chars)

    Beautiful large older home with hardwood floors, approx. 9 ft ceilings in the town of Sardis, MS. This home has 3 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. Has a large covered porch with an ADA ramp. It has a large living room, off of the living room is a large keeping room, large formal dining room with large bay window with nice views, a nice built in breakfast area just off of the kitchen, kitchen has large cast iron sink with a window above, a pantry, and a built in spice cabinet. There is a mud room off of the kitchen. The bedrooms are very spacious with hard wood floors. The Jack-N-Jill bath has a large cast iron soaking tub. The second bath is a tub/shower combo. Large yard. The back yard is partially fenced in. There are several out buildings that would make a nice workshop. Home has a metal roof and metal siding. Only about 10 mins from I-55 in Sardis, MS and about 20 mins. to Sardis Lake. This property is approx. 45 mins from the University of Mississippi. Approx. 1 hr. from the Memphis Intern

  12. 2026-03-23
    listed $170,000 Active 1016-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1016 chars)

    Beautiful large older home with hardwood floors, approx. 9 ft ceilings in the town of Sardis, MS. This home has 3 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. Has a large covered porch with an ADA ramp. It has a large living room, off of the living room is a large keeping room, large formal dining room with large bay window with nice views, a nice built in breakfast area just off of the kitchen, kitchen has large cast iron sink with a window above, a pantry, and a built in spice cabinet. There is a mud room off of the kitchen. The bedrooms are very spacious with hard wood floors. The Jack-N-Jill bath has a large cast iron soaking tub. The second bath is a tub/shower combo. Large yard. The back yard is partially fenced in. There are several out buildings that would make a nice workshop. Home has a metal roof and metal siding. Only about 10 mins from I-55 in Sardis, MS and about 20 mins. to Sardis Lake. This property is approx. 45 mins from the University of Mississippi. Approx. 1 hr. from the Memphis International Airport.

  13. 2025-09-10
    historical
  14. 2025-08-17
    price $165,000
  15. 2025-08-08
    price $180,000
  16. 2025-08-08
    price $180,000
  17. 2025-07-23
    price $200,000
  18. 2025-07-22
    price $200,000
  19. 2025-07-04
    price $230,000
  20. 2025-07-01
    listed $240,000 Active
  21. 2016-07-29
    soldstatus
  22. 2016-05-03
    listed $110,000
  23. 2016-05-02
    historical
  24. 2015-08-25
    listed $137,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,794 · $150/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,794 · $150/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,814
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$1,794
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,665
− Management
−$1,665
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable income
$371
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$89
After-tax cash flow
$3,012/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Panola School District
NCES district ID
2803210
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -35.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$32,344
Composite
3.77/100
National rank
#10066
State rank
#129 of 130 in MS

Livability — Sardis

Score
59/100
State rank
#235
US rank
#19654

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sardis, MS
Population (ZIP)
6,258

Population outlook (Panola County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
32,645 people
By 2030
31,477 · -3.6%
By 2040
28,894 · -11.5%
By 2050
26,108 · -20.0%
By 2075
19,292 · -40.9%
By 2100
12,787 · -60.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (54%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 54% White 42% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Panola

2024 margin
R (+14.8) · D 42.0% · R 56.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-21.4pp toward R · 2008: 6.5pp · 2024: -14.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.8 2020: R+4.2 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+8.6 2008: D+6.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -17.45%
Current HPI
192.5985
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+23.6% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending NCMBR
  • 2026-05-04 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $170,000 NCMBR
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $170,000 MLSU
  • 2025-09-10 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-08-17 Price Changed $165,000 Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
  • 2025-08-08 Price Changed $180,000 Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
  • 2025-08-08 Price Changed $180,000 MLSU
  • 2025-07-23 Price Changed $200,000 MLSU
  • 2025-07-22 Price Changed $200,000 Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
  • 2025-07-04 Price Changed $230,000 Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
  • 2025-07-01 Listed $240,000 MLSU
  • 2016-07-29 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2016-05-03 Listed $110,000 MLSU
  • 2016-05-02 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2015-08-25 Listed $137,500 MLSU

Property tax history

+11.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,794 · +6149.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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